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Galol: I'm with Michael Ital here. You should write a book about Somalia because your writtings are really brilliant and educative.
Once said this, I find difficult to understand the hatred against Ethiopia. Of course, along with the History, you can have conflicts with your neighbours (and Spain is a good example of that), but you can't have an eternal hate... I mean: I would find weird to hate Portuguese or Italians as eternal enemies, because our ways of life are very similar and our culture is almost the same.
Costa said in another thread something that doesn't sound stupid at all: It's time that all Eastern African countries to think about something similar of what the European Union has done: to share what's common among all the European countries in order to be stronger and have stability. Somalia, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Kenia, Sudan... could make some kind of African Union in order to bring peace to the zone and to be able to face great catastrophes as hunger or drought. A poor country as Somalia (and it's poor not because of its riches, but because of the stupidity of warlords and qabilism) can't start wars against other poor countries as Ethiopia or Djibouti.
Let's not forget the context in which the wars of Somalia vs Ethiopia took place: The Cold War, with the USA and the USRR supporting alternatively one or another country in order to have their own battles out of their own grounds.
Galol attacking ethiopia in 77 itself was not what was wrong. IT was the incompetance of siyads foriegn policy.
Whoever advised him to cut ties with the soviets in 77 and kick them out killed somalia.
If cooler heads prevailed and we kept things going as they were in 77, maintained relation with the Soviets, and let the WSLF fight thier battles alone.
In 1985 with Gorbachev and soviet / Cuban thirst for adventure lost We could have taken ethiopia easily.
By 89 the Somali Army not the EPLF/EPRDF allaince would have been dictating events in Addis ababa with US approval.
1) It was impossible to keep the ties with the Soviets after they took sides clearly 2) The SNA was well trained, ambitious and had to be deployed somehow, somewhere...otherwise they would eaten Siad alive.
1. No it want impossible.. they didnt choose sides, they decided to choose both sides,, all we had to do was keep our heads down and be quite. As long as the soviets give us the same quality of weapons and funding as before why should we care. After 1980 and the afghan war we could have switched over to the Americans and the west.
We would have been another Pakistan, a frontline state against communism, we would have been drowned in billions of Western Aid.
The WSLF would have had the Western training and Stinger missles. Cubans would have been dropping like flys, Xabshis massacred without the Somalia army lifing a finger.
2. This was assuming siyad was a patriot, not another power hungary politician.
There is no hatred for Ethiopia. But no one likes foreign invasion. Somalis are no exception.
Gurey & Cawar
Good points. It is a historical fact that all dictators hate all organised forces even if they create those forces themselves. So Siyad Barre wanting to weaken the Somali Army fits perfectly within that frame.
Another dicator the Marxoum Saddam Hussein once railed against the power of the Ba'ath party " 14 million Iraqis cannot be members..this is unacceptable..I know `independents' who make more contribution to the nation.."
A massive purging was already under way. Some say he did the same with Iraqi army: He wanted them away in a foreign adventure rather than plotting against him in baghdad.