AbdiWahab252 wrote:Khalid,
Saxib, lets not lie to each other. While I am a supporter of my Issaq brothers and sisters, there is no way you can take on the Jebertis, Hutus, Eelay, Gadabursi war machine. The sheer numbers of the invaders would overwhelm you.
If it were to happen, the only Issaq group I predict who would put up the biggest fight would be the Garxajis (aka the HG of the North). The Habar Awal would remain neutral until the ending moments of the war before siding with whatever winning side, as they are always "Survivors aka the Abgaal of the North". Habar Jeclo "Closet Jebertis" would follow the Jebertis who will sing sweet songs of "Walalaha Sanaag"
So a Konfur vs. Issaq war would be a clear disaster for Beesha Issaq. Remember it was the Hawiye who freed Hargeisa, Burco and Berbera from Siyaad Barre.
Again, don't be fooled into believing these two things:
1. Somaliland is supported by nonIssaq clans of the North, the NonIssaq ones are just playing along until they get a better option.
2. There is no KONFUUR clan besides Jebertis who would go to war with Issaq. I see no reason for a Hawiye to go to Waqooyi to fight Issaq.
The ones Beesha Issaq should keep an eye on are the Jebertis and Gadabursi. Both will be the first to strangle you guys when the Jeberti invaders attack.
Abdi why do you choose to ignore history, its not like it happened 500 years ago it was less than 30 years ago.
My answer to you is
been there done that.
It might sound like arogance on our part , but we have a right to be proud.
We faced 3/4 of the Somali national army as a clan militia and we had them surrounded and besieged in Burco and Hargiesa from 1988 till 1990.
They depended entirely on air support for ammunition, fuel and food.
Even though they had heavy weapons and armour they refused to engage us out in the open.
They would only fight when the SNM attacked their lifeline the airfields .
now on top of this the Faqash regime armed the dhulbahante millita to the teeth and the gadabursi millitia as well.
We came out on top, the Somali army spent the rest of the war like the AMISOM were until recently , hiding in their bunkers and living with constant daily mortar or rocket attacks as they watched their food and water and ammo decline...
Lets add the numbers the SNA total by 1991 was on paper 75,000.
I dont know how much manpower was sent up north but it is a FACT that 3/4 of all armour and all artillary was sent north
if you add the clan millitias loyal to the regime you have quite a challenge.
against this you had an SNM force of less than 10,000 for most of the war they were no more than 5000
and to make thinks worse they did not have a blank cheque in regards to supplies like the SSDF had.
The SNM had to pay for all arms purchases from donations, this also included the cost of bribes from djibouti, to DireDawa and others costs.
Captured weapons helped alleviate this shortage, but the Somali National Army refused to come out and fight and opputunities for billiliqo were rare.
Now compare this with today our population has more than doubled, we do not have a modern well equipped and disciplined
army sitting on our 2 main cities.
There is no modern armed force in Somalia today , we are the closest there is and honestly we are nothing more than a glorified millitia.
Do you understand where we are coming from..
there is zero threat from somalia..
Even if you unite tommorow and gather forces, and Magically overcome your logistical problems and appear by teleportation on our borders overnight you would not survive for long, because just by defending our lines you will completly collapse.
but to be honest we will never be on the defensive, we will always attack.....
but again abdi..
the only way for somalia to be a threat to somaliland today is through
magic