Much of this depends on the expected US embassy and the gulf countries
Diplomatically, the regional organizations are very important like how ethiopia is winning the nile valley againist egypt
However, IGAD is a sick organization, it represents only the ethiopian and kenyan interests
Since its HQ are located in djibouti, it has the third role in it though some years ago it had the second role after ethiopia. Having the HQ in her capital, means having a lot of political wight when it comes to somalia and indeed djibouti has played big reconciliation and talks roles in somalia the last one being the reconciliation with the resistance
When it comes to eritrea, djibouti along side with ethiopia is rejecting the return of asmara to this organization
Enemies and freinds in IGAD
Somalia vs kenya
Sudan vs south sudan
Ethiopia and djibouti are againist eritrea
Friends
Sudan, ethiopia and djibouti
Djibouti, uganda, somalia and south sudan
Somalia and sudan