Madobee = A/rahman Mursal = Sayid = Wiil-Waal; Jigjiga was lost, Iimey too, Fafaxdhun as well & Kismayo will too.

[Gubbet]

Do you see the parallel? It is amazing what looking at history can inform you about the behavior, choices, and consequences of human actions.In particular, you may even start to identify patterns that are capable of helping predict the next stages and outcomes in similar trajectories.

I have said this about Jubbaland before

I will say this there is a classic paradigm here informed by both Marehan and Ogaden political history that says Marehan will essentially win the battle of wills.

And they will win not necessarily because of any of the subjective things one can argue (majority/minority, blah blah), but they will win purely because of nature.

I have not described this before although I have alluded to it but perhaps I will explain later.

It is a very poignant clan feature difference between the two that explains why Marehan defeated them in Faafaxdhuun grazing on the Wajeer border last week, why Marehan defeated them in Baardheere-Saakoow grazing yesterday, why Marehan is on the midnight 12th hour of taking Gerileey-Diif grazing in Lower Jubba across from Lak Der, and why today Marehan is politically on the Indian beachfront with Somalia facing Ahmed Madoobe having consolidated natural rights from there to Dollow on the tip of the boundary betwrrn Somalia and Ethiopia.

I argue because of a difference in the natural features of the two clans as a social organizsto that is behind this production.

It has nothing to do with stuff like better fighter, this or that.

It has to do with basic social organizational difference between the two.

Here is a simple illustration of what I meant;

[Gubbet]

A dead is dead. Tomorrow he is food for worms.

A captured man is alive, but no better than a bird with clipped wings.

A man in retreat may have to hunt for food and sleep with wolves even, but he is probably a bigger threat tomorrow than he was yesterday.

Ladies and Gentleman, there is only one outcome for Jubbaland according to what history informs us about the consistent observable pattern of choices, consequence, and outcomes of the social organizations involved.

Whether this trajectory can be avoided or affected positively or negatively for all or any of the groups involved---that no one can predict.

We will see.

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

A bit of game theory from you? You’re finally talking my language. We shall see, inshallah. Theory of Games and Economic Behavior was one of my favorite books in university. This is my shit literally

[Caytame]

What do they all have in common? They all took arms against foreigners.

Sayid Mohamed against British, Italy and Ethiopia.
Wiilwaal against Ethiopia.
Mursal against Kenya and British.
Madoobe against Ethiopia in 2005, US 2007.

The house of ogaden is blessed with revolutionary figures, always ready to defend themselves and their follow Somalis. I am proud of that history.


Anyways, you said kismaayo was going to be to lost in 2012. Even a broken clock is right twice a day, and you ain't been right once for 10 years lmao.

take a break waryaa, you're losing yourself.


btw: imay is still home to reer cabdille, and jigjiga is still home to ogaden and jidwaaq, neither was lost, and when I just checked, kismaayo ain't either. ciilka ku haya u dhimo lmao

[Khalid Ali]

I don't see how marexaan can dislodge madoobe from kismayo. If they failed with farmaajo in the bunker. What makes u think when he is no longer president. They can do it. Marexaan don't have a foreign backing either and not enough local power. Also the only way they can challenge madoobe is if they join shabaab.

[original dervish]

No.....they still have the option of joining up with the hagite hordes.

Don't forget they had the city on lock for 7 years with Ceyr backing....including president Abdulqasim.

[Gubbet]

Ladies and Gentleman,

The responses after Saddam-Mariixmaan are probably thr most complimentary to the theory presented ass the topic, but the individuals who made them seem incapable of understanding this point.

Does anybody care to explain this to them?

[nine]

I don't see how marexaan can dislodge madoobe from kismayo. If they failed with farmaajo in the bunker. What makes u think when he is no longer president. They can do it. Marexaan don't have a foreign backing either and not enough local power. Also the only way they can challenge madoobe is if they join shabaab.

Alot of Gedo MX (save for one or two districts) didn't really care about Kismayo save for the community in Kismayo, their cousins in other parts of Somalia and JVA remnants because the bulk of MX immigrants were from Mudug. Ethiopia making the JL Fiefdom (and the other Fiefdoms) has forcefully connected the two.
AMISOM leaving will return Somalia to pre 2011 where the best man wins or stalemate.

[TeeriReturns]

Delusional creature, Marehan could never step inside the 2 jubbas for their grazing with out asking for permission from the Sultan of Jubaland, it has always been and will always be insha Allah

i have always wonder why yall are delusional and obsessed to the point you make up lies

sultan abdirahman mursal crushed the marehan foot soldiers and the british and their indian soldiers for 17 years in Luuq and still managed to defeat them

ahmed maoodb is too nice and kind, insha Allah we will get a presdeint who will crush you and teach you lot a lesson

ps: garad wiil waal crushed the oromo and ahmaara invaders in the 1710s, no need to insult a dead brave king who defended his kingdom, Absamestan Kingdom, you became relevant to history in 1969, lloool

kulaha we defeated the Og, keep dreaming hunter gatherer

None of them went to die in a Nigerian toilet, kkkk, and non of the hasd their wife shagged like ina Maasale;s wife was ransacked by the ethiopian soldiers he brought to gedo in 1993 where they have been since

delusional creature, kulaha numbers do not matter, its nature, Hitler also assumed nature and will power will give him might, he was taught a lesson, never wage war with a superior race like OG that outnumber you

if you could muster 500 men in gedo, why would you need dhulbahante and Hg and ethiopia and eley in gedo? kkkkkkkk

[TeeriReturns]

Its funny, Gubbit aka Voltage, you were under Bah Gerri an Og sub clan who nurtured you and protected you and paid your mag, you became marehan in 1969 with siad barrre

Bah gerri was your protector before 1969 - specially you voltage, a reer siayd diini and the reer siyad diini in gedo are jarer and eley assimilated by siad barre to bolster your number in the 1970s

forget Mohamed zubeer laandere, Bah gerri protected you as their guest, you were under the Boqorka bah gerri for centuries

respect the Sayids sub clan Bah gerri, his clan nurtured your clan with charity for centuries and projection kkkkkkkkk lol

Gubbet even if you pray to Yaxya and Morif witchdoctors

They cant change history.If you guys had any honour or dignity MSB would have not escaped to Mandera and whisked by KDF helicopter.Imagine around 100 poorly trainned aideed soilders capturing entire Gedo and chasing the most notorious and feared Red Berret SNA Marexan who escaped to Dollow even though they had heavy weaponry.
HG really instill fear on MX no wonder they have chosen them as PM today for fear of Utaange 2

[Khalid Ali]

Welcome back ugaas Teeeri your contribution to snet was really missed.

[TeeriReturns]

Welcome back ugaas Teeeri your contribution to snet was really missed.

Thank you awow, i needed to reply back to the delusional reer farmajo in here who seem to make up their fake history to make up for their lack of history before 1969

[TeeriReturns]

No.....they still have the option of joining up with the hagite hordes.

Don't forget they had the city on lock for 7 years with Ceyr backing....including president Abdulqasim.

the same Hg who were smashed and broken by hassan Turki and Ahmed madoobe, when barre hiraale went on bbc and claimed ONLF chased him out of kismayo,

ahmed madoobe and hassan turki chased mx and HG out of kismayo 3 times,

also do not forget that Liyu police smashed and broke the back of HG, this is why Hg no longer burn grandmothers and children alive in biomal lands in shabeele, Ogadens from Somali region taught them a lesson

if Hg had any dignity, then haramacad would not have ransacked the house of sheikh sufi shakir and HG and farmajo placed his own puppet in galnus

barre hiraale ran from kismayo to luuq in a world record 13 seconds and we smashed HG

do you really think a strategic clan like Ogadens will be coward by HG? ahmed madoobe is being too islamic and nice, every day we beg him let us burn alive the hunter gatheres and teach them a lesson, one day we will get a leader like iley who will give us the green light

trust me, they will cry the day ahmed madoobe is gone , they will miss his mercy, wacth when we will a hitler like Ogaden president of jubaland

let me give you an example, when ahmed was assumed dead in 2013 after being blown up from the airport, it took docors 40 minutes to verify if he is dead, in that 40 minutes, 144 Mx were sent to the after life, one Mohamed zubeer ugas kooshin soldier sent 6 of them, as soon as ahmed said i am alive stop the killing, he saved them literally,

and that is 40 minutes - ahmed stands in the way of us teaching them a lesson,

now imagine what OG will do if ahmed is out of the way ? people will say once a upon a time there use to be hunter gatherers who were from here


why do you bumn lick them horta? farmajo abandoned you lot in SSC and has given idoor all your rights, instead of sending your sons to gedo from las canood, use it to free las canood, never booty clap for these hunters, they will spit on your face

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

Ladies and Gentleman,

The responses after Saddam-Mariixmaan are probably thr most complimentary to the theory presented ass the topic, but the individuals who made them seem incapable of understanding this point.

Does anybody care to explain this to them?

Why should we explain the Nash equilibrium to them? They don’t have the high IQ for it.

[TeeriReturns]

Ladies and Gentleman,

The responses after Saddam-Mariixmaan are probably thr most complimentary to the theory presented ass the topic, but the individuals who made them seem incapable of understanding this point.

Does anybody care to explain this to them?

Why should we explain the Nash equilibrium to them? They don’t have the high IQ for it.

So a borana like you has high IQ? I doubt.
If thats the case why is there abaar in Gedo?
All you just convicne yourselves is compounded lies as if you live in a parallel world.