Shariifs Selection: My Analysis

[Hyperactive]

Screw and the other Moderators please don't move this.

Kudos to the fella but he's got an uphill batte from here.

Somaliland isn't going to work with him. Thats a certainty.

Puntland Will probably play the same role they played post-Arta.

Now want remains in South Galkacyo to Raas Kambooni.

The Shabaab Factor-

If you've been observant like me. The shabaab on their website (Kataaib Which is has now been pulled down by Uncle Sam) had started to refer to Sheik Shariif as simply Shariif.

Mind you Shariif Sheik Ahmed (they still got respect for his pops) ran away from the battle fields of jihad and that doesn't exactly work with Shabaab.

Shabaab along with their allies Raas Kambooni Jabiso etc et al have strategically placed themselves in a position to take most of the south (Galkacyo to Raas Kambooni).

They control The Two jubbas, Shabelle Hoose, Much of Gedo and are poised Bakool and they already have Bay.

They also have presence in Shabelle Dheexe (They are fighting in balcad) they recently controlled most of Galgaduud under the tutelage of Adan Ceyrow AUN and later Timo jilec aka Abu Sulaym AUN until the so called ahlu sunnah warlords took over with the help of the habeshi but Al shabaab are poised to make a comeback.

Now Shariifs group control Beledweyn Most of Hiiraan for that matter and Shabelle dheexe (It's his power base).

Xamar is were all these groups including Asmara are in.

Shabaab want to fight the Amison troops. He wants more Amison troops.

Shabaab want to take Somaali Galbeed NFD , he wants 'peace' with somalia's neighbours.


Hassan Dahir Aweys-

He's beens sending messages of Support for Al Shabaab indirectly. He's against the Djibouti group conference and he believes that they should continue to attack the Amisom forces.

He's the X-factor.

Now what will finally happen is that Shabaab and Shariif either sit down (highly unlikely) or duke it out.

We will wait and see.

alshabab do not want to take ogaden neither nfd and that was to just gain public support.

back to the topic, alshabab specially mukhtaar and co wants to share the power or else!.

why they would give away their militia without some thing back?

it will be stupid act from abu mansour if he dis that.

[FAH1223]

hyper, i think shabaab has the "one caliphate, one ummah" plan, outside of borders

[Cawar]

hyper, i think shabaab has the "one caliphate, one ummah" plan, outside of borders

So did Sharif sheekh Axmed..before he tasted what corrupted life is.

I dont see any legitimate islamic force in this world at this time..individuals maybe..but not an entire group...and if ever they have back stabbers and hypocrite sell outs amongst them anyways.

[Salahuddiin]

Good and realistic analysis, now we just wait and see how things start moving. There could be some possibilities for peace but very small and I have negative feelings that anything good would come out from this.

Al Shabaab is not an obstacle in the way of peace and they have legitimate claims. Why should they give up land they control and their forces over to Shariif? Like who is he?? TFG is exactly the same with exactly the same goals it had few years, nothing changed except the puppet who is in "charge".

Shariif needs to decide who he wants to please? UN/USA/Ethiopia and rest of the kuffaar outside or please his muslim people, he can't have it both ways because both sides has totally different expectations and needs.

What Shariif needs to do in order to make peace in Somalia and unify people is three things:

1. Establish shari'a law.

2. Say no to UN/AU troops and doing this (and the shari'a) he would get the support from al Shabaab who have been 100 times better and efficient peacekeepers than those africans and they would be the police and military force.

3. No deals and peace with Ethiopia if it's not related to looking for solution in Somali Galbeed. He can make temporary peace and relations with them if they also stop army operations inside Galbeed, and this would be better in order to stabilize, unify and strenghten Somalia and in the future insha Allah we would liberate it by force.

Those ones who use treaty of Hudaibiyah as an evidence for making peace with Tigreys, then I ask how was the treaty nullified? When kuffaar allied to Quraysh attacked kuffaar allied to muslims. At this point treaty was automatically nullified. Now how can muslim have a deal and peace with entity that keeps on killing muslims elsewhere? Impossible. Yes, we can have temporary peace and relations and that is bound to stopping military operations against Somalis and muslims.

Anyway, I don't except anything good from Shariif but if he delivers then alhamdulillah, just don't see that's even possible when considering what is TFG, who are in it and who are it's masters. And also new ideology and goals of Shariifka are coming clearer day by day....

So let's wait and see.