Trump aiming for a Sino-Russia split?

[FAH1223]

Rickards is off his hoot IMO. China and Russia isn't the same as the Sino-Soviet split that occurred. The Eurasian project along with all of the other initiatives aren't going to be passed over even if Trump re-establishes full relations with Moscow. But it is a perspective that seems to be permeating with Trump's team.

There are three primary powers in the world – the U.S., Russia, and China. All other nations are secondary allies, or tertiary powers. In a three-power system, the object of foreign policy for a primary power is to align with one of others to the detriment of the third. A great power that does not pursue this policy becomes the victim of an alliance between the remaining two. Such an alliance need not be permanent; it can shift, as was the case with Nixon’s opening to China, which put Russia on the defensive and led eventually to the downfall of the Soviet Union.

This dynamic is not difficult to grasp. Adults playing the board game Risk know that while the game begins with six players, it quickly evolves to three survivors. At that point, it is imperative for two of the players to align and destroy the third by systematically attacking it, and refraining from attacking each other. The victim is quickly wiped from the board.

Of course, geopolitics is more complex than Risk. Players are rarely removed from the board; they are just temporarily advantaged or disadvantaged in pursuing their national goals. But, the three-power dynamics of two-against-one are fundamentally the same. Bismarck knew this. Kissinger knows it today. Obama does not.

Obama subscribed to a post-national globalist ideology, which finds no correlative in the real world outside of faculty lounges and Georgetown salons. In Obama’s worldview, nation states are a problem, not a solution. Global goals on issues like climate change, trade, the OECD’s world tax program, and the IMFs world money program require global institutions. Nation states are temporary impediments until global governance can be built through non-democratic transnational institutions.

Meanwhile, Russia and China never lost sight of their national interests. While their leaders dutifully attend the same multilateral venues as Obama, such as the G20, IMF, and regional summits, they persistently put Russia and China first. For Russia and China, the world is a dangerous place in which national interest is advanced ruthlessly; not Obama’s Kumbaya-laced globalist fantasy of one world order.

This hard-edged realism by Russia and China combined with a lack of realism by Obama has led to the worst possible outcome for the United States. Russia and China have become deeply intertwined and are building a durable alternative to the post-war dollar-based system dominated by the U.S.

These Russia-China initiatives include deepening cooperation through the BRICS, the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, the Asia Infrastructure and Investment Bank, the New Silk Road, and joint efforts in weapons systems and space.

Most threatening is that in the past ten years, Russia increased its gold reserves 203%, and China increased its gold reserves an estimated 570%. Such gold accumulations have no purpose other than to lay the foundation for a non-dollar based international monetary system. No great power has prevailed long without a great currency. When confidence in the dollar fails, U.S. power will fail with it.

Obama blundered because he allowed Russia and China to pursue the two-against-one dynamic leaving the U.S. as the odd man out. Fortunately it is not too late to reverse this dynamic. Signs from the new Trump administration are encouraging. Trump’s early actions and appointments suggest he understands the precarious position of the U.S., and is already moving to change the status quo.

Russia is a more natural ally of the U.S. than China. Russia is a parliamentary system, albeit with autocratic overtones; China is a Communist dictatorship. Russia has empowered the Orthodox Church in recent decades, while China is officially atheistic. Russia is encouraging population growth while China’s one child policy and sex-selective abortions resulted in the deaths of over twenty million girls. These cultural aspects – elections, Christianity, and family formation – provide Russia with a natural affinity to western nations. Russia is also superior to China militarily despite recent Chinese advances. That makes Russia the more desirable ally in any two-against-one scenario.

The most powerful argument for embracing Russia to checkmate China is energy. The U.S. and Russia are the two largest energy producers in the world. U.S. energy production is set to expand with the support of the Trump administration. Russian production will expand also based in part on initiatives led by Rex Tillerson of Exxon, soon to be Secretary of State. China has few oil and natural gas reserves and relies heavily on dirty forms of coal and some hydropower. The remainder of China’s energy needs is met through imports.

An energy alliance between the U.S. and Russia, supported by Saudi Arabia, could leave the Chinese economy and, by extension, the standing of the Communist Party of China, in jeopardy. That threat is enough to insure Chinese compliance with U.S. aims.

An emerging U.S.-Russian entente could also lead to the alleviation of western economic sanctions on Russia. This would open the door to an alliance between Germany and Russia. Those two economies have near perfect complementarity since Germany is technology rich and natural resource poor, while Russia is the opposite.

Isolation of Russia is a fool’s errand. Russia is the twelfth largest economy in the world, has the largest landmass of any country in the world, is a nuclear power, has abundant natural resources, and is a fertile destination for direct foreign investment. The Russian culture is highly resistant to outside pressure, but open to outside cooperation. Just as fifty years of U.S. sanctions failed to change Cuban behavior, U.S. sanctions will not change Russian behavior except for the worse. Engagement, not confrontation is the better course. The new Trump administration gets this.

U.S. voices such as John McCain, Mitch McConnell and Lindsey Graham are quick to say, “Russia is not our friend.” Why not? Could it be because President Obama publicly humiliated Vladimir Putin by saying he was, “like a bored kid in the back of the classroom”? Could it be because Obama proclaimed that Russia under Putin is “on the wrong side of history.” In fact, Putin’s sense of history goes back to Peter the Great. Obama’s does not seem to go back further than 1991.

Most of the tension in U.S. – Russia relations today stems from Russia’s invasions of Crimea and eastern Ukraine in 2014. But, Russia’s Crimean invasion should have come as no surprise. U.S. and British intelligence services and foreign NGOs destabilized the pro-Russian elected government in Kiev in early 2014 causing Ukrainian President Yanukovych to flee into exile in Russia.

Ukraine was always a bridge too far for NATO and EU membership. Better to leave Ukraine as quasi-neutral buffer between east and west than put its status in play. Ukraine has always been culturally divided. Now it is politically divided as well. Russia’s hand in Ukraine was forced by the shortsighted western interventions of Obama and David Cameron. Obama will soon leave the scene; Cameron already has. Putin is the last man standing, unsurprising for a man whose pursuits include martial arts and chess.

Fortunately it’s not too late to reestablish a balance of power that favors the United States. China is a rising regional hegemon that should be constrained. Russia is a natural ally that should be empowered. The U.S. has blundered in its foreign policy for the past eight years. A new Trump administration has an opportunity to reverse those blunders by building bridges to Russia, and it seems to be moving in that direction.

http://www.darientimes.com/79397/rickar ... ps-gambit/

[smooth]

FAH

The policy shift has to be understood in the white supremacy context of the Alt-Right, with Steve Bannon as his chief of staff, why fight other 'whites' when you can easily unite against the growing threats of the rest? especially with virtually every white-country suffering from population decline?

This marriage makes more sense and those guys at Breitbar regularly wrote about this, the reason they are Pro Russia and Pro Putin is due to white supremacy not geopolitics, together they can military dominate all of us put together with their sheer combined forces.

It makes perfect sense and those Alt-Right guys like Bannon are very smart guys, unlike the Zionist backed Globalist camp that want to steam roll everyone who disagrees with them creating countless enemies along that destructive path with BRIC's, AIIB and countries dumping the dollar.

This great battle pits the nationalist against the globalist will tear Europe apart and fragment it. you can already see these signs especially around Europe, everybody is coming out with their own maps, flags and history and the place is starting to disintegrate quick.

They are loosing out big to the far East and Eurasia and the only way to survive these coming onslaughts is to bring Russia into the fold and play the White supremacy card with a different brush and favour, it's how Trump won the election pretty much and this will have great appeal.

[Somaliantoplad]

Breitbart has the keys to the White House

[FAH1223]

FAH

The policy shift has to be understood in the white supremacy context of the Alt-Right, with Steve Bannon as his chief of staff, why fight other 'whites' when you can easily unite against the growing threats of the rest? especially with virtually every white-country suffering from population decline?

This marriage makes more sense and those guys at Breitbar regularly wrote about this, the reason they are Pro Russia and Pro Putin is due to white supremacy not geopolitics, together they can military dominate all of us put together with their sheer combined forces.

It makes perfect sense and those Alt-Right guys like Bannon are very smart guys, unlike the Zionist backed Globalist camp that want to steam roll everyone who disagrees with them creating countless enemies along that destructive path with BRIC's, AIIB and countries dumping the dollar.

This great battle pits the nationalist against the globalist will tear Europe apart and fragment it. you can already see these signs especially around Europe, everybody is coming out with their own maps, flags and history and the place is starting to disintegrate quick.

They are loosing out big to the far East and Eurasia and the only way to survive these coming onslaughts is to bring Russia into the fold and play the White supremacy card with a different brush and favour, it's how Trump won the election pretty much and this will have great appeal.

Yeah but the Russians don't operate on geopolitics with white supremacy

[gurey25]

White supremacists don't know that, they are usually pretty stupid.

But this is a silly idea. Would you believe it's blowing up over the blogosphere.

They really believe Russians and Chinese are as stupid as they are.

[smooth]

Fah & Gurey

If you play on people's fear, their population decline, their growing Muslim population (Moscow has more Muslims then Istanbul), the fear of the Chinese plan's to take their lucrative resource rich territory that is disputed and the major demographic changes happening already

The arguments are there but I doubt they will ever see eye to eye due to their sheer greed, but that's really Breitbar alt-right world vision in a nutshell, the Russian's are desperate for the sanctions to be removed and this card may have no appeal with Kremlin but does with large swathes of the populations.

The conditions are like Nazi Germany in Europe, everyone is looking for that strong populist type of leader, the Eastern Europeans and Russian's are more white supremacy inclined with far more knack for brutality then those softie Alt Right's in America.

I hope this marriage never happens, it will be a total utter disaster for the world and Putin is looking to hang up the gloves some time soon and retire, his purported successor openly writes about these ideas, darker days are ahead.

[gurey25]

Fah & Gurey

If you play on people's fear, their population decline, their growing Muslim population (Moscow has more Muslims then Istanbul), the fear of the Chinese plan's to take their lucrative resource rich territory that is disputed and the major demographic changes happening already

The arguments are there but I doubt they will ever see eye to eye due to their sheer greed, but that's really Breitbar alt-right world vision in a nutshell, the Russian's are desperate for the sanctions to be removed and this card may have no appeal with Kremlin but does with large swathes of the populations.

The conditions are like Nazi Germany in Europe, everyone is looking for that strong populist type of leader, the Eastern Europeans and Russian's are more white supremacy inclined with far more knack for brutality then those softie Alt Right's in America.

I hope this marriage never happens, it will be a total utter disaster for the world and Putin is looking to hang up the gloves some time soon and retire, his purported successor openly writes about these ideas, darker days are ahead.

You are relying on fundementally wrong information, basically simple propaganda directed at the unsophisticated masses in the west. There is no white and black, or even the concept of a superior race outside of Anglo-saxons states and Western Europe.
The rest of the world think in terms of ethnicity.
Russia is not western, it is its own civilization thats how Russian nationalists see themselves .
They are diverging quickly from the west due to the return of religion, while the west is post-christian.
Putin is a devout christian and you cannot enter his inner circle if you are not religious.

Putin is Russian and is an orthosox christian, he sees the world through those eyes,
what you are seeing is that just like americans voted for trump, europe could do the same and vote for a nationalist.

The Old left wing and Right wing is dead replaced by a sickening facade that is useless and even more servile like Syriza in Greece for example.
All the left wing parties are fake and the same as the rightwing.

These NAZI facist parties are really plain old nationalists that care about the interests of their countries and not just serving the empire loyaly. So ofcource putin will be up in all that.
Any real populist and nationalist party in europe with the people behind them will naturally gravitate towards Russia.


So dont be afraid all this fear you are getting is because the propaganda that diffused into your mind is really just an insight into the Psyche of those who run the empire, and they are frightened because they are not used to having events out of their hands.

the Russian's are desperate for the sanctions to be removed and this card may have no appeal with Kremlin but does with large swathes of the populations.

Sanctions are the best thing to happen to Russia, it has transformed entire industries especially agriculture, before sanctions Russia was number 5 exporter of wheat, it just beat the US to the number 1 position in 2016.
Heavy machinery like mining equipment , and trucks are now exported too.
When asked about the counter sanctions on Europe, he said that Russia will not lift the sanctions even after Europe lifts theirs.

[smooth]

Gurey

I agree with you on most point, the white supremacy stuff is not propaganda at all as you claim directed at the masses, I don't see any major media news group promoting this, it's all underground and has been festering their for decades until it's great awakening in the last 18 months or so.

This trend was for all to see, I was of the few that predicted Brexit in advance and didn't even hedge in my investments, sold everything days before when the fake polls showed remain winning by a large margin and even shorted the pound.

I agree the upper echelons the story is different, but to pass this rise of white supremacy as PR is disingenuous, I have been watching this trend closely for several years now, I am sure you were wrong on Trump and Brexit as well.

All their division tactics, sectarian conflict baiting and the new borders they were drawing in our lands are coming back home to haunt them, I have colleagues next to me that have started to openly talk about guarding their white heritage and culture, it's all in the open now no longer suppressed.

This is a great thing for us, because it will be the cause of their conflicts, divisions and ultimate destruction, they will no longer have the funds to instigate conflicts all around the globe and loot resources, those troops will be coming back home to quell the uprisings much like the Ethiopian ones left our country after their own mini-crisis.

The great justice of our Lord is being meted out against these genocidal neanderthal albanoid, can't even fulfil a simple project without their stooges and lackeys intervening, sabotaging etc. Luckily for me I will be out of here in the next 6 months before they genocidal imbeciles turn on each other.

[original dervish]

By 2050 Russia will be a Muslim majority country......white supremacy has had it's time.

[Basra-]

I am appalled at how naïve gurey and original are. (I think them the same person, let the record show. sit on it lol)



gurey aka original--states Putin is a devout Christian. What? I don't think so. The man is irreligious. I have seen no signs he is governed by any faith other than what governed Stalin---and North Korea Kim---His own self image. Power hunger thirst. I think if he had his way, he would declare himself a God. As to Russia becoming a majority muslims in 2050---it is absurd.


I am watching this series called wonderlist on CNN --very nice. A travel show. The host is in Holland---he interviewd the conservative politician who is anti islam. he says--as dutch we are a tolerant society, but we cannot be tolerant to a society that is not tolerant towards us. Islam is anti democracy he says. I happen to agree with him by the way.

I absolutely agree. The problem with Islam is--it is too aggressive, and lacks holly compassion. Even the passive ones like Saudi Arabians---do not show humanitarian compassion. They deport muslims on daily basis from their nations. They don't offer asylum to muslims. They live like infidels wearing khamises.




The article writer is a dreamer. If he thinks US via Trump will be working with Putin, he is gravely mistaken. The premise theory of the article is---three major power in the world-- two can come together and check the other one. How come China and Russia never came together against USA??? Impossible right? Why? Because the United States of America is the indispensable power. Basically Russia n China are our Bit!!ches. We sit and wait for them to come to us begging and put something we want on the table. We are so self satisfied--its glorious. God bless the United states of America.