Somaliland and Djibouti will become rich as Ethiopia is transformed into the China of Africa

[Hararboy]

This is why I said soft control. Controlling another country via soft control gives you most of advantages with no disadvantages.

One example I stated in the quote is Ukraine. Russia had 'soft control' on Ukraine for ages. It was only recently that the control was lost because Ukraine's original government was overthrown. Russia's heavy reliance on Ukraine on certain areas such as sea navy


Russia invaded Ukraine because Ukraine's original government was overthrown and Russia had too much invested in its sea navy to lose it all. Russia had to invade as result of this.

During the 'soft control' Ukraine did not flourish much even though they prospered. Their potential was stunted heavily. Everything important they could do, they had to ask for a permission from Russia. This is considering that both countries are not even enemy.

Now, what Ethiopia will do? They will do same thing as Russia does. In fact, this is happening right now - how many of Somali leaders do you think has close relations with Ethiopia? All leaders attend Ethiopia for meetings regularly. All have history with Ethiopia.

What would happen if Djibouti said screw you to Ethiopia? Ethiopia won't invade because of military bases and media but they will cry to their western and Chinese masters who then will arrange a regime change.

This is different for Somalia but remember the names media called ICU to justify an invasion before? There is no reason why this can't happen again in the future.

I dare Somaliland to tell Ethiopia to fuck off without hesitant.

Berbera would be annexed within 48 hours if they fail to install another puppet.

The thing, is Ethiopia doesnt have that much power to have proxy regimes in Somalia or anywhere. Russia was pretty much a superpower for decades and Ukraine was apart of the Soviet union so they were always under the influence of Moscow. These are different situations, Ethiopia may influence Somaliland politics but thats it. Woyenne are incapable of projecting that kind of power. Perhaps in the future when Ethiopia becomes a regional power in 50 years but not now. Somaliland leaders are just warming to Ethiopia as they know Ethiopia is key to their future prosperity and they need Ethiopias recognition to secede from Somalia. Somaliland are just playing their cards right.Its a mutually beneficial relationship.

Despite their dubious military intervention, Ethiopia has masterfully lulled Somali “leaders” into a false sense of security and tantalized them with mirage of power.

In addition to its under the radar military mobilization to expand its sphere of influence, Ethiopia has launched a successful campaign of co-option, indoctrination and silencing of key individuals and institutions. Many media professionals were lured by the offer of intensive certification program in journalism, first class hospitality, and generous stipends. Likewise, some officials in the security sector, parliament, civil societies and the political elite.

Ever since the reemergence of the Ethiopian occupation, all key officials in the armed forces, all governors, and ministers with overt sense of patriotism were systematically removed or permanently silenced. The former are often attributed to cockamamie political issues; and the latter to al Shabaab.

These individuals are, by and large, at liberty to scrutinize the government but not the specter of Ethiopian domination.

In today’s camouflaged occupation, Ethiopia has perhaps outdone its own expectation. It now controls all of the strategic seaports except Mogadishu and its troops are present in almost all of Somalia.

Proudly savoring the success of his country’s stealth takeover of Somalia, Ethiopian Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn said his troops already control “more than 60 percent of Somali territory.”

During the joint ceremony held in Djibouti on May 2014, Djiboutian President Ismail Omar Guelleh, had this to say “Djibouti gives a port service to Ethiopia but it does not consider that it is giving the service to another country but regards it as it is doing it for itself… We believe that Ethiopia is Djibouti and Djibouti is Ethiopia, no difference at all.”

meles:

Either I overestimated Somalis or underestimated Woyenne. Either way if this is the truth, Somalia should try its best to shift the power balance . Being dominated by the poorest country in the world is shameful.

[Strategic]

Mogadishu and addis are friends,mutual respect and co-existance,we have nothing in ethiopia .no historic connection to ethiopia,unless ethiopia wants iney naysku qorqorto.the idea that somalia will fight ethiopia is mistaken,first of all,somalia doesnt have the power to face ethiopia nor the political unity needed for that kind of thing.ethiopia is a great nation and it should remain like that,what happens inside ethiopia remains inside ethiopia.