may happen

[sahal80]

guys you know my theory/analysis on how the somali federal regions will be formed-wait now there is just an interim admins-

i said i believe somalia will end up with 4 federal regions, two of them will be from south.

listen now, this depends on the central govts diplomatic relations and mostly with the neighbouring countries, the more the govts gets stronger, the more respect it will get, this is one factor, the other factor is the interests, if they have sharing interests with the govt be it geopolitical or economical they will forget the rest.

simple example; if there was a war between egypt and ethiopia, of course, ethiopia, will get closer to the somali govt to keep the horn integration.

analysit caynte believes that ethiopia has a position between the south west 6 region camp and jubba adminstration!!

doesnt this imply of a third position?

the somali president has alludes before some thing like that

for sure this govt insists the interim era until it gets stronger

the self appointed president madoobe nuunow is now visiting addis ababa to meet the ethiopian FM who invited him

of course, he will try to calm him though they are behind this-the whole baydhabo stuff- but because of the understanding between her and the somali govt who is also invests in the baydhabo issue he will be calmed until another era.

im a good reader of this guys articles and im glad that he made this article wich goes along side with my recent findings, perhapes we read the political events in the same way.
http://www.somalicurrent.com/2014/03/06 ... r-somalia/

[original dervish]

He actually met with the PM and other important ministers.

Nobody can predict the future, however, we know the regions will not accept to be dominated from Xamar.
Any Govt policy which doesn't reflect this new reality will be bound to fail, just as it did in J/Land.

[sahal80]

who cares as long you keep posting your emetions, im posting here analysis and figures, what may happen because of a change in the situations.

[original dervish]

Then report the facts.
Ahmed Madobe met with the Ethiopian PM and was treated like a head of state.
ps The Ethiopian PM was wearing a suit too.

[sahal80]

this thread is for analysis I'm not here with any one, I do support the govt for itself but not againist other regions. I have big space to come up with an independent analysis!

Now the govt has the upper hand in every region

The govt and the regional countries are getting closer

The regional amisom have exchange their positions to suit the govt

SNA commander is planning to invade jilib next week as barawe is under attack now

The govt is one and united

The regions are badly divided

You need different positions in the govt but they are all the same.

[whitehartlane]

this thread is for analysis I'm not here with any one, I do support the govt for itself but not againist other regions. I have big space to come up with an independent analysis!

Now the govt has the upper hand in every region

The govt and the regional countries are getting closer

The regional amisom have exchange their positions to suit the govt

SNA commander is planning to invade jilib next week as barawe is under attack now

The govt is one and united

The regions are badly divided

You need different positions in the govt but they are all the same.

i dont think so
missed again
sure dont look that way

which entity isnt?..

this government is a failure, faysal cali waraabe has more credibility than the somali federal government..

[DANGIRL]

When things pops off with Egypt, they'll be "freedom fighters" streaming into ethiopia like they did in Libya and Syria.

[zidane88]

May not happen, but You can post your dreams and call it "al tahliil al waqa'iq".