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FAH1223 wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 11:34 pm She won't win the 2nd round

paperino wrote: Mon Apr 24, 2017 6:20 am

FAH1223 wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 11:34 pm She won't win the 2nd round

You predicted that Trump won't win, you were wrong.

FAH1223 wrote: Mon Apr 24, 2017 8:09 am Trump trailed the polls by 2-3 points

He lost the popular vote by that amount

The reason he won was because of the electoral college

France doesn't have that and Macron is leading by 25 points in the polls

paperino wrote: Mon Apr 24, 2017 9:52 pm

FAH1223 wrote: Mon Apr 24, 2017 8:09 am Trump trailed the polls by 2-3 points

He lost the popular vote by that amount

The reason he won was because of the electoral college

France doesn't have that and Macron is leading by 25 points in the polls

Cut the bull! You said multiple times Trump had no chance of winning the electoral, and Clinton was on lock for a minimum +300. Popular vote has no place in any argument, and even of there's, Trump won more states than Clinton. The few more millions Clinton won happened in 1 or 2 of the most populous states. The EU is ganging up against Le Pen, and that's enough motivation for many French to vote for her.

FAH1223 wrote: Tue Apr 25, 2017 8:20 am Le Pen isn't going to get 50% plus one and win the run off. Get outta here.

gurey25 wrote: Wed Apr 26, 2017 6:12 pm All the indications are that Marine le pen will be another trump.
meaning even if she wins, the establishment will totally fuck her and force her to bend to their will.

but then again you never know what can happen,
frances voting population especially its youth are better educated and more politically aware than the US.
Massive unemployment and dissatisfaction could make the reaction to a potential lep pen victory and subsequent political castration
ugly.

CigaalSHiiDaaDCFC wrote: Wed Apr 26, 2017 7:41 pm

gurey25 wrote: Wed Apr 26, 2017 6:12 pm All the indications are that Marine le pen will be another trump.
meaning even if she wins, the establishment will totally fuck her and force her to bend to their will.

but then again you never know what can happen,
frances voting population especially its youth are better educated and more politically aware than the US.
Massive unemployment and dissatisfaction could make the reaction to a potential lep pen victory and subsequent political castration
ugly.

Trumpf was elected bcz of his business backgroud, she doesnt have that, so i dnt think there's enough racists that can help her win. her only weapon is to exploit people's fear of terrorism. and thats the only reason she is still in the race. i wont be surprised if enough french say we dnt feel safe in our capital therefor we need to shake up the system.