Perfect_Order wrote:My premise is this.
1. GeoPolitical conditions continue to not look favorable to independence.
2. Focus on the south by the IC
3. Political pressure to have talks from IC
4. A reemergence of Somalia from post-civil war era
The youth are the biggest losers in any bad outcome and stagnation.
1. GeoPolitical conditions continue to not look favorable to independence.
no opposition from europe, US and other neutral countries.
opposition from extremely partisan groups like egypt and Italy gone and they have reverted to a neutral position.
other extreme anti -somaliland groups, yemen, north sudan, libya and yemen have internal issues and will not get involved.
Saudia follows egypts lead.
Geopolitical outlook is the best that its been.
2. Focus on the south by the IC
the south is a problem, focus will always be on problem areas.
3. Political pressure to have talks from IC

the pressue is on the south that does not want to talk and had a fanatsy that they could drag this issue on for years.
Somaliland policy since 1991 has been talks with a responsible government with international mediation.
These talks are somalilands agenda and you are being forced into it, not us. and they were decided at the whitehall and the state department in 2007.
4. A reemergence of Somalia from post-civil war era
This is positive towards our goals, a functioning somalia cannot threaten us in any way, and will lead to negotiations.