STARKAST wrote: Tue Jun 29, 2021 10:52 am
Nomand wrote: Mon Jun 28, 2021 6:09 am
STARKAST,
i don't agree that MX is a minority in galmudug or a drop in the ocean.
MX is a stabilizing force in galmudug and without MX, galmudug would be very difficult to sustain. think about it.
with MX gone the first fight would be who is the VP is it DIR? or mursade? or abgaal? second fight would be between HG subclans now that MX is gone there is no force that can capitalize on internal HG conflict. each HG subclan would act like a clan and fight for the presidency. next would be the capital again this will fought for hard.
cayr will fight hard for the presidency since they are the largest HG subclan, the capital city is dhusamareeb and ceyr town. again will sacad and salebaan allow ceyr to have both presidency and capital city? if farmaajo looses do you think the next president would send haramcad to dhusamareeb? with an MJ Prime minister i don't think so.
if you remember before farmaajo, when xaaf was president of galmudug, salebaan put a isbaaro on cadaado. and if xaaf wanted to go to dhusamareeb first he had to get permission from sheikh shaakir then he had to fly from gaalkacyo to dhusamareeb. if farmaajo looses same thing will return.
Sxb its just the truth, i can't sugar coat what is reality. MX mostly left for the south that's why you find yourself in the position as a drop in the ocean in galmudug.
That map that kees posted is correct.
MX have their representation in Galmudug as simply to make it look like an inclusive state and to politically rule the two towns that mx live in.
Regarding your statements about skirmishes at the end of the day, it is HG vs HG violence which is intra violence which happens with all clans. Normal.
It is not correct. Factually, geographically, or even symbolically.
It is appealing to size without any context which becomes an irony when virtually every single barometer or measurement represents the opposite.
Population Settlement
Population Density
Least vs Most Urban
Market Access vs Remote
And finally the Clan settlement has not changed substantively since the Galti Migration as drawn by Robecchi.
The truth is Central Somalia is a wasteland and the Marehan that had not migrated had occupied the eastern entrance into the Hawd with a well clear boundary line.
1991 and civil war caused temporary fluctuations in involuntary population movements as happened to many groups particularly Marehan, but as the rer Hassan expelled from Nageyle in 1992 today own the deed to Deka Suftu so too Marehan has closed the breach of the highway with Wagardhac's Kaxandhaale district administration.
Everything else including such sporadic moments like this are unfortunate individual circumstances akin to statistical white noise.
There is a very clear trajectory in Central Somalia.
The only places capable of sustainable growth is the far Western boundary zone.
Everything else is in decline including population. For example, while Balanbale and Dhabat are growing, Dhusamareb is actually hemorrhaging population with over 60% of its young migrating to Benadir.
With that said, I am on record for saying Marehan, nay even Darod as a whole in central Somalia should reach a generational agreement based on courage, brotherhood, and reflection of common destiny with the Hawiye that reframes and reinterprets how land ownership is viewed and access to grazing is equitably shared.
The young HG or Hawiye or non-Darod nomad has to access grazing and Darod have occupied it like the Berlin Wall.
This will continue to result in moments such as this, but even more importantly, it is virtually impossible to live in the majority of central Somalia as it is as a pastoralist and this will continue to degrade not get better for the foreseeable future.
Every Somali kid deserves better than the current.