Ciidagale and Habar Yonis should abandon UCID party temporary
60 % of Ciidagales votes are locked inside there ( votes that could have decided Riyooles fate or Silaanyo and given Somaliland progress)
And now HY are investing in the same cow.
Garxajis together might be biggest.
But not enough to change the political landscape wihtin a single party
Look how much Sacad Muusa and HJ are struggling with Kulmiye
It's better to act swiftly as an uncommitted single combined moving block, then settling in a party.
Don't forget other Isaaqs have a mental bell in their mind...
Habar Yonis + Ciidagale = bad
Nobody wants to see a Garxajis government
As both subclans are disliked when they act together...
Not even far eastern Harti are interested in such a political developement .
Because it affects the balance nationally due to eastern HY
If Cirro takes over UCID it means Riyoole will lose a great HY base
and Silaanyo will take a homerun into the seat , IF Sacad Muusa feels confident enough to put their whole weight behind.
Ciisa Muuse is within UCID...
and will take their stake no matter who the fock wins really
same with Samaroon and Harti
Arap thoug is playing a risky game
they went out against Riyoole recently with Darawal
and could loose lots of positions if Riyoole is bold enough ..