i dont see difference between kenya and Ethiopia

[original dervish]

Sahal.....I gotta respectfully disagree with your assessment.

Madobe has no clan, ideology or principles .....only Madobe self preservation. That's why he has outlasted everyone of his opponents.

It's a strategic mistake to conflate political considerations of Somali region with that of Somalia.
They are two very different animals.

Madobe will talk to the Ethiopians and agree to whatever they want in order to remain in power.

Farmaajo is a lame duck....all but finished politically.
We await the next president who will probably be an extreme hagite.

[sahal80]

Sahal.....I gotta respectfully disagree with your assessment.

Madobe has no clan, ideology or principles .....only Madobe self preservation. That's why he has outlasted everyone of his opponents.

It's a strategic mistake to conflate political considerations of Somali region with that of Somalia.
They are two very different animals.

Madobe will talk to the Ethiopians and agree to whatever they want in order to remain in power.

Farmaajo is a lame duck....all but finished politically.
We await the next president who will probably be an extreme hagite.

firstly let me tell you that i support the oromo change in Ethiopia bc the TPLF was deploying a counterinsurgency in the Somali region that was 95% reer cabdulle against the reer cabdulle. they say 60,000 prople were killed by this counterinsurgency, However, Kablalah Sahalists support the tigraay and ileey for their Slogan hello Garisa, hello jigjiga hello Kismaayo so there was a liyu police intelligence in kismaayo hunting the ONLF even in dhadhaab and there is a book about it. the New regime is reversing the OG situation in the somali region and in JL. gave half of power to the dir. now dir lead the party and central committee is 50/50 absame and dir(3 dir and one isaaq) speaker is dir but i dont really care about the dur stuff only not beeing attacked anymore by liyu police.

Farmaajo and farah macalin and ONLF and cawlyahan politicians want someone like mustafe cagjar in JL then the oromo vision for all Somalia will be implemented like so called the cushitic integration.

Sahalist Fayasal roble who was with abdullahi yuusuf and against shariif now saying this is the sevond invation of Ethiopia and they are targetting madobe like they targeted ileey. i heard he is awrtable.

"in the early hours of Mogadishu, the current Ethiopian ambassador in Somalia, Jamaluddin has told supporters of the Farmajo government that “Ethiopia has determined to do to President Ahmed Islan exactly what it have done to Abdi Ilay.” Abdi Ilay is a nickname given to Abdi Muhumed Omar, former strongman administrator of the Somali Regional State, also known as Zone 5, who was kidnapped by Ethiopian commands and he is awaiting trial in a jail in Addis Ababa.

It is not certain if and whether Jamaluddin was speaking as a sympathizer to the Farmajo administration, or he was expressing loudly the official position of the Ethiopian government Vis-à-vis Jubaland and its current president, Ahmed Islan"

[original dervish]

These are just the opinions of people with vested interests.

I say again.....Somali region and Somalia are two very different animals.

The Ethiopians are not about to go to war in Kismayo when they can achieve their goals with back door meetings.