OwQariib wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 2:38 pm HSM is a civilian leader not a military leader. For as long as he keeps the conflict diplomatic i am confident he can keep Ethopia at bay. Though it was a great chess move from the Villa to have the Egyptians involved as that will force Ethiopia to either retreat or double down, Ethiopia is now looking at the threat of a border conflict with South Somalia and even AS moving into K5. A Somaliland recognition by Ethiopia would be a sucker punch, a move that will only excacerbate the regional tensions as FANO and other groups emerge. Unless Ethiopia champions this bid and talks to their allies in getting them Red Sea access, it will go up against stiff bureaucracy. Somaliland is lucky and cursed to be in such a strategic theatre of powerplay. I don't believe the West would endorse expanding the Israeli conflict to the edge of the Red Sea, which would extremely upset the Arabs. We are not in the days of Axum who had European help to invade Yemen and maintain a colony there.
Ethiopia is after it’s interest and so is somaliland
By the axum didn’t conquer southern Arabia with the help of Europeans back then there were no strong Europeans and there are no indication that the Roman Empire was involved in the wars between the axumites and the himriyates the Abyssinians conquered the southern Arabians on their own strength