People don't know AMISOM was originally supposed to be 6 MONTHS but ever since then the Security Council extends their mandate.
The next deadline is 2021 before AMISOM either leaves or has to be extended.
1. I am absolutely sure that there will be another extension in 2021. Right now formally people are treating it as a hard deadline so Somalia feels the urgency to finalize security responsibilities but privately everknows that there will be AT LEAST 1 more extension in 2021.
2. NO COUNTRY in AMISOM has ever started formal talks for exit plans and certainly NONE of the other countries have given any hint they will---that would be forcing a hard deadline instead of letting Somalia be the first to say "Ok guys I am ready to end this" at which point there will be understanding there will be no further extensions.
3. That Kenya will send its Defense Secretary to start FORMAL EXIT PLAN TALKS is 100% assurance they will be gone when this mandate expires whether it is extended or not.
4. We have SUSPECTED that Kenya was ready to pull BACK from its heavy and counterproductive interference in Somalia WHEN THEY MOVED FOREIGN MINISTER M0NICA JUMA TO THE DEFENSE MINISTRY
5. The fighting in Mandera AND EVEN MORE IMPORTANTLY THE FEARS AND PARANOIA BROUGH BY THE 11 KENYAN MPS showing how potentially VULNERABLE KENYA HERSELF IS TO DIVISION from Somalia at HER WEAKEST has woken up Nairobi from her inappropriate interference in Somalia.
6.We are EXPECTING Kenya to turn a page and RECOMMIT herself seriously to respect for the internal affairs of her neighbors
https://www.nation.co.ke/news/Kenya-to- ... ssion=true
Kenya to start talks on KDF exit from Somalia
Wednesday March 4 2020
KDF crossed into Somalia on the night of October 16, 2011.
By NYAMBEGA GISESA
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IN SUMMARY
The talks to be led by Ministry of Defence CS Monica Juma are part of the anticipated Amisom withdrawal by 2021.
The negotiations aim to end about eight years of Kenya Defence Forces (KDF) incursion in Somalia
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Kenya is expected in the coming days to start negotiating its troops exit plans from the African Union Mission in Somalia (Amisom), the Nation has learnt.
https://www.nation.co.ke/news/Kenya-to- ... ssion=true