Qooje Cade is not Ceelka Biyaha

[theyuusuf143]

@Nolol cusub


Hawshaas baa anaga noo taal , dagaal maalaa yacni ah hada xiiso uma qabno.

Except this does not reflect the reality of a serious mobilization across Isaaqland. You also have to take into account you are not dealing with rational actors here. We have learned that the hard way. We had to literally pacify Gedo and Kismaayo to keep Mogadishu and the rest of Hawiyeland safe. Sooner or later you might be forced to do that in the north. Time will tell.



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No one can launch attack from our Our HJ deegan . Dhulbahante won the war in their deegaan, and they asked for peace . We have to honour it. I don't know the future , but right now all sides want peace.

[original dervish]

@Nolol cusub


Hawshaas baa anaga noo taal , dagaal maalaa yacni ah hada xiiso uma qabno.

Except this does not reflect the reality of a serious mobilization across Isaaqland. You also have to take into account you are not dealing with rational actors here. We have learned that the hard way. We had to literally pacify Gedo and Kismaayo to keep Mogadishu and the rest of Hawiyeland safe. Sooner or later you might be forced to do that in the north. Time will tell.



=

No one can launch attack from our Our HJ deegan . Dhulbahante won the war in their deegaan, and they asked for peace . We have to honour it. I don't know the future , but right now all sides want peace.

[Nolol cusub]

Except this does not reflect the reality of a serious mobilization across Isaaqland. You also have to take into account you are not dealing with rational actors here. We have learned that the hard way. We had to literally pacify Gedo and Kismaayo to keep Mogadishu and the rest of Hawiyeland safe. Sooner or later you might be forced to do that in the north. Time will tell.



=

No one can launch attack from our Our HJ deegan . Dhulbahante won the war in their deegaan, and they asked for peace . We have to honour it. I don't know the future , but right now all sides want peace.

The iidoors have refused all offers of peace, and have made it clear they intend to commit genocide against the Harti population.

Therefore, Harti does not have to wait for the genocide to begin before acting in self defence.

A lightning preemptive strike should be launched against all iidoor positions.

No prisoners should be taken.

[Nolol cusub]

An eerie similarity:

A knee jerk reaction to Goojecade's fiasco would have been a serious miscalculation for S/Land. Instead, they are doing exactly what Hawiye did after March of 1991. Just like Goojecade's disaster, Hawiye's debacle came in the form of General Doonyaale walking into a death trap at afgooye. Hawiye militia's were being overrun so quickly that our commanding officers didn't know where the front line was. Doonyaale literally walked into a Darod checkpoint and started giving orders to march forward. Up to that point the attack was led by a disorganized USC militias and incompetent general stuff. We had to quickly change tactics and deploy the ex-Somali army officers and troops. The USC militia were mainly used for flank attacks and mop up operations. The frontal attacks, starting with the battle of Carbiska, was largely carried out with ruthless military precision by a core competent men. Lucky for us, we had Maxamed Faarax on our side.

So far Somaliland has mobilized methodically and patiently. The next step for them is to have a core and competent officers take over the campaign. Of course, Somaliland has had 32 years to produce, and train such comptent army officers and I am sure they will. The trick is to find them early. In the American civil war Lincoln could not find a competent general early on. It was half way into the war that the Union found Grant.

The Myth:

Darod's are fuley. Isaaq are geesi, Hawiye is geesi. It is not true. It all comes down who has a better military leadership and who has done their homework before the battle. Social media bravado, clannish bravado won't amount to anything when the battle begins. Having said this the Isaaq will come on the top when the dust settles. In other words, Haraadigi Bare cannot win, they are too irrational to win a war.

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[Nolol cusub]

How true is this?

[original dervish]

This guy has resurfaced like a flushed turd.
Still making bs predictions.

The war is all but over.
The iidoors don't really want that smoke.
They don't have the stomach for another calamitous defeat. Already their politicians are open calling for peace.

Meanwhile the Dhulbahante have moved in warp speed towards the official recognition of a 3rd Darood federal state.

A compromise has been reached with the Xamar hagites to grant Hiiraan federal status, so as to not upset the delicate political balance.

Everything is going to plan.
Allahu Akbar!