There is a difference between failed state and a failed country.Salah Al-Din wrote:sahal80 wrote:FIrstly sovereing means to have a world diplomatic relations. Somalia is now a sovereing country and today the japan ambassador has arrived mogadishu...every month a new 4 ambassadors arrive usually. The south sudan crisis and who saved the somalis in there is a big example to tell who is sovereignSalah Al-Din wrote:
Now to your question; after the south sudan seceded from the north, sudan(the north/the whole sudan) was labeled as a failed country and when the south gained its independence they call it the birth of a failed state!.
This move has destabilized the whole sudan including the west and now the south itself!!.
The same thing may happen to somalia if it considers to take the same move, it may destabilize the whole somalia and even somaliland will need a patron state like ethiopia for its stability(we read the ethiopian deputy fm having sent a message to abdiwali gaas concerning the eastren somaliland regions)
The animosity between mogadishu and hargeysa will get larger and it won't solve the problem just like ethiopia is still at war with asmara or between the sudanese genarally. Thus, the somali govt can't be responsible for making somalia a failed country but if this choice was reached from the outside world the govt won't take the responsibility.
I have listened to an interview with guleed and he said that he follows the govts 6 pollar policy wich one of them states to reach a unity, however, I believe he doesn't fit for this job.
Sahal,
Somalia has been a failed state for more than 23 years now. Somalia giving de jure recognition to Somaliland will not change the situation adversly. In fact the situation might get better in that Somaliland can help Somalia get back on its feet. There is a somali proverb " Colka wadhaf ma lagu dayey". Meaning did we try something different? 23 years Somalia has been saying Somaliland can't get separate but all that has accomplished is the citizens of Somaliland & citizens of Somalia have been drifting apart ever since.
I think the mutual recognition of Somaliland & Somalia and co-operation, including Djibouti would herald a new dawn for Somalis in the horn. In fact, Somalia is at its weakest moment today because today there is the occupation of Kenya & Ethiopia and the rest of the AMISOM countries. However, when Somaliland gets its de jure recognition it will have a seat in IGAD and the UN which will bolster the voice of the Somalis two three. There would be no need for foreign involvement in Somalia because Djibouti & Somaliland would help Somalia pick up the pieces.
All in all, it is a win win situation for both Somalia, Somaliland & Djibouti.
I disagree totally. Somaliland will never be like djibouti and will be on the side of ethiopia. Djibouti had given the somalia intelligence information againist ethiopia during the 77 war. In djibouti was done a lot of somali reconciliations including the agreement with the islamic courts. Djibouti wants strong somalia on its side.
Mogadishu will never recognize somaliland, its a fact but wants to create a new political balance where hargeysa controls the north and mogadishu the south.
Now somalilands card is about two things; having a different colonial history and having stability. The talks will continue with a lot of delayments, say once in 5 months, another year in wich during the stability will be back to the south and this would make your independence claim mute and the world would tell you; you got only to negotiate on power sharing!.