Waachis: ET and SL become partners

[AwRastaale]

Few days ago, I saw you falling victim for the Egyptian and southern Somali propaganda that Ethiopia was spooked by the rising Arab investment in the Horn.

Totally false alarm.

Ethiopia is a partner and has the most to gain. Looks like the door is once again closed on any Oromo who want secession who often used the Muslim card against the first nation to welcome Muslims

In Berbera, Ethiopia is now 19% stalk-holder given to them by DP (basically DP gave some of its equity to Ethiopia, which it can).

Now it looks like this;

DP World 46% (majority stalk-holder)
Somaliland 35%
Ethiopia 19%

In my opinion it's very wise decision to award the main client some rewards so that it can keep bringing its business to Berbera. For every $1 Ethiopia brings, we will throw 19cents back at her.

Imagine yourself as a business you wish to export 100tons of coffee (Jimma), if I can return you 19%, are you going to Sudan, Lamu, Djibouti or Berbera?

For all partners the rewards are ripped to the fullest as volume or gross capacity increases...the more Ethiopia brings to Berbera, the more for her, the more for SL, the more for DP.

I did this chart:





Imagine at Q1, Ethiopia exports/imports $100m. Then its stalk is $19m. If it increases volume to Q2, say $250m, then almost $48m.

The point is the more it increases its volume at Berbera, the more for her.

Likewise in SL case; Q1: $35m, (almost) Q2: $88m

Meanwhile SL gains from infrastructures, other investments such as hotels, airports, workers with big pockets who need to spend...

Overall about 30 other investors are expected after Ramadan as well as the blueprint to develop Berbera. So far four big major investors came with DP World including ALEC, the company that built Dubai's airport, Abu Dhabi airport, Qatar's and other major projects (http://www.alec.ae/projects/all). I suspect ALEC is getting the contract to build Berbera's upcoming airport, which will have both military and civilian sections. Others include the Director General of Abu Dhabi Fund for Development (ADFD), Mohammed Saif Al Suwaidi.



The spillover is great.

In conclusion, as the volumes in Berbera increases, so do the rewards for all three partners.

The deal itself is very historical because we showed everyone in the region that Horn people can work together.

The goal is for Ethiopia to become the next China (major industrial country) and ways to help her export to the world will be developed.



I have always said, we are lucky to be placed such strategic location and our economic horse (Ethiopia) will pull all of us out off poverty if we work together and work smart----emotions, egos and falsehood prides aside.

We all going to eat good.


The Ras

[mahoka]

Good analysis


Also the theory of neofunctionalism states cooperation in one area will lead to cooperating in other areas (this already happened with dp port deal then dp military base) so expect closer relations between the 3 nations

[xiimaaya]

Nothing but cheap pussay a cheap prostitute I'm glad you happy hoe

[gurey25]

this berbera deal is primarily political and strategic and wont bring real profits for at least 5 years,
till ethiopia fullfils its commitments to the chinese they wont be moving any real traffic through berbera.
When they are ready to do that, the roads and port improvements have to be ready by then, to handle the traffic.

i was enthusiastic as well but ive debated with professionals about this issue, like a consultant involved in the projects, a senior executive in a multinational shipping company,
this deal is not too bad, but we wont see anything real till at least 3-5 years.

but thats not too bad, you have 3 years to invest in property in berbera and wajale, and trucking companies and associated bussiness.

[Waachis]

Still doesn't change the fact that TPLF-puppet PM said people must respect the sovereignty of Somalia and deal with the govt in Mogadishu.

[Jabuutawi]

Still doesn't change the fact that TPLF-puppet PM said people must respect the sovereignty of Somalia and deal with the govt in Mogadishu.

bila naxariis, no mercy for the Amhar. He even got you PowerPoint presentation.

Yo, are you a high ranking Oromo official, because he went all this trouble to convince you otherwise?

[Waachis]

Still doesn't change the fact that TPLF-puppet PM said people must respect the sovereignty of Somalia and deal with the govt in Mogadishu.

bila naxariis, no mercy for the Amhar. He even got you PowerPoint presentation.

Yo, are you a high ranking Oromo official, because he went all this trouble to convince you otherwise?

I'm not into discussing who I am, personally, but would rather discuss my beliefs, if possible.

LOL

[Jabuutawi]

Waachis, do you happen to know final agreement/resolution/updated map btwn our two regions? I saw my Ugas sitting at the front row during final communique.

[Waachis]

No, I do not, but I pray that it brings a final peace to our people. Somalis are not our enemies, it's the Tigrayans. Much rather focus our manpower, resources, and intellect towards fighting them.

[AwRastaale]

Gurey you are right. The expansion of the port alone will take two years.

The road is another challenge but think long term my friend.

Vampire kid,

I see you still butt-hurt from my previous karbaash.

One day you will find a way to heal.

You know we eating good both in Djibouti and Berbera. As you know all the millionaires are one particular family but Berbera will not create a single wealthy vampire.

Waachis,

Yes the door on "we Muslim Oromo need secession" is closed for good.

The PM can say whatever he likes about Somalia but SL is not Somalia nor is the failed union (Somali Republic).

But if we entertain your understanding how is investing 19% of Berbera respecting a sovereignty of Somalia if we were to say under Mogadishu?

The Tigrais are much more informed and know the difference between SL, Somalia and Somali Republic.

Maybe Egypt will listen to "Muslim Oromo" against the "evil Christian empire that chopped boobs". I hear Egypt is is now in Mogadishu.

Somali president welcomes invitation to visit Egypt, hopes for further cooperation: Egyptian PM

https://hiiraan.com/news4/2017/May/1421 ... an_pm.aspx

[Waachis]

Unless you can predict the future, WHICH ALLAH ALONE KNOWS, especially better than the US can, then nobody can guarantee Ethiopia will exist in the next 13-15 years.

''Ethiopia will be among the top failed states., according to a report by the Director of National Intelligence, an umbrella organization of US intelligence agencies. Entitled “Global Trends 2030: Alternative Trends”, Ethiopia is among the top 15 states expected to disintegrate and become ungovernable in the next fifteen years.

The separation of Eritrea from Ethiopia is said to have ushered in the era of disintegration of African states along tribal and ethnic lines. “The secessions of Eritrea from Ethiopia and South Sudan from Sudan are seen in retrospect as precursors of this era in which the boundaries across the Sahel are redrawn. States fragment along sectarian, tribal, and ethnic lines.''

http://www.ethiopianreview.com/2011/Glo ... s_2030.pdf


The Tigrayans do not care for any Somalis, as you can see from how they slit throats of shaykhs in Mogadishu and raped the girls, but as long as the somalis remain fragmented/at odds with each other; they'll enjoy doing business with you all individually.
BUT, they will always have the ambition of being the hegemonic power of the horn, so if anyone tries to change that, of course, they will not be pleased. but they won't always be in a position to do anything about (directly, with force, at least).

Egypt probably will try arming the OLF and ONLF, who knows, but the oromo will certainly accept it for the most part. we need guns badly.

[Jabuutawi]

Amhar, what karbash are you talking about? The one I give to your clan's dubious origin? Just roll with the punches bastard child.

Isse is eating good, whether in Djibouti, Shinile Zone or Dra Dhabe.

By 2020 Republic of Djibouti will have 6 new sea ports and 3 international airports, including current one. And, we are geographically closer to Addis and Juba, hence competitive advantage over Icrirafland.

Oromos are not stupid. They will deal with clans in Somali Region who happen to be the majority. We all know who they are. No amount of Amhar twerking will help you. Now go find your real daddy bastardiow.

[AwRastaale]

Mr Vampire,

If my karbaash hasn't done some psychological damage to you, why do you always type things like a little angry girl on her periods?

It's clear your mad about something.

Now here is a home work for you once again since you keep avoiding the question.

Can you list all the Issa and Isaac millionaires in Djibouti for us because the richest list often says a lot about a society. That list is the fact of who is eating more than good.


Who is eating good. If you were confident you would compile that list. Shouldn't be hard really.

We control whatever Djibouti builds and the money will be channeled its way to SL as all our millionaires did.

Private is what creates true wealth.

[Jabuutawi]

.

[Talo alle udaa]

The basic question is does Ethiopia own 19 cents for every dollar it brings to the port or does it own 19 percent of every dollar period. If the latter is true, then the Iidoor are throwing money at Ethiopia in the name of ictiraaf