I do not ignore the facts on the ground, there is no millitary solution to the Syrian problem, because you will have a failed state.grandpakhalif wrote:Leftist hit the nail on the head accept his rant on slavery, FAH is a closet supporter Assad and is seeking to defame me by using my earlier views against me. Why the need to repost quotes from 3 years ago? Yes, I already admitted to supporting stability and order in Syria during that time because of the fresh Arab Spring that emerged. We have already seen the devastation of Iraq withou Saddam and the lawlessness in Libya after Qaddafi. At that time I knew Syrians would not achieve anything by demonstrating and the sound and logical thing to do was to not start unrest in Syria. But after Syrian regime's devastating chemical attack on Ghoutta and the massacres of Bayda and Baniyas https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayda_and ... _massacres I could no longer support that position and urged Assad to go.
But you oh gurey are continuing to claim the upper morale ground by constantly ranting against takfiris carnage and continue to ignore the facts on the ground. the Syrian people have showed support and solidatory with many moderate rebels like the FSA and Jaysh al Islam front,yt your moral conscious continues to be silent as you cheer for more Russian strikes against these legitimate resistances.
After Assad falls, ISIS will fight Alnusra and others and win, during this fight there will be "Peace keepers" NATO with some arab countries fighting
dozens of different groups as well as ISIS for ever, till they leave decade later, and after even more civilians are dead.
The rebels have refused all talks because they believed western and Gulf support will gaurentee them victory.
why talk win you will win everything right?
The Russians and Iranians have forced Assad to agree to real negotiations where it will lead to powersharing, early in 2012 and 2013 and last year.
The Russians reiterated the condition of a negotiated settlement again before going into Syria recently.
Why does the Syrian government have a role in future talks?
its because it still controls around 20%of the territory and around 35% of the popualtion, including all the minorities which make up at least 15% of the population.
Its also why the Russians are hitting Alnusra and other groups harder than ISIS, because it sees them as future negotiations partners
it wants to weaken them militarily and secure the Syrian States strategic position.
So all those talks about an afghanistan situation and getting in a quagmire is overblown,
by having a very narrow focus, they can secure the Syrian Governments hold over its territory by only gaining a few percentage points in land mass.
1: strategically contain the west by the air campaign using only 35 planes.
2: inflict sever defeats on the opposition to weaken them and gain enough territory to make it easier to defend and hold.
3: weaken the rebels before negotiations begin.
Assad will never rule the whole of Syria, but his regime will be a major player in Syria for the forseasble future.



