All Doors are slammed on “Somaliland’s” Secessionist Faces.

[Mondey]

Twenty long years have elapsed since the one-clan secessionist state called “Somaliland” was declared unilaterally in Burao in 1991 under the blazing guns of the then victorious SNM fighters, following the collapse of the Somali state led by the late Mohamed Siyad Barre. The real objective behind the creation of this phantom state that would never see light of day was to establish primarily a country dominated politically, economically and socially by one clan, the clan that supported SNM through thick and thin. The proponents of this mirage state have never anticipated the consequences of their rather unfortunate decision as they never gave a proper thought to the reactions of unionist clans in the region, or the consequences such a decision may have on the rest of Somalis. Northern Somalia is home to Warsengeli and Dhulbahanti in the east, Isaq the SNM Clan in the Centre, Gadaboursi and Issa in the West and a couple of a smaller clans scattered all over the region. Irrespective of the reactions of regional and international communities, it was always going to be difficult for the SNM clan to install their own fiefdom in the midst of formidable strong unionist clans who always banked the support of other Somali clans in central and southern Somalia to counter such a state.


International recognition hit dead-end

In a recent interview with Somalilandpress.com, Dr. Mohamed Abdillahi Omar, the foreign minister and the former lecturer of Brunel University in London, admitted rather diplomatically that the secessionist’s endeavor to gain the much-sought after international recognition had hit difficulties. In other words, it is dead in the water. Without exactly saying the word dead, he mentioned his initially hyped trip to China alongside with Ahmed Silanyo in which tripartite trade deals between China, Ethiopia and “Somaliland” were supposed to be signed had ended in failure for reasons Dr. Omar deliberately avoided to explain but believed to be related to the enclave’s status in the international community. The painful fact is that “Somaliland” cannot enter deals with the outside world because, as far as international community is concerned, they don’t exist. The international community, including regional bodies such as IGAD and Arab league, doesn’t recognize “Somaliland” as a legitimate state. They recognize the TFG of Sheikh Sharif Ahmed as the sole and legitimate government of Somalia. In addition to Dr. Omar’s candid admission, anyone who observed Ahmed Silanyo’s statements during his recent trip to London, Addis Ababa and Djibouti, together with his body language will tell that the most veteran politician in the enclave, who had seen better days in Somalia during a spell of eight years as being a prominent economics minister, may finally be giving up this unattainable dream that exhausted the enclave’s meager resources. Unlike Riyaale, who used to promise the earth as far as international recognition is concerned every time he returned home from personal trips to abroad, often hyped as official trips by “Somaliland” officials, the incumbent Ahmed Silanyo is at least honest enough to show his frustration and share his lack of progress with the public in the attainment of international recognition.

His recent after-midnight interview with the “Somaliland” press in which he talked, among other things, the lack of progress in the hunt of international acceptance is another indication that things are not getting better for the secessionists. In fact, things are getting from bad to worse. Despite privately endorsing “Somaliland”, it is an open secret that Ethiopia had never wanted to see another Somali state, albeit “Somaliland”, breathing on its neck, although politicians in Addis are happy to see the continuation of the status quo in the Somali peninsula as it suits them pretty well. Worst of all, Ethiopia has smelled a rat in Ahmed Silanyo’s cabinet and this made things even more complicated than they were under Rayaale’s regime. Zenawi, who was in good terms with Rayaale’s government, sees certain prominent ministers of Ahmed Silanyo’s government, among them Mohamed Hashi Elmi and the departed Dr. Gaboose, as staunch supporters of Somaliweyn (greater Somalia), hence a threat to the Ethiopian sovereignty. Ethiopia, believed to be an honest friend of “Somaliland” rather mistakenly, may have finally pulled the brakes on the secessionist’s runaway train.


SSC and Awdalstate factor

The communities of Sool, Sanaag and Cayn as well as Makhir have always detested the idea of one-clan state being erected in their backyard and declared their intention from the get go that they would not entertain such a notion. But the secessionists, having amassed weapons and believed that nobody can withstand with their might, had gone alone with it anyway and formed an administration called “Somaliland” in the former British Somali Protectorate in Northern Somalia. At the height of secession in the early nineties, “Somaliland” supporters in the Diaspora community in the UK were reportedly told by the former British Secretary of State for Overseas Development, Lynda Chalker (now Baroness chalker of Wallassy), that for “Somaliland” project to stand any chance of succeeding, they [secessionists] should bring other northern clans onboard the secession bandwagon, a mammoth task that was always going to be difficult to undertake. Believing that everyone was on their side, the secessionist flatly rejected such a suggestion. So long as SNM had the upper hand militarily, they couldn’t care the feelings of unionist clans. This had created resentment among unionist communities in SSC, Makhir and Awdal.

Then as expected came Awdalstate in March 2011, a Diaspora-inspired regional administration that threw the gauntlet to Hargeisa-based authority. Although secessionists have taken Awdalities for granted for reasons only known to them unlike SSC, a simmering resentment was always brewing in the residents of these two regions, particularly among the Diaspora community toward the secession. Awdal and Salel regions are now buzzing with the news that, at long last, an administration of their own had finally arrived, even though still at its infancy. With both SSC and Awdalstate, not to mention Makhirstate, challenging the SNM hegemony on former British Somaliland territories, the secession movement that could not manage a single support from the international community in their favor over a period of twenty years is coming to a grinding halt. All diplomatic doors are slammed on their face as far as international recognition is concerned.

TFG and Mogadishu factor

After a long and bloody civil war that has decimated more than half of its population, Mogadishu, the war-ravaged capital of Somalia, is finally emerging from its miserable past. A normal semblance of life is springing up everywhere in the city, not to mention people going out and doing their day-to-day normal chores without looking over their shoulders. Even a Turkish man (BBC report) was spotted cycling in one of the Mogadishu streets as recently as this week, a thing that was unthinkable only a few months ago. Foreign countries are re-opening their missions. The Al-Shabaab terrorist group, which brought death and destruction to the residents of Mogadishu, is on the wane although they can still pose a threat to certain areas of the city and its environs. For a large number of northern Somalia population, this is the news they longed for many years. Should peace continue to prevail in Mogadishu (and it is most likely this time round), there is no reason why many northerners would not contemplate going back to their properties in Mogadishu aka Xamar and re-start a new life. A similar situation occurred during the short spell the Islamic Courts Union (ICU) restored law and order in Mogadishu where almost half of Burao’s residents were believed to be on their toes. The current situation in Mogadishu will encourage business communities in Hargeisa, Burao, Las Anod, Borama, Erigavo and others major cities and towns in the northern Somalia to relocate their business, or at least partially, to Mogadishu, largely due its higher population together with the fact that Mogadishu is the capital of internationally-recognized Somalia. Consequently, it will have a knockdown effect on the population of Hargiesa, the current capital of the secessionists. The secessionist may think this a fantasy, but believe me you things are turning good for Somalia in general and Mogadishu in particular, and every secessionist doubting this fact is living a cloud cuckoo land.

In conclusion, if the recent events taking place in “Somaliland” are to be considered very carefully, the wheels are certainly coming off the secessionist campaign. Nothing is going in their way despite using all sorts of tactics, including hiring foreign mercenaries. Exhaustion and fatigue is showing on the faces of all the major shakers and movers of “Somaliland” project, including the top two – Ahmed Silanyo and Dr. Omar. If tenacity and hard work alone can bring international recognition, which was abundant in the secessionist camp, the one-clan state of “Somaliland” would have been celebrated in Hargeisa and Burao many years ago. “Somaliland” politicians had left no stone unturned as far as international recognition is concerned, but what they forgot to understand is the fact that the issue of secession is simply untenable. Nobody is going to buy it, especially when there is no concrete reason for secession is evident. Colonel Ojukwu, who just passed away this week in London after a long illness, tried it before and failed when he had declared a secessionist state called Biafra in Nigeria in 1967. This claimed the lives of more than one million people and ended in failure. After more than decades in the wilderness, colonel Ojukwu redeemed himself and ran for the office of presidency of Nigeria in the 2000s. I hope the current politicians of “Somaliland” will redeem themselves and initiate a constructive dialogue with their counterparts in Mogadishu for the sake of their people as well as for the good of Somali nation as a whole.



Mohamed F Yabarag

http://camuudnews.com/?p=19975

[CaynabaX]

SSC and Awdalstate factor

So tell me Mondey, this Awdal State thing, why are they representing their fairy tales all the way from London or the US and not in 'Awdal State' it's self? What a joke.

[Mondey]

SSC and Awdalstate factor

So tell me Mondey, this Awdal State thing, why are they representing their fairy tales all the way from London or the US and not in 'Awdal State' it's self? What a joke.

don't address me until you have 4 digits on ur posts count.

[CaynabaX]

SSC and Awdalstate factor

So tell me Mondey, this Awdal State thing, why are they representing their fairy tales all the way from London or the US and not in 'Awdal State' it's self? What a joke.

don't address me until you have 4 digits on ur posts count.

inan yar oo fariid ah iska dhig, haa baqan sxb aynu wada tashano waxaad iga warantaa su'aasha. Why you acting like kani Prof isku sheeg Samatar la yidhaa.

[Madelina]

Interesting article..Monday bal akhri tana..
http://lughaya.com/2011/11/30/maxaa-ka- ... -ali-elmi/

Maxaa Ka Run Ah Waxa Loogu Yeedhay Awdal State? By Hamud Ali Elmi

Asalamu Calaykum Waraxma tulaahi wabarakaatu, waxaan kaga hadlayaa maqaalkani waxii aan ka ogaa aasaaskii waxa loogu yeedhay Awdal state iyo Marxaladihii kala duwanaa ee ay soo martay.

Sanadku markuu ahaa 1992, ee ay dhacday dowladii midnimo qaran Somalia, wadankana ay ka socdeen dagaaladii Sokeeye ayaa waxa fikrad keenay aqoonyahano ku sugan dalka Canada gaar ahaan magaalada Ottawa, fikirkaasi oo ahaa sidii gobolka Awdal ugu samayn lahayn maamul u gaar maadaama wadankii dowladii dhexe burburtay, dagaalo sokeeyana wadankii ay ka socdaan waxaana lagu dhawaaqay waagaasi Awdal Republic.

1993 ayaa waxa ka dhacay magaalada Boorama Shirkii Beelaha Somaliland ee lagu dhisay Dowladda Somaliland, ka dib dadkii reer Awdal waxa ay ku biireen Somaliland, waxa ay dadkii aqoonyahanii ee ku howlanaa dhisida maamul u gaar ah Awdal ay faraha ka qaadeen fikirkaasi maadaama ay maamul samaysteen dadkii gobolka Awdal iyo goboladii jaarka ahaayeen (Somaliland).

Ka dib waxa dhacday baryo dhawayd markii uu xukunka ka degay Madaxwaynihii hore ee Somaliland Daahir Rayaale Kaahin asal ahaana ka soo jeeda G/Awdal muddo 8 sanadood ahna soo hayay xukunka Somaliland lagu dhawaaqo wax loogu yeedhay Awdalstate iyadoo oo aan muddadaasi uu xilka hayay aan la hadal hayn jirin wax la yidhaahdo maamul goboleed loo samaynayo Awdal.

Dabayaaqadii Sanadkii 2010 ayaa waxa lagu qabtay Xafladdo kala duduwan dalka dibadiisa, oo lagaga hadlayay wax la yidhaahdo Awdal State, waxaan waraystay oo aan telephone u diray ninka hada loo doortay madaxwaynaha waxa loogu yeedhay Awdal state, waxaan waydiiyay war Awdalstate maxay tahay, Yaase wada? Waxuu iigu jawaabay waa tii barigii ay wadeen Aqoonyahanadu ee republic Awdal, waxaan isku dayay inaan ogaado dadka wada, waxa ii cadaatay inay yihiin shaqsiyaad dano gaar ah wata isna qarinaya.

Waxa iigu xigay waxa yimiday dalka Canada September 2011 ninka u qaabilsan qaramada Midoobey Arrimaha Somalia Mahinga, waxa la kulmay ninka Rashiid Aw Nuur oo idhi waxaan ahay Afahayeenka Awdal State, waxaanuu u sheegay Awdal state iyo Waxa ay yihiin, waxana uu ugu jawaabay Mahinga in “State waxa la yidhaahdo ay constitution-ka UN –ta u yaala ay tahay uu ahaado 3 gobol iyo wax ka badan sidaasi daraadeen ayna buuxin Karin shuruudihii looga baahnaa State“.

Maalintaasi maalintii ku xigtay waxa yimiday Magaalada Toronto raysalwasaaraha Somaliya C/wali Maxamed Gaas waxa madashii shirka ka dhax hadlay Rashiid Aw Nuur oo sheegtay Afhayeenka Awdal state, waxuu waydiiyay labo arrimood,

Midi waxay ahayd Scholarship uu bixiyay dowladda Turkigu oo uu siiyay dowladda Somalia oo uu Rashiid u doodayay inuu gobolka Awdal ka helin saamigiisii scholarship-kaasi, Arrinta labaadina waxa uu ka hadlay waxa uu ugu yeedhay Awdal state, intaasi ka dib Jawaabtii uu bixiyay Raysalwasaaraha Somalia Md.C/wali, waxa uu ku jawaabay “Wakhti ku filan oo aan gobolada ugu wada yeedhno dowladda Turkigu nama siin”, mar uu ka jawaabay arragtida waxa loogu yeedhay Awdal state iyo waxa ay ka qabaan waxa uu yidhi “Saddex Gobol iyo waxii ka badan ayaa noogu jira constitution-ka cusub inaan u aqoonsano state, waliba waxa uu raaciyay inaanay hal beel ahi iyo labo toona aanay noqon Karin State”.

Ka bacdi Aniga oo ah Hamud Ali Elmi waxa aan ku kulanay isla magaalada Toronto saacado dabadeed wakhtigaasi Rashiid Aw Nuur, aniga oo ka cadhaysan wakhtigaasi su’aalihii uu waydiiyay iyo sida loogu jawaabay, waxa aan waydiiyay yaa ku soo diray, waxuu iigu jawaabay Guddiga fulinta, ka dib waxa aan ku nidhi maadaama aduunyadii iyo Somalidii aad lahayd waan ka mid noqonayaaba waxaasi aad kala kulanteed, dadkeeniina ay ka mid yihiin Somaliland, sideed wax u wadaan, aniga oo u sheegay inaan u socdo dalkii, waxaanan u sheegay in aan soo ogaanayo dadkii reer Awdal/Salal Waxa ay rabaan, waxaanuu iigu jawaabay xor ayaa tahay waxa aad kala kulanto dadkiina waad noo soo gudbin doontaa?

Waxa aan hada ku suganay Magaalada Boorama, waxa aan waraystay Culimaa’udiinka, Cuqaasha iyo aqoonyahanada dhalinyarada wax baratay ee jaamacada ka baxday iyo kuwa dhigtaba, waxaana wax ka waydiiyay arragtidooda ku aadan waxa loogu yeedhay Awdal state, dhamaantoodba waxay iigu jawaabay inay tahay wax fidno ah, oo dadka reer Awdal yihiin dad nabadgalyo iyo maamul haysta ayna u baahan yihiin in lagaga hadlo kaliya horumarka gobolka, gobolkana ay ka socdaan mashaariicyo badan oo horumarineed sida Dhismaha Jidka Dilla –Boorama, sida hindisaha Dhismaha dekada Lughaya iyo maalgashiga gobolka.

Markaa waxaan ku soo gabagabaynayaa in dadka faro ku tiriska ah ee ku hamiyaya waxa loogu yeedhay Awdalstate, maadaama waxa ay wadaan uu yahay waxa aan cadayn, dadkuna ay u arkaan wax iska riyo ah sida uu yidhaahdo psychology-gu “ Illusion oo ah “Seen something is not real”. sidaasi darteed waxaan u soo jeedinayaa inay faraha kala baxaan waxaan ay wadaan oo inay danahooga qabsadaan ay uga khayr badan tahay, ayna ka qayb qaataan mashaariicda horumarka ah ee ka socda G/Awdal iyo Salal, oo ayna wakhtiga iskaga lumin wax aan faa’iido u keenayn aakhiradooda iyo adduunkoodaba.


Wariye:-
Hamud Ali Elmi
North America- ku Sugan Boorama
Hamud13@hotmail.com

[Mondey]

Lina welcome back
dibnahaa waan u xiisooday

[ToughGong]

Maxaa Ka Run Ah Waxa Loogu Yeedhay Awdal State?

Fuck all

[SahanGalbeed]

Colonel Ojukwu, who just passed away this week in London after a long illness,

sorry to hear that , might have been mr yabarag's friend , but in the case of Biafra

After two-and-a-half years of war, during which a million civilians had died in fighting and from famine, Biafran forces agreed to a ceasefire with the Nigerian Federal Military Government (FMG), and Biafra was reintegrated into Nigeria.[

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biafra

1/ I don't think the diaspora 'awadalites' who've been rejected by their brothers, threathen Somaliland's existence .
2/ There ae 2 more recent cases of sucessful secessions in our part of the world , Eritrea and Sth Sudan .

In conclusion , you fail !

[Mondey]

inan yar oo fariid ah iska dhig, haa baqan sxb aynu wada tashano waxaad iga warantaa su'aasha. Why you acting like kani Prof isku sheeg Samatar la yidhaa.

wiil yar o meesha ku cusub oo raba inu igu so caan baxo ayaad tahay, iga raali ahaw waqti kuuma haye.

[Mondey]

Sahan,

1- diaspora folks and awdalites both share common goals and visions, the only difference is diaspora folks have more freedom.
2- both Ethiopia and Sudan recognized the right of Eritreans and South Sudan respectively to hold a referendum on independence. totally different case than Somaliland and my friends in Mogadisho.

[mcali]

Sahan,

1- diaspora folks and awdalites both share common goals and visions, the only difference is diaspora folks have more freedom.
2- both Ethiopia and Sudan recognized the right of Eritreans and South Sudan respectively to hold a referendum on independence. totally different case than Somaliland and my friends in Mogadisho.

As always tell your garmaaqate dumb ass. Awdal state only exsists in the minds of old men in hotels. The people who live in Awdal 99% support Somaliland. Congrats you are a minority trying to speak for a majority.

[CaynabaX]

inan yar oo fariid ah iska dhig, haa baqan sxb aynu wada tashano waxaad iga warantaa su'aasha. Why you acting like kani Prof isku sheeg Samatar la yidhaa.

wiil yar o meesha ku cusub oo raba inu igu so caan baxo ayaad tahay, iga raali ahaw waqti kuuma haye.

Anigu wax cusubi ah garanmaaye, sow anigu ku idhi haa baqan?

I'm disappointed you didn't answer my question, you don't have to be scared.

[MujahidAishah]

Bow awdal state is supported by riyalle sub clan only the rest of the samaroon hve said loud n clear that they r

Dhulls they r just confused so we cant take them seriously

[gurey25]

moqadishu will sign off on our recognition sooner or later..
they do not have many choices..
this will be addressed soon, and the whole process will be managed by those countries that run moqadishu.

They have been inviting us to come to talks for years, everyone has done it, from the UN to the EU to the arab League,
we said no...

When recognition is on the agenda we will come and talk.

Somaliland will be recognized, its better for you to deal with it, you cannot escape from reality.

[Cumar-Labasuul]

Mondey when he thinks about Somaliland