Reasons why Deni will not pass to the second round of elections

[sahal80]

Far from the SAHAList propaganda and their exaggerations of two cousins getting the first and second place in the coming elections i have said repeatedly that Deni will be the type who does not exceed the third place if not the fourth place like CCC. he needs other mj and friendly votes to help him in the second round and vote for him when they lose like the Abgaals and they r non existent. Deni knows this that why he asks help from hawiye "to remove Farmaajo once and for all"

this is what happened to CCC in 2017. Farmaajo was HG and Murusade agenda( No more Abgaal movement) he had 30 mps paid by Qatar before Daljir HG and murusade join him(42) and this does not mean as qabiil rather as political movement that has wide political connections they broke up with Sh Sharif and took with them his base that why Farmaajo replaced him in the second place. now no one is backing Farmaajo both clans have big candidates like Guuleed and Kheyre and even who knows Rooble will do the same as Deni when the parliament is ready

QoorQoor is already calling Galmudug mps like Deni did to Back one of them!!

2017 elections iyo codadkeedii
"Musharaxiintii Mudulood ay Wareegga 1aad heleen 178 cod. Musharaxiinta Hawiye isku geyn waxay heleen wareegga 1aad 193 cod"


Xasan Shiikh ..... 88 cod
Farmaajo.......... 72 cod
Shiikh Shariif ... 49 cod
Sharmarke........ 37 cod
Cosoble(Abgaal) ............ 24 cod
Saciid Dani 18 cod
Caddow caliGees(Abgaal) 14 cod
Cabdishakuur warsame 9 cod
Cabdinasir Maxed Cabdulle 6(HG) cod
Cali Xaji(-mj) 3 Cod
Xaji M Yasin(mj) 2 Cod
Tarsan 2 Cod
Maxamed Jabarti 1 cod
Jibril 1 cod
Saciid Ciise Maxamud 1


lastly Deni and Famaajo will only damage each other they both are Daarood and the clan still remains the first factor in a secret ballot. for example i have no doubt that PLs mudug Governor Sanyare will vote for Deni despite being wadajir leader and saying he will vote for AAW or Sh Shariif if he asks him and looking for a ministerial post in Sh Shariif-led Govt. they wont vote only when there is personal grievances for example Fartaag will never vote for Farmaajo and Col Abbas gurey or mohamed Abdi kalil who are said to be in the list of Madoobe mps from Gedo unlikely to vote for Farmaajo therefore there is no personal grievances between Deni and any PL mps.

what shows you Farmaajo and Deni will damage eachother is this mj senator sareedo with mx mother who was supporting Farmaajo before now they r saying sorry N&N blood is thicker than water!

Dhulbahante Minister bidhaan who is back with damaanad from his garaad and vice president is pro Farmaajo who knows how many dhulbahante will vote for Farmaajo!

i can say Deni may get from PL 35 and 10 from JL and the rest in total no more than 45 and for that reason he will not pass to the second round for lack of back up votes!

[Kees70]

[Cunaaye25]

Sahalow-

One or two Mps who are part of other parties doesn’t equal to that they will not vote for Deni.

Deni has hand picked majority of Mps. He got rid of Zakariye, Jamal, duraan and etc.

He even hand picked MJ seats despite opposition from the elders.

Deni has done his homework, he is well prepared and waited till the last hour and declared his candidacy (clever move)
The opposition have no hope left.

Make my word no HAG presidential candidate will get more then 20 votes max.

Lastly every man has his price! And it’s up to the mps to choose who they want to vote for - no-one is holding a gun to their head.

[MrSinister]

Sahal you keep saying Deni won’t get past second round or farmajo wont win, so who’s this magical hutu candidate who’s going get all the seats?

The 2017 elections and 2022 will not be the same. All PL mps will vote for PL, Deni made sure of that. Deni is now building a broader coalition of MPs who are pro federalism and understand the danger of failmajo. One thing farmajo has done is move Somalia slowly away from clan politics to political alliances.

I also think you are underestimating farmajo. Unfortunately, he still the favourite because of sws, but Deni is the only one who has the support to beat him.

[sahal80]

Sahal you keep saying Deni won’t get past second round or farmajo wont win, so who’s this magical hutu candidate who’s going get all the seats?

The 2017 elections and 2022 will not be the same. All PL mps will vote for PL, Deni made sure of that. Deni is now building a broader coalition of MPs who are pro federalism and understand the danger of failmajo. One thing farmajo has done is move Somalia slowly away from clan politics to political alliances.

I also think you are underestimating farmajo. Unfortunately, he still the favourite because of sws, but Deni is the only one who has the support to beat him.

All I am saying is that Deni does not have enough votes to occupy the second place. As for Farmaajo, he will not differ from those who preceded him in power. There is no Somali president who has been elected for the second term he knows this well so led the country into a crisis of political vacuum after he failed to rig the elections. there won't be Farmaajo in may.
once PL mps receive their IDs from FEIT it's over for Deni
https://fb.watch/bUMo08XB9N/

[sahal80]

Sahalow-

One or two Mps who are part of other parties doesn’t equal to that they will not vote for Deni.

Deni has hand picked majority of Mps. He got rid of Zakariye, Jamal, duraan and etc.

He even hand picked MJ seats despite opposition from the elders.

Deni has done his homework, he is well prepared and waited till the last hour and declared his candidacy (clever move)
The opposition have no hope left.

Make my word no HAG presidential candidate will get more then 20 votes max.

Lastly every man has his price! And it’s up to the mps to choose who they want to vote for - no-one is holding a gun to their head.

let us say Deni has all PLs 48 mps still not enough to put him through and only 17 of them are mj. you need over 60 the total Daarood Mps between him and Farmaajo who can buy alot of the non mj Harti !.
why SL controls them? it's bc of money.

ku darso Deni ma heesto external funders haduu u socdaa kenya iyo UAE mana u maleynaayo inuu wax ka keenayo waxay aaminsanyihiin inuu Farmaajo chance siinayo.

Xildhibaanada PL Deni lacag ma siinayo waayo "anaa idin soosaarey" waa kuwa kale soo loo soo dabamari maayo

[gobdoon]

People who pretend that there are united and working together Hawiye are dellusional not only that but no HG or Abgaal

[gobdoon]

Walahu Acmal, I don't like people who are Faaliye, nobody knows the future so be careful not to have eggs on your face

[libaxofxamar]

Deni has a chance like any other candidate. He also has an upper hand, due to running the most crooked election in diloland. With all the votes he gets from diloland he could make it to second round. Hawiya, they fucked up. Too many candidates, too many different agendas, and lastly the minorities and rehweyne are Anti hawiya. Its too hard to guess the future but all I know its going be a new president and most likely someone we never heard of until they win.

[TarTar]

i know ustad sahal shaking in his boots about deni almost feel like there should be a Deni discount sale for Isak MPs pretending to be Dir in the ex italian colony. let ustad sahal see tha folly of his ways

all this time i was telling ustad sahal don't simp for governa deni. don't support his robbery of dabayacoland seats. ustad sahal not listening when i said tha donkey ex president shoulna given magertenland the seats that ex italian colony's allocates for ssc region of somaliland. n ustad sahal said let deni steal those seats. i want dabayacoland militias help me in hamar. to wage war on farmajo

not happening though. governa deni gonna lose half his dabayacoland seats to farmajo. idoor seats sold to highest bidder. deni not even expected to show up at auctions

[MrSinister]

Sahal you keep saying Deni won’t get past second round or farmajo wont win, so who’s this magical hutu candidate who’s going get all the seats?

The 2017 elections and 2022 will not be the same. All PL mps will vote for PL, Deni made sure of that. Deni is now building a broader coalition of MPs who are pro federalism and understand the danger of failmajo. One thing farmajo has done is move Somalia slowly away from clan politics to political alliances.

I also think you are underestimating farmajo. Unfortunately, he still the favourite because of sws, but Deni is the only one who has the support to beat him.

All I am saying is that Deni does not have enough votes to occupy the second place. As for Farmaajo, he will not differ from those who preceded him in power. There is no Somali president who has been elected for the second term he knows this well so led the country into a crisis of political vacuum after he failed to rig the elections. there won't be Farmaajo in may.
once PL mps receive their IDs from FEIT it's over for Deni
https://fb.watch/bUMo08XB9N/

We shall see sxb. But at least give us a week to celebrate Deni’s official candidacy before niyada dadka ka jabisid

[sahal80]

Sahal you keep saying Deni won’t get past second round or farmajo wont win, so who’s this magical hutu candidate who’s going get all the seats?

The 2017 elections and 2022 will not be the same. All PL mps will vote for PL, Deni made sure of that. Deni is now building a broader coalition of MPs who are pro federalism and understand the danger of failmajo. One thing farmajo has done is move Somalia slowly away from clan politics to political alliances.

I also think you are underestimating farmajo. Unfortunately, he still the favourite because of sws, but Deni is the only one who has the support to beat him.

All I am saying is that Deni does not have enough votes to occupy the second place. As for Farmaajo, he will not differ from those who preceded him in power. There is no Somali president who has been elected for the second term he knows this well so led the country into a crisis of political vacuum after he failed to rig the elections. there won't be Farmaajo in may.
once PL mps receive their IDs from FEIT it's over for Deni
https://fb.watch/bUMo08XB9N/

We shall see sxb. But at least give us a week to celebrate Deni’s official candidacy before niyada dadka ka jabisid