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This is probably the single most important single "1" post I have ever written on this board.Gubbet wrote: Mon Jun 26, 2023 11:41 am 1. Barawe is Somalia's Waterloo.
2. Hiraab is France, Other Hawiye are Naples
3. The Austrians are Mirifle, the Prussians are Digil; German Corps are the Tunni
4. Russians are all the non-Faradheer free floating affiliates collectively "Others", the Spanish 1 are Garre, the Spanish 2 are Biyamaal
5. The Sicilians are Jareerwayne including Gabaabweyn collectively Gibil Madoow, the Netherlands are the Gendershe and other Gibil Cad cultured as south as Bajuni and Lamu/Malindi
6. The British (although I do not foresee combat in the 1st generation) are Marehan with Gedo/England in Jubbaland/Great Britain, the Anglos are Darod altogether
Barawe as a microcosm of the "Between the Rivers" is Somalia's Waterloo.
Hawiye has alread lost, effective 2 generations from now.
From now till then you will put money, vast unsustainable money that will bankrupt you...men that will be sacrificed to defeat, effort that will not pay off----you will put more and more into this open hole until it breaks you like France was broken to herald European age of quiet.
You will lose just like France because "Between the Rivers" is non-Faradheer ocean when you are a sea like the European Rhineland was Germanic compared to the French who were more "material" than "many"
But your loss will not be quick or sudden, it will take at least 2 generations.
Darod is at equilibrium now. From Galkacyo to Kenya border is delusional claptrap today, they have consolidated not just Gedo but Jubbaland, Kismaayo along with Western Galmudug and Puntland/SSC. They cannot take Mogadishu and long gave up today even post-Mogadishu and no one could stand in their way in Jubbaland and Puntland though Hawiye and even their current nemesis united to try hard.
So Darood willl become courted and appealed to by both Hawiye and Non-Faradheer, but Darod will ultimately disclose its strong support to Non-Faradheer or Germans because France is also Anglo-British enemy.
But first war will gather in a full generation between Hawiye and the Nin-Faradheer.
Ultimately the Holy Roman Emporer will be birthed in the form of the Reewin Sultan from the Austrian Archduke who now goes by President of Koonfur Galbeed and he will have his "Holy Roman Empire" or "Arlaadi/Dooy between the Shabelle, the Jubba, and the Indian Ocean up to where Somalia becomes Ethiopia."
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