The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
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The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
The State Department and USAID will invest more than $500 million in Somalia this year. That comes in addition to more than $1 billion in United Nations assistance. Each may hope such funds will restore prosperity and stability to Somalia, but they are wrong. Rather than ensure stability, the State Department's Somalia strategy wastes taxpayer money and promises an Al Qaeda renaissance in the strategically important Horn of Africa.
The basic problem is centralization. By deciding to channel all funds through Mogadishu, Washington and the UN are replicating the Iraq program mistakes that culminated in the UN's oil-for-food program which to this day remains the largest corruption scandal in UN history. That program started with good intentions: To ensure Iraq used its oil revenue to the benefit of its people. But for both bureaucratic and diplomatic reasons, the UN channeled all money first through Iraqi President Saddam Hussein's government. The rest is history: The General Accounting Office estimated that Saddam Hussein's' regime derived more than $10 billion in illegal revenues, and an independent investigation commissioned by UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan largely affirmed the findings.
The program's origins may have been relief, but Saddam weaponized it. When I first visited Iraqi Kurdistan in 2000, Kurds complained that they lived under double sanctions: First, the international community against Iraq and, second, the Iraqi regime's against them. Both the UN and US effectively allowed Saddam to feed his allies and starve his opponents. Corruption thrived and, in 2003, war returned.
The parallels between Iraq and Somalia are eerie. Both Saddam Hussein and Mohamed Siad Barre seized power in the late 1960s and consolidated iron grips over their countries. Both amassed huge fortunes, and both invaded their neighbors. And, as with Saddam Hussein, Siad Barre's ambitions drove his country to genocide. While Saddam bombarded Iraq's northern Kurds. Siad Barre turned MiG fighters against the Isaaqs in the Somaliland region. In 1991, both the Kurds and the Isaaq emerged from their respective killing fields with de facto autonomy and nascent democracy.
But even as Kurds and Somalilanders began running their own affairs, UN and US sanctions remained. Symbolic unity required treating Kurds as no different than Saddam's regime. Today, the same dynamic continues in Somaliland. Visiting diplomats and NGO workers acknowledge that the difference between the Somaliland region and Somalia proper are night and day. Somalia is among the world's most dangerous countries; Somaliland is among the safest in Africa. Somalia's president controls a few neighborhoods in Mogadishu and relies on foreign troops to defend even that. Somaliland has managed to secure an area the size of Missouri without foreign aid. In Somalia, an appointed parliament itself elects a president. Somaliland's last presidential elections were the world's first secured by biometric iris scans.
Alas, the State Department's antiquated Africa policy and lax Congressional oversight may now enable a perfect storm.
Secretary of State Pompeo and USAID administrator Mark Green have doubled down on their predecessors' policy to channel all money through Mogadishu. While the State Department tells itself it is alleviating suffering and stabilizing the Somali state, it is in reality fueling corruption, enabling Al Qaeda's expansion, facilitating the ambitions of U.S. adversaries, and undercutting democracy.
To channel all aid through Mogadishu, the State Department and USAID apparently believe, both strengthens Somalia's recovery and reinforces the sanctity of Africa's borders. The border issue is a red herring. Somaliland's borders are set by map and treaty.
The bigger problem is corruption. Transparency International now ranks Somalia as the world's most corrupt country: worse than Afghanistan, Iraq, and Venezuela. Rather than build Somalia, flooding Mogadishu with cash fuels corruption that undermines its recovery. Dumping cash on Somalia will no more fuel progress than dumping billions in Iraq and Afghanistan did.
Congress should instead demand the US government calibrate assistance to capacity: give aid to functioning systems; deny it to dysfunctional ones. There is greater danger: As Mogadishu hoards aid, regional inequity emboldens Al-Shabaab, al Qaeda's regional chapter.
Somaliland has transparent systems in place. Society is increasingly cashless, as even illiterate shoppers use mobile apps to pay for almost everything. Each transfer generates a receipt and ensures the kind of accountability that the bags of cash in Mogadishu do not.
While Al-Shabaab thrives amongst Somali corruption and lawlessness, Somaliland has eradicated the threat. How counterproductive it is then to withdraw assistance from the only region in the Horn of Africa that works. That Somalia pockets US aid but embraces China while Somaliland seeks closer US ties is the icing on the cake.
Winston Churchill supposedly said "Americans always do the right thing; they just try everything else first." That may eventually become true in the Horn of Africa too, but unless Congress starts asking some hard questions about how US money is spent Somalia, taxpayers will be bilked and national security imperiled.
Michael Rubin is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. A former Pentagon official, he teaches classes on terrorism for the FBI and on security, politics, religion and history for U.S. and NATO military units. He has a Ph.D. in history from Yale University.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/thehill.co ... alia%3famp
The basic problem is centralization. By deciding to channel all funds through Mogadishu, Washington and the UN are replicating the Iraq program mistakes that culminated in the UN's oil-for-food program which to this day remains the largest corruption scandal in UN history. That program started with good intentions: To ensure Iraq used its oil revenue to the benefit of its people. But for both bureaucratic and diplomatic reasons, the UN channeled all money first through Iraqi President Saddam Hussein's government. The rest is history: The General Accounting Office estimated that Saddam Hussein's' regime derived more than $10 billion in illegal revenues, and an independent investigation commissioned by UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan largely affirmed the findings.
The program's origins may have been relief, but Saddam weaponized it. When I first visited Iraqi Kurdistan in 2000, Kurds complained that they lived under double sanctions: First, the international community against Iraq and, second, the Iraqi regime's against them. Both the UN and US effectively allowed Saddam to feed his allies and starve his opponents. Corruption thrived and, in 2003, war returned.
The parallels between Iraq and Somalia are eerie. Both Saddam Hussein and Mohamed Siad Barre seized power in the late 1960s and consolidated iron grips over their countries. Both amassed huge fortunes, and both invaded their neighbors. And, as with Saddam Hussein, Siad Barre's ambitions drove his country to genocide. While Saddam bombarded Iraq's northern Kurds. Siad Barre turned MiG fighters against the Isaaqs in the Somaliland region. In 1991, both the Kurds and the Isaaq emerged from their respective killing fields with de facto autonomy and nascent democracy.
But even as Kurds and Somalilanders began running their own affairs, UN and US sanctions remained. Symbolic unity required treating Kurds as no different than Saddam's regime. Today, the same dynamic continues in Somaliland. Visiting diplomats and NGO workers acknowledge that the difference between the Somaliland region and Somalia proper are night and day. Somalia is among the world's most dangerous countries; Somaliland is among the safest in Africa. Somalia's president controls a few neighborhoods in Mogadishu and relies on foreign troops to defend even that. Somaliland has managed to secure an area the size of Missouri without foreign aid. In Somalia, an appointed parliament itself elects a president. Somaliland's last presidential elections were the world's first secured by biometric iris scans.
Alas, the State Department's antiquated Africa policy and lax Congressional oversight may now enable a perfect storm.
Secretary of State Pompeo and USAID administrator Mark Green have doubled down on their predecessors' policy to channel all money through Mogadishu. While the State Department tells itself it is alleviating suffering and stabilizing the Somali state, it is in reality fueling corruption, enabling Al Qaeda's expansion, facilitating the ambitions of U.S. adversaries, and undercutting democracy.
To channel all aid through Mogadishu, the State Department and USAID apparently believe, both strengthens Somalia's recovery and reinforces the sanctity of Africa's borders. The border issue is a red herring. Somaliland's borders are set by map and treaty.
The bigger problem is corruption. Transparency International now ranks Somalia as the world's most corrupt country: worse than Afghanistan, Iraq, and Venezuela. Rather than build Somalia, flooding Mogadishu with cash fuels corruption that undermines its recovery. Dumping cash on Somalia will no more fuel progress than dumping billions in Iraq and Afghanistan did.
Congress should instead demand the US government calibrate assistance to capacity: give aid to functioning systems; deny it to dysfunctional ones. There is greater danger: As Mogadishu hoards aid, regional inequity emboldens Al-Shabaab, al Qaeda's regional chapter.
Somaliland has transparent systems in place. Society is increasingly cashless, as even illiterate shoppers use mobile apps to pay for almost everything. Each transfer generates a receipt and ensures the kind of accountability that the bags of cash in Mogadishu do not.
While Al-Shabaab thrives amongst Somali corruption and lawlessness, Somaliland has eradicated the threat. How counterproductive it is then to withdraw assistance from the only region in the Horn of Africa that works. That Somalia pockets US aid but embraces China while Somaliland seeks closer US ties is the icing on the cake.
Winston Churchill supposedly said "Americans always do the right thing; they just try everything else first." That may eventually become true in the Horn of Africa too, but unless Congress starts asking some hard questions about how US money is spent Somalia, taxpayers will be bilked and national security imperiled.
Michael Rubin is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. A former Pentagon official, he teaches classes on terrorism for the FBI and on security, politics, religion and history for U.S. and NATO military units. He has a Ph.D. in history from Yale University.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/thehill.co ... alia%3famp
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Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
Yeah now go cry me a f*@king river iidoor.
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Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
You are the crying river biitch. I rely on my own balls

- SahanGalbeed
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Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
Interesting article .
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Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
Interesting article . The only difference between the valiant people of Kurdistan and Somaliland is that they are vastly outnumbered by the Arabs which makes them militarily inferior if not relying on another country . We don't have , thank God , that problem . A team of teenager football players in Somaliland could bring Somalia to its knees for they are no match for us in intelligence. Dumb , the whole lot of them .

Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
So a small clan of iidoor can bring the entire south into submission cajib badhana its like Taiwan threatening China.SahanGalbeed wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:18 am Interesting article . The only difference between the valiant people of Kurdistan and Somaliland is that they are vastly outnumbered by the Arabs which makes them militarily inferior if not relying on another country . We don't have , thank God , that problem . A team of teenager football players in Somaliland could bring Somalia to its knees for they are no match for us in intelligence. Dumb , the whole lot of them .![]()
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Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
If you stare at a wall for 30 years eventually you'll see a door.
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Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
original dervish wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 9:40 am If you stare at a wall for 30 years eventually you'll see a door.

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Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
We could even colonize them if we wanted. But obviously we did not have the resources to finance bloody wars so we chose to stick to somaliland . Habar gidir clan who are the poorest in Somalia subdued the entire southern population from galkacyo to kismayo. Until 2009 when alshabaab defeated them. What do you expect from the superior landers .Django wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 8:54 amSo a small clan of iidoor can bring the entire south into submission cajib badhana its like Taiwan threatening China.SahanGalbeed wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:18 am Interesting article . The only difference between the valiant people of Kurdistan and Somaliland is that they are vastly outnumbered by the Arabs which makes them militarily inferior if not relying on another country . We don't have , thank God , that problem . A team of teenager football players in Somaliland could bring Somalia to its knees for they are no match for us in intelligence. Dumb , the whole lot of them .![]()
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Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
Ina Godane and 100 Arap teenagers made your messiah, the kenyan slave, Ahmad Madoobe flee Kismaayo like a bitch and calaacal in exile that Jubboyinka is not Baligubadle lol.Django wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 8:54 amSo a small clan of iidoor can bring the entire south into submission cajib badhana its like Taiwan threatening China.SahanGalbeed wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:18 am Interesting article . The only difference between the valiant people of Kurdistan and Somaliland is that they are vastly outnumbered by the Arabs which makes them militarily inferior if not relying on another country . We don't have , thank God , that problem . A team of teenager football players in Somaliland could bring Somalia to its knees for they are no match for us in intelligence. Dumb , the whole lot of them .![]()
Isaaq are the warriors that defeated Ethiopia in 1977 just like our ancestors did under Ahmed Guray, the Habar Magaadle chief, who was praised by Imam Al Ghazi that he and his men fought like lions on the battlefield.

What happened to "hooyadii" federal-ka in Tukaraq? We made them think twice of attacking us despite our soldiers being told not to launch a devestating offensive that would make Garoowe deserted.
This is the residents of Garowe fleeing when trucks carrying 100's of dead Dofaars reached the town.
Weli lasma gaadhin yaa Daroogo. In the future a war similar to that between Eritrea-Ethiopia will take place between SL - Zoomalia and we will cleanse all the fake "Somalis" from the Horn.
Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
If you have this energy of hate why not join the somaliland military and carry out what you want?Xildiiid wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 4:06 pmIna Godane and 100 Arap teenagers made your messiah, the kenyan slave, Ahmad Madoobe flee Kismaayo like a bitch and calaacal in exile that Jubboyinka is not Baligubadle lol.Django wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 8:54 amSo a small clan of iidoor can bring the entire south into submission cajib badhana its like Taiwan threatening China.SahanGalbeed wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:18 am Interesting article . The only difference between the valiant people of Kurdistan and Somaliland is that they are vastly outnumbered by the Arabs which makes them militarily inferior if not relying on another country . We don't have , thank God , that problem . A team of teenager football players in Somaliland could bring Somalia to its knees for they are no match for us in intelligence. Dumb , the whole lot of them .![]()
Isaaq are the warriors that defeated Ethiopia in 1977 just like our ancestors did under Ahmed Guray, the Habar Magaadle chief, who was praised by Imam Al Ghazi that he and his men fought like lions on the battlefield.
What happened to "hooyadii" federal-ka in Tukaraq? We made them think twice of attacking us despite our soldiers being told not to launch a devestating offensive that would make Garoowe deserted.
This is the residents of Garowe fleeing when trucks carrying 100's of dead Dofaars reached the town.
Weli lasma gaadhin yaa Daroogo. In the future a war similar to that between Eritrea-Ethiopia will take place between SL - Zoomalia and we will cleanse all the fake "Somalis" from the Horn.
Calacal iyo cuqdaad iyo propaganda mel kuma geyneso.
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Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
Dont project your hatred and your propaganda campaign yaa Daroogo.Django wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 4:22 pmIf you have this energy of hate why not join the somaliland military and carry out what you want?Xildiiid wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 4:06 pmIna Godane and 100 Arap teenagers made your messiah, the kenyan slave, Ahmad Madoobe flee Kismaayo like a bitch and calaacal in exile that Jubboyinka is not Baligubadle lol.Django wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 8:54 am
So a small clan of iidoor can bring the entire south into submission cajib badhana its like Taiwan threatening China.
Isaaq are the warriors that defeated Ethiopia in 1977 just like our ancestors did under Ahmed Guray, the Habar Magaadle chief, who was praised by Imam Al Ghazi that he and his men fought like lions on the battlefield.
What happened to "hooyadii" federal-ka in Tukaraq? We made them think twice of attacking us despite our soldiers being told not to launch a devestating offensive that would make Garoowe deserted.
This is the residents of Garowe fleeing when trucks carrying 100's of dead Dofaars reached the town.
Weli lasma gaadhin yaa Daroogo. In the future a war similar to that between Eritrea-Ethiopia will take place between SL - Zoomalia and we will cleanse all the fake "Somalis" from the Horn.
Calacal iyo cuqdaad iyo propaganda mel kuma geyneso.
Half of my cousins are in SL military and theyre doing a good job. Nonetheless when the war against Zoomalia is at our doorstep I will definitely join.

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Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
You don't know about xildiid his entire clan are reserved for the national defence and they are the most ruthless . If president biixi give them the green line , human rights watch won't cope with the situation.
Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
If they are not killing darood they are useless qat chewers we need someone like you with full out blown hatred to kill as much darood as you can and be releived at least.Xildiiid wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 4:41 pmDont project your hatred and your propaganda campaign yaa Daroogo.Django wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 4:22 pmIf you have this energy of hate why not join the somaliland military and carry out what you want?Xildiiid wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 4:06 pm
Ina Godane and 100 Arap teenagers made your messiah, the kenyan slave, Ahmad Madoobe flee Kismaayo like a bitch and calaacal in exile that Jubboyinka is not Baligubadle lol.
Isaaq are the warriors that defeated Ethiopia in 1977 just like our ancestors did under Ahmed Guray, the Habar Magaadle chief, who was praised by Imam Al Ghazi that he and his men fought like lions on the battlefield.
What happened to "hooyadii" federal-ka in Tukaraq? We made them think twice of attacking us despite our soldiers being told not to launch a devestating offensive that would make Garoowe deserted.
This is the residents of Garowe fleeing when trucks carrying 100's of dead Dofaars reached the town.
Weli lasma gaadhin yaa Daroogo. In the future a war similar to that between Eritrea-Ethiopia will take place between SL - Zoomalia and we will cleanse all the fake "Somalis" from the Horn.
Calacal iyo cuqdaad iyo propaganda mel kuma geyneso.
Half of my cousins are in SL military and theyre doing a good job. Nonetheless when the war against Zoomalia is at our doorstep I will definitely join.![]()
Re: The US and UN are repeating Iraq-style mistakes in Somalia
Maybe they are exceasive qat chewers no wonder they spend the time talking about war and conquering.theyuusuf143 wrote: Fri Feb 22, 2019 4:48 pm You don't know about xildiid his entire clan are reserved for the national defence and they are the most ruthless . If president biixi give them the green line , human rights watch won't cope with the situation.
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