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Re: AMISOM’s Heading to Puntland Amisom at Somaliland border
Posted: Tue May 12, 2015 2:14 am
by 26June1960
Buraanbur wrote:26June1960 wrote:Buraanbur, I've heard that the Western donors want to force Gaas to give few thousand Puntland soldiers to the Mogadishu-based government, under the pretext of "creating Somali federal army"? Would you wlecome this? If no, why?
We remember back in 2005, the late Abdullahi Yusuf took few thousand Puntland soldiers with him down South and only few hundred (at the most) have returned back to Puntland. Could such fate await the future Puntlanders?
That's a more difficult question. Out of principle, I oppose it because I don't think Puntland should have any involvement with the SFG but that is not the the policy of the Puntland government. On paper it looks nice: 3,000 soldiers that would be trained and then placed in the border regions with Somaliland aka SSC, but it's more than that. It opens the door for the SFG and SNA to enter Puntland as these forces would come under the command of the SNA and not the President of Puntland. Furthermore, they're trying to get AMISOM to be set-up base in Puntland so who's to stop a mixed qabil SNA from entering Puntland? No thank you.
At least when Abdullahi Yusuf(aun) was President of the TFG, the state and people were behind him and his goal to move the government to Mogadishu. Puntland nearly went bankrupt when they were financing the TFG. We live in another time now and no one will just sign up to the SNA to be placed god-knows-where.
Basically, you're saying, "Damn if you do, damn if you don't", right? If Puntland wants to be a Federal State under a Federal Government from Mogadishu, then it must comply with the Federal Charter, no? It seems to me that the idea behind Puntland's establishment was really self-determination and full autonomy for the people of Puntland. But, Puntland's 1998 focus has been shifted over the years, no? Anyhow, a mix clan-based "National" or "Federal" Army is in the works, however, there is only 3 full States in Somalia at the moment; Puntland, Somaliland and Jubaland. If a mulit-clan based Somali army has to be formed today, it would only be Puntland and Jubaland (both mainly Daarood), Somaliland will definitely decline. So, we're back at square one. Mogadishu will have the authority to control few thousand boys from your clan and place them where ever they see fit.
Sooner or later, AMISOM will be deployed in the border between Somaliland and Puntland (Where ever that border may be). The question is, if I may ask you Buuranbur, where do you think is the true border between Puntland and Somaliland? Are the Daarood areas of Sool, Sanaag and Togdheer part of Puntland? Should it be part of Puntland? Do you think Puntland would be in a better position without Dhulbahante and Warsangeli? Will the upcoming Gaalkacyo grand conference change anything on the status quo?
Man, so many questions to ask.
Re: AMISOM’s Heading to Puntland Amisom at Somaliland border
Posted: Tue May 12, 2015 2:47 am
by Buraanbur
26June1960 wrote:Buraanbur wrote:26June1960 wrote:Buraanbur, I've heard that the Western donors want to force Gaas to give few thousand Puntland soldiers to the Mogadishu-based government, under the pretext of "creating Somali federal army"? Would you wlecome this? If no, why?
We remember back in 2005, the late Abdullahi Yusuf took few thousand Puntland soldiers with him down South and only few hundred (at the most) have returned back to Puntland. Could such fate await the future Puntlanders?
That's a more difficult question. Out of principle, I oppose it because I don't think Puntland should have any involvement with the SFG but that is not the the policy of the Puntland government. On paper it looks nice: 3,000 soldiers that would be trained and then placed in the border regions with Somaliland aka SSC, but it's more than that. It opens the door for the SFG and SNA to enter Puntland as these forces would come under the command of the SNA and not the President of Puntland. Furthermore, they're trying to get AMISOM to be set-up base in Puntland so who's to stop a mixed qabil SNA from entering Puntland? No thank you.
At least when Abdullahi Yusuf(aun) was President of the TFG, the state and people were behind him and his goal to move the government to Mogadishu. Puntland nearly went bankrupt when they were financing the TFG. We live in another time now and no one will just sign up to the SNA to be placed god-knows-where.
Basically, you're saying, "Damn if you do, damn if you don't", right? If Puntland wants to be a Federal State under a Federal Government from Mogadishu, then it must comply with the Federal Charter, no? It seems to me that the idea behind Puntland's establishment was really self-determination and full autonomy for the people of Puntland. But, Puntland's 1998 focus has been shifted over the years, no? Anyhow, a mix clan-based "National" or "Federal" Army is in the works, however, there is only 3 full States in Somalia at the moment; Puntland, Somaliland and Jubaland. If a mulit-clan based Somali army has to be formed today, it would only be Puntland and Jubaland (both mainly Daarood), Somaliland will definitely decline. So, we're back at square one. Mogadishu will have the authority to control few thousand boys from your clan and place them where ever they see fit.
Sooner or later, AMISOM will be deployed in the border between Somaliland and Puntland (Where ever that border may be). The question is, if I may ask you Buuranbur, where do you think is the true border between Puntland and Somaliland? Are the Daarood areas of Sool, Sanaag and Togdheer part of Puntland? Should it be part of Puntland? Do you think Puntland would be in a better position without Dhulbahante and Warsangeli? Will the upcoming Gaalkacyo grand conference change anything on the status quo?
Man, so many questions to ask.
The border regions = the disputed area between SL & PL. I see Puntland as the border stated in the Puntland constitution but I also believe in self-determination for all Somalis so if the clans in those regions want to form a state that meets the requirements of the Federal constitution, I would be all for it. How realistic is this though? They need, at minimum, all of Sool & Sanaag to meet this requirement and that is not feasible.
AMISOM's mandate is not to secure Somalia's borders and participate in clan battles, but to fight terrorism. Most of the terrorist attacks are concentrated in Bari ( Galgala/Bosaso) and Mudug ( Galkacyo) so why would AMISOM be deployed in Sool, Sanaag and Cayn? The whole thing doesn't make much sense. And, like you said, if Mogadishu were to have its way most of the current SNA recruits would be predominately Darood. This is precisely why I don't see this ( AMISOM deployment or 3,000 PLers joining the SNA) happening. No way would the elders or the people allow themselves to be duped into something as ridiculous as this.
It is naive to think the Galkacyo conference will change much. There are two options: the clans in Sool, Sanaag and Cayn would reunite and completely support Puntland or they join Somaliland. States like Khatuumo and Maakhir do not meet the requirement to be considered a Federal state, so it's up to the Harti in the regions to pick a side. Regardless of the outcome, the SNA or AMISOM deployment should not be allowed in Northern Somalia.
Re: AMISOM’s Heading to Puntland Amisom at Somaliland border
Posted: Tue May 12, 2015 3:07 am
by EvolSyawla
Naturally, not to mention seeing a high (mirqaan) population with guns.
Arming conscripts is not something I was referring to immediately, but after the necessary training and organization is implemented. I doubt that this would be any less than 10 years from now. Most likely too late, from the rate of AMISOM's mobilization.
Re: AMISOM’s Heading to Puntland Amisom at Somaliland border
Posted: Tue May 12, 2015 3:30 am
by Xamud.
Wallahi Somalidu waa xasiid aan waxba isku ogaleyn, the amount of times I have seen people say "AMISOM is coming to Puntland and Somaliland" just because these two degaans are capable of taking care of their own security. You have people like the OP who probably hates the thought of seeing a peaceful and stable Puntland, he probably cries himself to sleep every night, wishing death and destruction on Puntland.
AMISOM will never come to Puntland, not as long as we have a SINGLE breathing man left, xiiniyaheno ayaan ku soconaa, ilaahey iyo willasheno ayan magan u nahay, AMISOM adiga ayey wax kula tahay.
Re: AMISOM’s Heading to Puntland Amisom at Somaliland border
Posted: Tue May 12, 2015 6:11 am
by theyuusuf143
geopolitically galgala is going to be major inter continental issue. alshabaab is very much interested bosaso than ever before and there will definitely be collaboration between the jihadis in yemen and those based in galgala, if the jihadis in yemen get the upper hand its big boost for those in galgala. abdi weli knows he could have financial problems next coming years because all east african port revenues are expected to decrease dramatically due the war in yemen and his only source of income is bosaso. so basically he may not able to finance his army domestically. he have 4 options
1. bring the amisom mercenaries
2. seek military fund from any where
3. recruit all mjs calashan daawanayaaw waa dalkaakii like the shias in iraq. or
4. make military and political alliance with somaliland against the upcoming jihadis.
the last option is simple and difficult at the same time. weaker puntland is good for somaliland at the other hand if puntland faces major religion related security issues its disaster for somaliland. should we support puntland against the jihadis in galgala or not ? thats big decision and we have to think about the consequences.
Re: AMISOM’s Heading to Puntland Amisom at Somaliland border
Posted: Tue May 12, 2015 6:33 am
by Buraanbur
AMISOM is not coming to Puntland. The Members of Parliament will not allow it and the speaker of the Parliament has just spoken on the issue.
Re: AMISOM’s Heading to Puntland Amisom at Somaliland border
Posted: Tue May 12, 2015 8:08 am
by GIJaamac
Xamud. wrote:Wallahi Somalidu waa xasiid aan waxba isku ogaleyn, the amount of times I have seen people say "AMISOM is coming to Puntland and Somaliland" just because these two degaans are capable of taking care of their own security. You have people like the OP who probably hates the thought of seeing a peaceful and stable Puntland, he probably cries himself to sleep every night, wishing death and destruction on Puntland.
AMISOM will never come to Puntland, not as long as we have a SINGLE breathing man left, xiiniyaheno ayaan ku soconaa, ilaahey iyo willasheno ayan magan u nahay, AMISOM adiga ayey wax kula tahay.
Bragging much xabashi magan ?
According to witnesses, more than 500 Ethiopian troops and eight tanks also headed for Bandiradley, a town in central Somalia controlled by the Islamic Courts, who also claimed that Ethiopian troops were on their way to the town of Galkaayo in the north.
http://www.icit-digital.org/articles/et ... tervention
AMISOM will arrive in Puntland and you can't do nothing about it.
Re: AMISOM’s Heading to Puntland Amisom at Somaliland border
Posted: Tue May 12, 2015 1:48 pm
by thegoodshepherd
Puntland should do what it did in the 1990's to Al-Itixad. Basically give every able bodied man an AK and storm Galgala. When fighting Al-Itixad every man captured was excuted, there should be no prisoners. Hundreds may die; but Alshabab will be eliminated.
Re: AMISOM’s Heading to Puntland Amisom at Somaliland border
Posted: Thu May 14, 2015 9:14 am
by Bari14
thegoodshepherd wrote:Puntland should do what it did in the 1990's to Al-Itixad. Basically give every able bodied man an AK and storm Galgala. When fighting Al-Itixad every man captured was excuted, there should be no prisoners. Hundreds may die; but Alshabab will be eliminated.
Wow that is almost identical to what the Fidel Castro did for his fellow Cuban countrymen during the Bay of Pigs. Except the killing part of course.
You need to kill the concept before it's believers
Re: AMISOM’s Heading to Puntland Amisom at Somaliland border
Posted: Fri May 15, 2015 7:13 am
by JamalAddow
thegoodshepherd wrote:Puntland should do what it did in the 1990's to Al-Itixad. Basically give every able bodied man an AK and storm Galgala. When fighting Al-Itixad every man captured was excuted, there should be no prisoners. Hundreds may die; but Alshabab will be eliminated.
Cumar Maxamud are savages, they brought the Cisman Maxamud down to us gettin bossed around in Bosaso.
But the good thing is Al-Itixad kicked started Puntland, Bosaso port was re-opened, alot of the mosques and schools were built under their admin.
Re: AMISOM’s Heading to Puntland Amisom at Somaliland border
Posted: Fri May 15, 2015 6:14 pm
by 26June1960
thegoodshepherd wrote:Puntland should do what it did in the 1990's to Al-Itixad. Basically give every able bodied man an AK and storm Galgala. When fighting Al-Itixad every man captured was excuted, there should be no prisoners. Hundreds may die; but Alshabab will be eliminated.
You cannot eliminate Al Shabaab by killing the foot soldiers only.