AbdiWahab252 wrote:Ciirwaaq,
1. My approach is built on dealing with the power brokers on the ground. The men who are holed up in their villages, with the Caapo qabiils and real power brokers not roaming politicians who don't have a techniko to their name. Jubbaland, Puntland, Galmudug are entities whose power are derived from the local leadership. Among the populace, there is wide spread acceptance that there must be a strong unity government in Mogadishu. A few elites in foreign countries will not change the push towards unity.
2. Sadly, there is very little integration of Konfurians in the Northern landers. Those children are reminded on a daily basis that they are not from there and are guests. In the end, they will side with their Konfurian people. It is the Oromo migrant children who are being absorbed in large numbers in the North into the Lander system of tribal patronage.
3. Dismantling Ex-Italian Somaliland will be very difficult by the Somaliland authorities. There are no proxies they can use in the South unless they wish to link up with Al Shabab. The reality is that there is immense popular support for Union among natives of Awdal and Sool/Sanaag which is based on the old conflict pitting the SNM against Former Mogadishu Supporters.
In the end, the tactical advantage is towards Konfur
The reason why Somaliland got away was because of the decline of Mogadishu and not because of their superiority of military or economic proweress. For 22 years, Konfurians were busy working against each other but if they decide to work towards a ProUnity campaign in supporting allies in Ex-British Somaliland, Hargeisa will experience immense pressure to: 1. secede these territories 2. seek a Taiwanlike Status 3. Fight a losing war
1. I have 22 years of evidence that dismantles your optimism it is the only reason why Amisom must be awarded citizenship and incorporated into the regular Somali army to there to every be an ARMED force that functions with discipline.
2. I Disagree my Murursade family members live in Hargeysa and they speak, walk, eat and barf like northerners... It goes deeper they reason and debate and even throw tantrums like northerners. I don't know who lied to you but those who have the money have been fully incorporated it is the few who can't afford to rent who live in camps... $ is a visa. The ones with money are the ones that also receive education 10years down the line... will have thousands of Buubaas and kaluuns coming home to cook some nasty cambulo to make shabab sound like sunday picnic in the park.
3. Last time i check the geographical positioning and Clan settlement in Koonfur god forbid but Hutu has only the Indian ocean as an escape route and it is one heck of swim to hindustan in shark invested waters. Just like Isaaqia you will have sawed the seeds of Hutu Isolation from the rest of africa, barring some Ajuran and Degodia who are foreigners in this game. I fail to see any logic in promoting specific Clan isolationism when you are merely paving the way and creating Precedents that will be will form the basis of Hutustan homogeneity with it's back to the Indian ocean.
i. You wish us all in perpetual failed status or worse still extinction.
ii. You must see sense in why we are better off having our eggs in several states that counter balance each other.
We are better if with a few more Djboutis then another 22 years of being the butt of global jokes.
If Somalia wishes to play a zero sum game with Somaliland, we're more than happy to oblige.
at least i went asleep thinking i...
