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This is your interpretation of horumarKhalid Ali wrote: Sat Nov 17, 2018 2:43 am Lol walanweyns getting their hopeshigh no amount of kissing americans ass or european diplomat will change the situation in the bantu protectorate. Few days ago 50 hawiyew dead can the usa send troops like it did in the 1990s... horumarka dalleed iskusi uma aragno.
You're bang on the money there Togdheer. You've connected all the dots and have clearly understood the wider geopolitics at play behind the scenes.Togdeer wrote: Wed Nov 14, 2018 7:03 pm Just as I knew all along its the US invisible hands that are behind changes in the Horn of Africa. The main reason is the US wants to counter the Chinese influence/development in the Horn, US wants to control the Horn of Africa as its the most strategic location in Africa linking east and west, also close to the oil rich Arabian gulf.
It all started when China decided to open its first military overseas base in Djibouti. US was already not happy with the huge Chinese influence and development in the region. America being America wanted to stay number 1 and rule the world. This angered the US, having a Chinese military base next to US base. So the US decided it was time for plan B, using Eritrea.
The US sent it’s 2 little assistants UAE and Saudi Arabia. The used the war in Yemen as an excuse. Eritrea which had been sanctioned, as well as having bad relationships with all its neighbors got a chance to be an key ally. The UAE offered to manage the port of Assab, which is the main sea port for Eritrea that lies on the strategic Red Sea. The emirates also built their first overseas military base in the port city of Assab, Eritrea.
Once Eritrea got on board it was time to bring Ethiopia on board. The former Ethiopian government TPLF was a key ally of China and had received billions of dollars of loans and investment. After countless protests and a state of emergency Ethiopia decided it was time for a new leader, the former PM resigned. Ethiopia then selected the former head of intelligence Abiy Ahmed as its new Prime Minister. Abiy Ahmed did not come to power by luck, everything was pre planned.
When Abiy Ahmed came to power he made drastic changes. He handed back to land Ethiopia had been occupying from Eritrea for almost 20 years. He made peace with Eritrea and restored full diplomatic relations as well as opening embassies. This was the beginning of the pro western new Ethiopia. Ethiopian was suffering from low levels of foreign currency. So the UAE paid $1 billion straight to Ethiopia and pledged another $2 billion in investments.
US did not want to control Eritrea and Ethiopia only it wanted to control the entire Horn of Africa. USA got UAE to lease more ports in the Horn to stop future Chinese influence. Even though UAE did not need to invest in these ports it agreed along and wanted Dubai to still be the number 1 port in the surrounding areas. UAE got a 30 year lease in the port of berbera, somaliland using its flagship company DP world. UAE also got a long term lease on boosaso port in Puntland somalia, this time it used its smaller company P&O ferries. UAE also decided to build another military base in berbera, somaliland which is still under construction.
UAE and Saudi Arabia had their other agenda for the Horn of Africa which was to counter Qatari influence in the region. Somalia remained neutral in the gulf crisis. This angered Saudi Arabia and UAE which wanted support from Somalia. UAE decided to bribe some politicians in Somalia. A plane carrying $10 million in cash flew from Abu Dhabi with UAE ambassador to Somalia. Somalia airport officials checked the flight, they found the suitcases full of cash and confiscated the money.
Somalia and UAE fell out, US had to come up with something. So the US got Abiy Ahmed to form close relationships with somalia, he made a short visit to the capital Mogadishu. Abiy Ahmed made a deal with somalia President farmajo. He said to farmajo I will respect your sovereignty and would not meet with other Somali leaders such as Somaliland if you cooperate. Farmajo who is also a US citizen and claims to be president of Somalia, which he also claims somaliland agreed along.
Now that somalia was on board, it was time to get Djibouti to abandon China. Djibouti played a long game with its neighbours. Finally it agreed with Saudi Arabia to make peace with its neighbour Eritrea. Djibouti and Eritrea made peace, but Djibouti remained cautious. On 14/11/18 the US decided to lift sanctions of Eritrea and end arms embargo for cooperating with USA and its allies. Next step is for somalia, Ethiopia and Eritrea to have a meeting in Somalia. They hope to have Djibouti present in the meeting and end Chinese influence in the region. Djibouti seems to be playing hard to get.
Ethiopia has its plans of turning Ethiopia into a capitalist pro western nation. It’s currently planning of privatisating several state owned companies such as telecommunications. It wants to stop relying on Djibouti as its main port, it wants to create competition and lower port changes. It agreed with somalia to use 4 ports, port Sudan, Lemu in Kenya. Ethiopia is also trying to democratise which the US ordered. 50% of the new cabinet ministers are women. It’s been proposed to have general elections in 2020.
As for the US it’s long term target is to have total control of Horn of Africa. It also wants to stop Chinese influence in the region and protect trade. US played it smart so far it did not use guns or invade any country, it just used diplomacy. If they manage to bring Djibouti they have achieved their goal. For the time being it will try and bring djibouti in. The US has several soldiers present in the Horn of Africa. It has its biggest military base in Africa located at Djibouti, it has smaller bases in Somalia. Now that gas has been found in Ethiopia, which might have small reserves of oil. Somalia and somaliland also have good potential to start drilling oil by as early as late 2019. The USA is more interested than ever to control the entire region. Wherever there is oil the US is mostly present.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operati ... _of_Africa
