Perfect_Order wrote:The IC is not a top down coherent organization, but a coalition of carrying interests that over lap sometimes and not other times. We have: US, UN, AU, Ethiopia, now Kenya, Uganda, and many more divisions. Now, an intelligent and calculating politician knows when they align on something, or when a specific power is pushing for something. Shariff Sakiin has been able to swim through a mess of varying interests for a few reasons. He has been able to market himself as the Raxanwayne politician through a series of good connections and money. And he has been able to attach himself to the rising powers, and not seeming too ambitious. But along the way he has made too many enemies that rather see him gone than stay. The reason Farmaajo was booted out was not because of his lack of success nor because of his success, but because he wasn't an experienced politician, and did not calculate where power lay at what time, he was too frank and rubbed too many shoulders. But as his return illustrates, he is more experienced now, and knows where the power lays. After his protests, he was told you can't organize nor call for any more protests by Amisom, and he listened, and from his return back he has forged connections with the state department.
Now, Shariff Sakiin is aiming for the top seat, and going against what he has been doing for so long. In this new position people will calculate what kind of person he is, using past experience, to determine if he is trustable. Now, take someone who is not part of his click, and he is offered something by Sakiin. You ask yourself, how much does he really need me, how many other people has he promised this, how likely is going to succeed, and if he does, how likely will he deliver on his promise. Tuug la qabtay talo ma leh. The majority of mp's know that they can't expect much from him as in terms of positions, and that they can't trust him either. So how much incentive does one have to vote for Sakiin? Sneaky people work best when they are not in the lime light. And the Monitoring group exposed his sneaky dealings. Take for example the money Sharmarke got from Oman, Sakiin took in houndreds of thousands, from the 1 or 3million dollars, when he asked Sakiin for his cut, he only got 10k for his "travel expenses". If that doesn't show you his character, I don't know what does. His money works best upfront for people like the elders who are a one time use only, and after that they are discarded.
will $50-100,000 be enough incentive to change your mind
