New Cold War in the Horn of Africa. It will end in Somalia

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Who will be victorious?

The Allies
1
13%
The Axis
3
38%
Al Shabab and Al Qaeda ideology ONLY
4
50%
 
Total votes: 8

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AbuDujanah
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New Cold War in the Horn of Africa. It will end in Somalia

Post by AbuDujanah »

The Allies = Egypt, North Sudan, Eritrea, Al Shabab, ONLF

The Axis = Ethiopia, South Sudan, Uganda, Kenya, Djibouti, Ahlus Sunnah wal Jama'a

If we analyse the situation carefully, there is not a level playing field in this Cold War which could turn Hot. The Ethiopians with the aid of their African brothers Uganda, Kenya and South Sudan can systematically destabilize Egypt within a matter of days. If Ethiopia cuts off the Blue Nile it will still preserve its relationship with South Sudan as that specific river runs only through North Sudan and Egypt. If Egypt tries to retaliate allbeit with Eritrean support and logistical aid then the South Sudanese with Ethiopian support could launch a counter attack with a shut down of the White Nile effectively starving North Sudan and Egypt completely. Eritrea is the only key. Can they afford another long war with Ethiopia in order to come to the aid fo their allies or will they abandon Egypt and North Sudan and join the new Axis? The only hope that Egypt and North Sudan have is to somehow revive the almost dead Oromo Liberation Front and maintain an increased flow of military aid for the ONLF to carry out much needed operations in Ethiopia to destabilise the regime from within. But through which supply lines could the ONLF or the OLF be reached? An Ethiopian friendly Somaliland and an Ethiopian ally in Djibouti would never take this role. The key to the Egyptian and North Sudanese victory would lie in Al Shabab, they can easily be reached by air and sea and all Al Shabab need to do is make noise and threats against Ethiopia and a new front will be open in Somalia. The Ethiopians will invade and they could be bogged down in an unnecessary war with Al Shabab who could carry out deadly attacks in Addis Ababa as retaliation. The smartest politician in Cairo or Khartoum are probably already beginning to utilise Al Shabab's services in which they would most likely need. So the way it looks is that it will only end in Somalia. But what is your thought?

Discuss and dont forget to vote.
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Awe
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Re: New Cold War in the Horn of Africa. It will end in Somal

Post by Awe »

As soon as the first shot is fired all the Somalis will definitely turn the gun on you and Addis Ababba will be burned to the ground. :D
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Re: New Cold War in the Horn of Africa. It will end in Somal

Post by Ninxoon2 »

somaliland will not participate in these dumb wars.
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IRONm@N
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Re: New Cold War in the Horn of Africa. It will end in Somal

Post by IRONm@N »

Why did you add Djibouti in this, Djibouti is the only Somali country concerned with Somalia in the last 20yrs, and Djibouti won't exist without Somalia, Somalia is to Djibouti what America is to Israel.
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AbuDujanah
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Re: New Cold War in the Horn of Africa. It will end in Somal

Post by AbuDujanah »

Awe wrote:As soon as the first shot is fired all the Somalis will definitely turn the gun on you and Addis Ababba will be burned to the ground. :D
Actually Cairo and Khartoum would be more susceptible to harm, just think about these cities with no river running through it.

Fool
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udun
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Re: New Cold War in the Horn of Africa. It will end in Somal

Post by udun »

Let the worst happen to Egypt since they have failed to meaningfully help ONLF, OLF, and Somali groups in Somalia. They want to keep Ethiopia pre-occupied with wars that the Egyptians are funding the opposition with few million dollars. The irony is how do they expect to win against Ethiopia with few million dollars? Keep in mind this is the country who failed to lift a finger when Sudan was pressured to accept the treaty to divide its country. Let the worst happen to the pharoah named Husni Mubaarak and co. Isreal is breaking up his nearest and most ally country Sudan while he watches and participates the genocide against Palestine. This should be the fate of every hypocrite who betrays his people.

For Israel, they are just fulfilling their biblical prophecies, according to their religious beliefs, which is any thing between Euphrates and Nile belongs to them. The invasion and occupation of Iraq was part of that belief and now the the final break-up of Sudan is also part of their biblical prophesy.

The only people who failed themselves and their people are the hypocrite leaders in the Muslim world.
Last edited by udun on Mon Jan 03, 2011 12:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: New Cold War in the Horn of Africa. It will end in Somal

Post by tightrope »

AXIS :up:
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AbuDujanah
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Re: New Cold War in the Horn of Africa. It will end in Somal

Post by AbuDujanah »

udun wrote:Let the worst happen to Egypt since they have failed to meaningfully help ONLF, OLF, and Somali groups in Somalia. They want to keep Ethiopia pre-occupied with wars that the Egyptians are funding the opposition with few million dollars. The irony is how do they expect to win against Ethiopia with few million dollars? Keep in mind this is the country who failed to lift a finger when Sudan was pressured to accept the treaty to divide its country. Let the worst happen to the pharoah named Husni Mubaarak and co. Isreal is breaking up his nearest and most ally country Sudan while he watches and participates the genocide against Palestine. This should be the fate of every hypocrite who betrays his people.

For Israel, they are just fulfilling their biblical prophecies, according to their religious beliefs, which is any thing between Euphrates and Nile belongs to them. The invasion and occupation of Iraq was part of that belief and now the the final break-up of Sudan is also part of their biblical prophesy.

The only people who failed themselves and their people are the hypocrite leaders in the Muslim world.
Udun, the Pharaoh of this century Hosni Mubarak is the cause for the punishment of Allah to descend upon his people. I wouldn't be surprised if Allah sends them a punishment from the heavens or from the earth. This is very likely as he has commited treason against the Muslims.
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