Ethiopia is finished

[Phinks]

Oromo militias are steadily marching towards Addis Ababa, they are using hit and run tactics to devastating effect to which the ENDF has no answer. If they happen to come across a military base more entrenched and fortified than anticipated, they simply move on to an adjacent area, overrun the base then shortly after the former base is notified and sends reinforcements, they ambush said reinforcements on the road, with some captured ENDF Oromo even joining the militias. They also suceeded in killing the PP leader in county/zone Nagelee (THIS IS HUGE) and confiscated their offices through force, letting them know 'Arsi has no place for PP'. OLA is currently operating throughout 11-Oromia states unlike previously, with operations being limited to 3-states.

'It would appear that the OLA is a highly motivated and very well supplied force, that is operating in a very aggressive manner.
The Ethiopian army is facing tremendous stress. Both in terms of logics and having motivated man power ... The Ethiopian army may in fact be losing quite significant ground inside Oromia against OLA.'



The Tigray people are owed some respect for their discipline and tenacity, they have started moving south towards the border and have been pushing Amhara back, the ENDF is becoming desperate and unwilling to continue to fight TDF, the Eritrean armed forces isn't faring too well, many of their fellow soldiers have either died or run away. A few days ago, authorities in Asmara, the capital city of Eritrea, were going door to door forcing underage kids as well as senior citizens in their 50's and 60's to join their army. And a week or so ago Abiy was begging the Ethiopian youth to join his army in a televised speech while at the same time insulting them in the same speech by telling them the Ethiopian youth 'only want to fight using social media.' More Tigray are calling for independence and have abandoned the concept of 'Ethiopianism'



Amhara have officially annexed west Tigray, which has been given the go ahead by Abiy, yes you read that right. The Ethiopian government has decreed Amhara expansion lawful, in the meantime Sudan has also annexed the western fertile regions of Amhara state. Things are not looking good for the Amhara, the TDF AND OLA have been especially brutal with their attacks on civilians and destroying farms and water wells. Wag Himra, Amhara Communication Head admitted Zata wereda administrative town has been captured by TDF, after securing central Tigray and crippling B30 highway TDF are moving to southern Tigray for Mekele capture.

[Xingalol]

Abiy and Amharas are now beginning to regret attacking Tigray, Filthyiopian will burn to ashes insha-allah,,, no more the most powerful nation of horn,,, i have no sympathy for a nation that involved the deliberate killing of a large group of people of a particular ethnic group, especially somalis,

[paperino]

Not another prediction!

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

Phinks,

Thanks for the update. However, we shouldn’t take sides in this conflict. We should let it play out. A weak Ethiopia is in our interests but the collateral blowback in humanitarian crisis will offset jubilant feelings in seeing them fall. And I highly doubt Ethiopia will fall. The Tigray are done as power players. Their diaspora however I respect, their propaganda is better than Zoomalis. Secondly, I see implicit bias in your support of the Tigray, I’ll leave that lil joke between us Good news is they are focused on their internal affairs and the GERD conflict which is their version of the maritime dispute we have with Kenya. I don’t follow this as much. What do you predict?

[grandpakhalif]

Stability of Ethiopia is a US cornerstone policy, CIA have listening posts for Somalia there. Israel also has this I dont see these powers allowing Ethiopian state collapse.

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

Stability of Ethiopia is a US cornerstone policy, CIA have listening posts for Somalia there. Israel also has this I dont see these powers allowing Ethiopian state collapse.

Add to the fact they also have Russian and Chinese backing as well. Which was shown in the last UNSC meeting regarding the Tigray conflict. Ethiopia is Laandheere in the gobol for a reason.

[Gubbet]

You must get to learn the Arsi my friend. If there is a Somali tribe in Oromo, it is the Arsi.

That's why your statement "Ethiopia is finished" is wrong.

If it was any other group of Oromo, but the Arsi, I would be watching closely.

Ethiopia is a fairly predictable country since the Zemene Misfint (Age of Princes) when the Muslim Yejju Shewa Oromo lords held power over the Abysinnian Kings.

That predictability says;

1. The Arsi would be the first Oromo revolt against centralism and they would be the last to put down.

2. The Shewa-Wallega-Wallo-Jimma Oromo will respond on mix of Gadaa/Religious/Moity/Amara-Assimilation basis to crush the Arsi revolt for the central axis in Addis Ababa.

They always have and even now Jawar vs Abiy represents the face off and difference in "Oromo" between those two diametrically opposed concepts.

Fun facts about Arsi;

They were the the hardest to fight Menelik and Ethiopian control.

They were the only ones to answer Lij Iyasu's call when he was overthrown by Haile Selassie.

They were the biggest supporters of the Italian invasion.

They were... etc etc etc.

They even were also almost entirely the only group to come under "Somali Abbo" name and join Somalia's invasion.

The Arsi would probably be a Somali clan now if these events started much earlier.

What causes them the motivation to fight is also what isolates them from the rest of the Oromo.

The Arsi are the only Oromo who have turned their Gada organization into bonafide Somali like geneological system.

It breeds xenophobia, issues of superiority, and otherizing that turns off other Oromo.

They also display the most Somali-like internationalization of Islam as identity in Ethiopia---a country of religious diversity so much so that even Oromo are broadly part of all or no belief system.

Finally, the Karayuu on the North can't stand them, the Borana and especially Guji south and Southwest are deathly opposed as traditional enemies (Arsi are Muslim and Barentuma; Guji and Borana are Animist/Christian Borana) and...

...the Tulama, Macaa, Raya, Azebo, etc of SHEWA, WALLEGA, WALLO, AND GIBE OF ABIY AHMED

... are as "Amhara" as the vast numbers of Agame making up the base in Gondar, Bahir Dar, and Gojam!

The Arsi are predictable--

---evem "Qeeroo" which was really an Arsi monopolized movement has lost influence as Oromo reorganized once again into different camps based on Gada or "Xeer" (Boran or Barentuma), Moities or Qabiilo (Arsi or Karayuu), Chafes or "Gogol" (Bale or Gibe), and Religion (Waqqafena or Monotheism [Islam or Christian]).

Oroma isku baaba'i doonto watch.

[Sbashi]

You must get to learn the Arsi my friend. If there is a Somali tribe in Oromo, it is the Arsi.

That's why your statement "Ethiopia is finished" is wrong.

If it was any other group of Oromo, but the Arsi, I would be watching closely.

Ethiopia is a fairly predictable country since the Zemene Misfint (Age of Princes) when the Muslim Yejju Shewa Oromo lords held power over the Abysinnian Kings.

That predictability says;

1. The Arsi would be the first Oromo revolt against centralism and they would be the last to put down.

2. The Shewa-Wallega-Wallo-Jimma Oromo will respond on mix of Gadaa/Religious/Moity/Amara-Assimilation basis to crush the Arsi revolt for the central axis in Addis Ababa.

They always have and even now Jawar vs Abiy represents the face off and difference in "Oromo" between those two diametrically opposed concepts.

Fun facts about Arsi;

They were the the hardest to fight Menelik and Ethiopian control.

They were the only ones to answer Lij Iyasu's call when he was overthrown by Haile Selassie.

They were the biggest supporters of the Italian invasion.

They were... etc etc etc.

They even were also almost entirely the only group to come under "Somali Abbo" name and join Somalia's invasion.

The Arsi would probably be a Somali clan now if these events started much earlier.

What causes them the motivation to fight is also what isolates them from the rest of the Oromo.

The Arsi are the only Oromo who have turned their Gada organization into bonafide Somali like geneological system.

It breeds xenophobia, issues of superiority, and otherizing that turns off other Oromo.

They also display the most Somali-like internationalization of Islam as identity in Ethiopia---a country of religious diversity so much so that even Oromo are broadly part of all or no belief system.

Finally, the Karayuu on the North can't stand them, the Borana and especially Guji south and Southwest are deathly opposed as traditional enemies (Arsi are Muslim and Barentuma; Guji and Borana are Animist/Christian Borana) and...

...the Tulama, Macaa, Raya, Azebo, etc of SHEWA, WALLEGA, WALLO, AND GIBE OF ABIY AHMED

... are as "Amhara" as the vast numbers of Agame making up the base in Gondar, Bahir Dar, and Gojam!

The Arsi are predictable--

---evem "Qeeroo" which was really an Arsi monopolized movement has lost influence as Oromo reorganized once again into different camps based on Gada or "Xeer" (Boran or Barentuma), Moities or Qabiilo (Arsi or Karayuu), Chafes or "Gogol" (Bale or Gibe), and Religion (Waqqafena or Monotheism [Islam or Christian]).

Oroma isku baaba'i doonto watch.

Very informative post. I should add that in the last century Borana have massively become muslim. I would say many many are muslim now, thanks to us bordering them. Approximately 40% or more are muslim. They used to be cawaan who cut off men or animal's balls as coming-of-age ritual. We whipped them into shape. Even today the Borana squatting on mx houses in Negeyle are muslim. There is this guy called malow shariff who is squatting on the ugaas's house in negeyle.

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

You must get to learn the Arsi my friend. If there is a Somali tribe in Oromo, it is the Arsi.

That's why your statement "Ethiopia is finished" is wrong.

If it was any other group of Oromo, but the Arsi, I would be watching closely.

Ethiopia is a fairly predictable country since the Zemene Misfint (Age of Princes) when the Muslim Yejju Shewa Oromo lords held power over the Abysinnian Kings.

That predictability says;

1. The Arsi would be the first Oromo revolt against centralism and they would be the last to put down.

2. The Shewa-Wallega-Wallo-Jimma Oromo will respond on mix of Gadaa/Religious/Moity/Amara-Assimilation basis to crush the Arsi revolt for the central axis in Addis Ababa.

They always have and even now Jawar vs Abiy represents the face off and difference in "Oromo" between those two diametrically opposed concepts.

Fun facts about Arsi;

They were the the hardest to fight Menelik and Ethiopian control.

They were the only ones to answer Lij Iyasu's call when he was overthrown by Haile Selassie.

They were the biggest supporters of the Italian invasion.

They were... etc etc etc.

They even were also almost entirely the only group to come under "Somali Abbo" name and join Somalia's invasion.

The Arsi would probably be a Somali clan now if these events started much earlier.

What causes them the motivation to fight is also what isolates them from the rest of the Oromo.

The Arsi are the only Oromo who have turned their Gada organization into bonafide Somali like geneological system.

It breeds xenophobia, issues of superiority, and otherizing that turns off other Oromo.

They also display the most Somali-like internationalization of Islam as identity in Ethiopia---a country of religious diversity so much so that even Oromo are broadly part of all or no belief system.

Finally, the Karayuu on the North can't stand them, the Borana and especially Guji south and Southwest are deathly opposed as traditional enemies (Arsi are Muslim and Barentuma; Guji and Borana are Animist/Christian Borana) and...

...the Tulama, Macaa, Raya, Azebo, etc of SHEWA, WALLEGA, WALLO, AND GIBE OF ABIY AHMED

... are as "Amhara" as the vast numbers of Agame making up the base in Gondar, Bahir Dar, and Gojam!

The Arsi are predictable--

---evem "Qeeroo" which was really an Arsi monopolized movement has lost influence as Oromo reorganized once again into different camps based on Gada or "Xeer" (Boran or Barentuma), Moities or Qabiilo (Arsi or Karayuu), Chafes or "Gogol" (Bale or Gibe), and Religion (Waqqafena or Monotheism [Islam or Christian]).

Oroma isku baaba'i doonto watch.

Very informative post. I should add that in the last century Borana have massively become muslim. I would say many many are muslim now, thanks to us bordering them. Approximately 40% or more are muslim. They used to be cawaan who cut off men or animal's balls as coming-of-age ritual. We whipped them into shape. Even today the Borana squatting on mx houses in Negeyle are muslim. There is this guy called malow shariff who is squatting on the ugaas's house in negeyle.

They put Negeyle into the Borana zone because of us be proud. Do you have the clip of them praising us of our military prowess in afaan Oromo?

[Sbashi]

You must get to learn the Arsi my friend. If there is a Somali tribe in Oromo, it is the Arsi.

That's why your statement "Ethiopia is finished" is wrong.

If it was any other group of Oromo, but the Arsi, I would be watching closely.

Ethiopia is a fairly predictable country since the Zemene Misfint (Age of Princes) when the Muslim Yejju Shewa Oromo lords held power over the Abysinnian Kings.

That predictability says;

1. The Arsi would be the first Oromo revolt against centralism and they would be the last to put down.

2. The Shewa-Wallega-Wallo-Jimma Oromo will respond on mix of Gadaa/Religious/Moity/Amara-Assimilation basis to crush the Arsi revolt for the central axis in Addis Ababa.

They always have and even now Jawar vs Abiy represents the face off and difference in "Oromo" between those two diametrically opposed concepts.

Fun facts about Arsi;

They were the the hardest to fight Menelik and Ethiopian control.

They were the only ones to answer Lij Iyasu's call when he was overthrown by Haile Selassie.

They were the biggest supporters of the Italian invasion.

They were... etc etc etc.

They even were also almost entirely the only group to come under "Somali Abbo" name and join Somalia's invasion.

The Arsi would probably be a Somali clan now if these events started much earlier.

What causes them the motivation to fight is also what isolates them from the rest of the Oromo.

The Arsi are the only Oromo who have turned their Gada organization into bonafide Somali like geneological system.

It breeds xenophobia, issues of superiority, and otherizing that turns off other Oromo.

They also display the most Somali-like internationalization of Islam as identity in Ethiopia---a country of religious diversity so much so that even Oromo are broadly part of all or no belief system.

Finally, the Karayuu on the North can't stand them, the Borana and especially Guji south and Southwest are deathly opposed as traditional enemies (Arsi are Muslim and Barentuma; Guji and Borana are Animist/Christian Borana) and...

...the Tulama, Macaa, Raya, Azebo, etc of SHEWA, WALLEGA, WALLO, AND GIBE OF ABIY AHMED

... are as "Amhara" as the vast numbers of Agame making up the base in Gondar, Bahir Dar, and Gojam!

The Arsi are predictable--

---evem "Qeeroo" which was really an Arsi monopolized movement has lost influence as Oromo reorganized once again into different camps based on Gada or "Xeer" (Boran or Barentuma), Moities or Qabiilo (Arsi or Karayuu), Chafes or "Gogol" (Bale or Gibe), and Religion (Waqqafena or Monotheism [Islam or Christian]).

Oroma isku baaba'i doonto watch.

Very informative post. I should add that in the last century Borana have massively become muslim. I would say many many are muslim now, thanks to us bordering them. Approximately 40% or more are muslim. They used to be cawaan who cut off men or animal's balls as coming-of-age ritual. We whipped them into shape. Even today the Borana squatting on mx houses in Negeyle are muslim. There is this guy called malow shariff who is squatting on the ugaas's house in negeyle.

They put Negeyle into the Borana zone because of us be proud. Do you have the clip of them praising us of our military prowess in afaan Oromo?

Negeyle is in Guji zone. And they put it in guji zone because we got defeated by borana in 1991. We only defeated them recently. Its a long history i will be making the promised thread about it.

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

Very informative post. I should add that in the last century Borana have massively become muslim. I would say many many are muslim now, thanks to us bordering them. Approximately 40% or more are muslim. They used to be cawaan who cut off men or animal's balls as coming-of-age ritual. We whipped them into shape. Even today the Borana squatting on mx houses in Negeyle are muslim. There is this guy called malow shariff who is squatting on the ugaas's house in negeyle.

They put Negeyle into the Borana zone because of us be proud. Do you have the clip of them praising us of our military prowess in afaan Oromo?

Negeyle is in Guji zone. And they put it in guji zone because we got defeated by borana in 1991. We only defeated them recently. Its a long history i will be making the promised thread about it.

Same shit. We’re so Laandheere that we have subs like urs and mines who don’t even see each other. Ugaas Omar (AUN) was right. From Nageyle to Kismaayo. I’m ignorant as my knowledge only extends to the Jubboyinka. I’m a Jubba boy not a Libaan boy. Looking forward to it abti.

[xiimaaya]

good news

[Gubbet]

Started a topic about this for Saddam and Sbashi in the Gedo Section including the very interesting Arsi connection

https://www.somalinet.com/forums/viewto ... 6&t=402496

[Phinks]

Phinks,

Thanks for the update. However, we shouldn’t take sides in this conflict. We should let it play out. A weak Ethiopia is in our interests but the collateral blowback in humanitarian crisis will offset jubilant feelings in seeing them fall. And I highly doubt Ethiopia will fall. The Tigray are done as power players. Their diaspora however I respect, their propaganda is better than Zoomalis. Secondly, I see implicit bias in your support of the Tigray, I’ll leave that lil joke between us Good news is they are focused on their internal affairs and the GERD conflict which is their version of the maritime dispute we have with Kenya. I don’t follow this as much. What do you predict?

Tigray waalaga jarey, for every Somali woman that was raped in Somali region, hundreds are being raped daily by ENDF and Eritrean forces, some reports even state that they're shoving plastic knives, forks and glass bottles into the victims orifices after they're done with them. For each Somali casualty in the aftermath of the invasion of xamar, nearly a thousand have been inflicted on Tigray weekly.

It's no surprise I prefer Tigray winning over Amhara, I want this Amhara dominated union on the horn of Africa to dissolve, Amhara are the foundation of 'Ethiopianism', the head of the sake essentially. We gotta give props to Tigray for destroying ENDF and reducing Eritrean forces while being hammered by UAE drones, it is impressive what they have managed to achieve. I'm gonna post an article on these Amhara, they're the real cancer in the Horn African region.

As for the dam issue, the Ethiopian government has threatened Egypt that the filling will continue unabated starting July. Just a couple days ago Egypt and Sudan signed a defence pact, with Sudan sending out their janjaweed elite forces to the border, the name translates to 'jiini on horses' so you can guess what's about to go down.

[Phinks]

You must get to learn the Arsi my friend. If there is a Somali tribe in Oromo, it is the Arsi.

That's why your statement "Ethiopia is finished" is wrong.

If it was any other group of Oromo, but the Arsi, I would be watching closely.

Ethiopia is a fairly predictable country since the Zemene Misfint (Age of Princes) when the Muslim Yejju Shewa Oromo lords held power over the Abysinnian Kings.

That predictability says;

1. The Arsi would be the first Oromo revolt against centralism and they would be the last to put down.

2. The Shewa-Wallega-Wallo-Jimma Oromo will respond on mix of Gadaa/Religious/Moity/Amara-Assimilation basis to crush the Arsi revolt for the central axis in Addis Ababa.

They always have and even now Jawar vs Abiy represents the face off and difference in "Oromo" between those two diametrically opposed concepts.

Fun facts about Arsi;

They were the the hardest to fight Menelik and Ethiopian control.

They were the only ones to answer Lij Iyasu's call when he was overthrown by Haile Selassie.

They were the biggest supporters of the Italian invasion.

They were... etc etc etc.

They even were also almost entirely the only group to come under "Somali Abbo" name and join Somalia's invasion.

The Arsi would probably be a Somali clan now if these events started much earlier.

What causes them the motivation to fight is also what isolates them from the rest of the Oromo.

The Arsi are the only Oromo who have turned their Gada organization into bonafide Somali like geneological system.

It breeds xenophobia, issues of superiority, and otherizing that turns off other Oromo.

They also display the most Somali-like internationalization of Islam as identity in Ethiopia---a country of religious diversity so much so that even Oromo are broadly part of all or no belief system.

Finally, the Karayuu on the North can't stand them, the Borana and especially Guji south and Southwest are deathly opposed as traditional enemies (Arsi are Muslim and Barentuma; Guji and Borana are Animist/Christian Borana) and...

...the Tulama, Macaa, Raya, Azebo, etc of SHEWA, WALLEGA, WALLO, AND GIBE OF ABIY AHMED

... are as "Amhara" as the vast numbers of Agame making up the base in Gondar, Bahir Dar, and Gojam!

The Arsi are predictable--

---evem "Qeeroo" which was really an Arsi monopolized movement has lost influence as Oromo reorganized once again into different camps based on Gada or "Xeer" (Boran or Barentuma), Moities or Qabiilo (Arsi or Karayuu), Chafes or "Gogol" (Bale or Gibe), and Religion (Waqqafena or Monotheism [Islam or Christian]).

Oroma isku baaba'i doonto watch.

Vehemently disagree, Ethiopia is a dying corpse. Right now as we speak, Oromo are being hunted down by Amhara forces in Oromia Special Zone and North Shewa Zone in Amhara Regional State, let me make this clear, AMHARA ARE KILLING AND EXPELLING OROMIA - THEIR OWN RELATIVES AND IN LAWS - LIVING IN AMHARA STATE.

Prosperity party has admitted this week that OLF's rapid advance to Addis Ababa is dangerous and cause for concern. They are already recalling the battered and bruised ENDF (backed by some Eritrean forces) in an attempt to quell their advance. OLF now controls 13 woredos in West Shewa zone and is in now Muger, 70km from Addis.

Currently, Wollega, where OLA is strong right now, is predominantly Christian. Many OLA fighters are Orthodox Christians. In the past, Hararghe and Bale, both predominantly Muslim places, were OLA strongholds and revolts were led whereas many of the intellectuals, officials and military generals that helped form OLA/OLF also came from Shewa, predominantly Orthodox Christian.

ENDF is not willing to go to the areas mentioned because other ENDFs that go to these areas are not coming back and are reported missing, most ENDF soldiers are Oromo so they don't want to go to the areas they grew up in and possibly engage in firefights with their relatives. OLA actions are intensifying, one of the top ranking OLA figures and an additional one were executed on the side of the road by ENDF. Everything was filmed and released online. Oromo are ROARING for the deaths of Amhara Fano militias, expect things to escalate.