BlackRain wrote:sahal why did Hassan fire Saacid? he was very miskiin and Hassan and damul-aljdeed had it their way. They should have kept him to avoid all these political mess
I think saacid was not that easy as you may think, this is the man who brought army inside kismayo from no where!
You just believed in too much probaganda from your media but in reality he wasn't as he was portrayed by them
Yuulka was brought to fit post-saacid era? What does that mean? It means he was tougher
Take some examples; dj has got divided now but were united against saacid!
Saacid has just became victim in the parliament and the political situation that was totally against him
He appointed the ambassador to ethiopia ahmed abdisalam
Even fozia got through bc of him and was working with him in the early months
The only thing saacid did was avoiding khilaafaat willingly until last weeks bc he heard the conspiracy against him
He said to the president I know that guys in madaxtooyada r talking about to replace him while I did my best to avoid khilafaat but from now on I will be hard on them and I'm going to make reshuffle right now on me and on my enemy!
Now why he got targeted?
For 4 reasons:
1-guleed has seen him and his wife dangerous to his central bases and he wanted to be al kul when it comes to these communities
2- farah abdulqadir believes in an opposite ideology that's closer to OGs so he has seen him prolonging the conflict(this is why yuulka though he was not picked by him was supposed to go the other way bc of all informations about him provided by his dj friends saying like that
3-to scapegoat him bc of yusra and give the cabinet new image
4- saacid has insisted a cabinet reshuffle in order to get rid of fozia first atleast
I think all these conclusions were wrong but farah abdulqadirs point maybe was right
Why yuulka didn't work then?
Instead of being part of the agenda, he was trying to build state under the state and relations under the same relations or in another words a political coup in all fronts; the regions specially jubbaland and kenya, the gulf and the west!
This is the true reason he targeted farah abdulqadir
If he wasn't stopped he would have targeted halane, godah, the army
Yuulka was knew the motion will take place once he reshuffles the cabinet, infact he planned it as a set up ahead of the copenhegen conference and this is not analysis but some thing real that was descussed on it in a secret meeting before the reshuffle
As president had a motion in his intentions(on the bases that they can't work together anymore) to take place after few months, bc of the international conferences and regional admins so there can be achievements wich will prevent some of the international pressure, the pm thought he should take advantage of the conferences then the president will be forced to accept a road map agreement that they have to work together until 2016!
Thanks to IGAD backing farah abdulqadir, they convinced the west to let this be sorted out by the somali leadership itself
So it depends on three of them to solve it quickly in anyway
Pm still calls for dialoge between them and president is doing all he can to oust him
Jawari doesn't care
So it has to be sorted out by two ways; through the cabinet in a massive resignation so can that he can face the parliament by himself in order to get the vote of confidence for his new cabinet
Or keep the heat on jawari until he cooperates
Now the president was changing the parliaments security
Interesting days to come ahead!.