1- Despite many shows of strength and military training and hardware, the SNA is still weak and vulnerable, making Alshabaab more emboldened and stronger:
"Despite efforts by the SNA, AMISOM and international partners, regrettably Al Shabaab retains the ability to conduct large scale attacks in Mogadishu, including against the UN and the international community, and in the recently recovered areas in Lower Shabelle. It is also able generate significant revenue through extortion, as well as to conduct operations beyond Somalia’s borders."
2. Because of this Amisom is basically "essential to security under current circumstances"
3. In another embarrassment to the FGS and win for Ahmed Madoobe, the hastily arranged and deployment of SNA to Gedo, is basically in a veiled and diplomatic parlance seen at best personal political scoring between two equals or worst tribal
"We note recent security deployments in Jubaland’s Gedo region have led instead to increased tension."
4. The US UN mission put it succinctly, without a shadow of doubt, and probably one that is strengthened by the presence of Yamamoto back in the US:
"The deployment of SNA troops to a politically motivated offensive in the Gedo region of Jubaland is unacceptable and diverts resources from the agreed roadmap for security operations. It is imperative that Federal Government and Federal Members States security services focus on combatting al-Shabaab, rather than engaging in armed conflict with each other to resolve political disputes. We call on President Farmaajo to end the Somali National Army offensive in Gedo, and for President Farmaajo and Jubaland President Madobe to each commit to dialogue and reconciliation."
To be honest, for what ever reason, this Ahmed Madoobe thing looks more like a big plot against the state. He serves a bigger purposes for a bigger cause, protected, nurtured, lobbied for by Kenya and supposedly supported by the US and UAE. American politics is really run by money and lobbying, and at this juncture, for whatever reason Ahmed Madoobe has more lobby money on his side than the FGS and its friends could muster.
For this reason, anytime wasted on battling this guy is wasted resource and a losing cause. Especially during this time of the year. As Sahal mentioned many times, the time to take effective action against Madoobe is well past its prime.
I tip my hat to the GOAT of traitors, Ahmed Madoobe
