How Hawiye could use al-shabaab effectively?

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galia2
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How Hawiye could use al-shabaab effectively?

Post by galia2 »

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There is no doubt that shabaab's grass root support comes primarily from the darood and D&M clans. We can't change that but we could sure utilize it to our own advantage.
Al-shabaabs not popularly with the hawiye clan and is blamed on various assassinations and suicide bombings that has killed countless hawiye victims.

What we should concentrate on is to continue to build up somalia's armed forces and intelligence mainly from hawiye recruits. Continue to strongly align ourselves with the United states, Britain and the European union.
We must alinate the other clans so that the international community can deal with us alone concerning Somali affairs.
Meaning that the TFG's budget can be spent in Mogadishu, banaadiir, Galmudug and hiiraan provinces.

We need to just focus in securing Mogadishu and to the strengthen ties with other hawiye regions such as Galmudug, Hiiraan and ASWJ controlled areas. We need to use shabaab to isolate our rivals who have deep seated hatred for us.
Inshallah the in coming offensive would only be aimed at securing Mogadishu and the Banadiir province as well as securing Beledweyne with ASWJ allies. Meaning darood and D&M dominated areas for the time being would remain under shabaab governance
If Bandiir in secured along with Mogadishu, why should we trouble ourselves with liberating kismayooo? A city and a region that is populated with the darood clan that is only allied with shabaab to harm hawiye interest because of their deep seated and rooted hatrted for us.

What we should do is let shabaab hold on to Kismayoo and the region as long as possible until, we in Mogadishu build up our own strong government institutions, such as the army and police to be able to assert authority on these animals the way we wish
Shabaab could be a great tool to weaken these people, cut their ties to the rest of the world. Be behind education and poorly organized to compete with us for influence on the international stage.

Inshallah puntland can be dealt in a different way, we could easily destroy them economically by ensuring the cheaper and more efficiently Mogadishu port is running effectively to service the needs of all south and central somalia.
As a the legitimate government of somalia we could put a travel ban on their leaders, harming their ties to the rest of the world.
We could also threaten any company that has dealings with them to pull out as they have no authority from somalia's government.
Puntland would eventually be so weakened that they would be forced to heavily rely on us, that is Mogadishu.

How to deal with somaliland? This one is far harder and much more complicated. To begin to challenge somaliland we would need to have a lot of luck and think very hard.
Militarily somaliland might even be stronger than us. The best option is to isolate somaliland in the authority of the government. Build a strong relationship with the african union to support us. Call on the international community to pressurize somaliland to have negotiations with us for talks on forming a United government
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Re: How Hawiye could use al-shabaab effectively?

Post by grandpakhalif »

galia if you are thinking like this i hope shabab continues
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Re: How Hawiye could use al-shabaab effectively?

Post by Talo alle udaa »

TFG tribal militia will fight each other the second they step in the border!
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Re: How Hawiye could use al-shabaab effectively?

Post by king of kismayo »

galia

I promise you hawiye will once again snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, do they know the combined darood forces in jubaland are over 10000, and do know how that will effect the power balance in somalia?

you talk about hawiye as hawiye is monolithic entity, whos forces are being trained?, abgaal, who will properly use their new found resource to isolate..or even tray again too evict habar gedir from lower shabbaale and xamar.
or are you talking about xawadle who wants to join ehlu sunnah for tribal reason so that they might get support to claim the entire hiraan gobol
how about habar gedir getting trained how will they use their new capability I recon cayr want lower shabale back and sacad will once again go into unholly allaince that will see them desimated once and for all

darood aims are simple and less complicated-jubaland sade iyo absame kismayo capital, sade comes from doloow absame comes kenya border and they will anounce what has been agreed in kenya and in doolow, its no that complicated

puntland- is al ready a reality
SSC has been anounced and created notting can stop them
and ehlu sunnah wich only compliment darood share in the somali political pie, and that will give darood a clear majority voice over all somalis combined, and ehlu sunnah will only empower habar gedir(cayr) and that will turn cayr into the unelected leader of hawiye due to their political maneuvering and unorthodox allainces

after darood is finished with the basics of the households(ssc,puntland,jubaland iyo ehlu sunnah), the legendy darood Realpolitik will be on display in the next election, there is a storm coming and hawiye aint ready, trust me, but pleas don`t complaine that you have been cheated

here is what I think will happen ifnthe commin offensive against al shababImage
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Re: How Hawiye could use al-shabaab effectively?

Post by Amilla »


there is clear difference between the reality on the ground and hopeful thinking.
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