No difference between cabdilahi tigray and Failmaajo as they both invited tigres to the land of Hawiye

[Khalid Ali]

Riding to Somalia’s rescue: clues to Eritrean and Ethiopian plans
NOVEMBER 30, 2018 MARTIN PLAUT NEWS
There is no firm evidence, but the signs are that Somalia may be about to invite Ethiopia and Eritrea to send troops into its territory to replace the African Union’s AMISOM forces that are due to depart.

If this is confirmed, then the discussions between Somalia, Ethiopia and Eritrea in the Ethiopian town of Bahr Dar on 9th of November might be among the most important held in the region in recent years. They could see a re-shaping of the political relations in the Horn of Africa.

The three leaders, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo, and President Isaias Afwerki were not in the city to enjoy the tourist sites on Lake Tana and the Blue Nile. At the end of their talks they signed an agreement.

These were the key sentences.

“They noted with satisfaction the tangible and positive outcomes already registered, and agreed to consolidate their mutual solidarity and support in addressing challenges that they face individually and collectively. In this regard, they stressed the importance of respecting the sovereignty, territorial integrity and political independence of Somalia as well as their firm support for the Somalia people and Federal Government of Somalia and all its institution.”

This was hardly transparent, but they may presage an invitation from the Somali government for Eritrean and Ethiopian soldiers to be based on its territory.

A brief recap

The African Union Mission in Somalia – AMISOM – is going ahead with plans to withdraw its troops in February next year. By December 2020, all AMISOM combat troops are scheduled to leave all of Somalia’s cities, towns, and villages that they’ve liberated from the al-Shabaab terrorist organization.

Amisom Somalia

Troops from Uganda, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Kenya and Burundi, are currently deployed across the country, funded by EU and UN.

They fight alongside the Somali National Army, and continue to take casualties. They protect the Somali government and keep roads connecting the Somali capital to the regions. Their forces have liberated towns from al-Shabaab including Mogadishu, Kisimayo, Beletweyne and Baidoa.

Backed by US air and drone strikes, they have held al-Shabaab at bay. But the Islamists are by no means defeated.

Progress has been slow and difficult. “Somalia is like cleaning a pig,” one Ugandan AMISOM colonel told a reporter Foreign Policy. “You clean it, and it gets dirty.”

Everyone has attempted to train the Somali army. Turkey has a military academy, so too does Qatar. Egypt, Britain and the USA provide training. But what have they achieved? Arms and ammunition supplied to the Somali national army disappear – only to re-appear on the hands of al-Shabaab. The army’s communications systems are tapped by the Islamists.

Without AMISOM can President Farmajo survive?

This is an issue for the whole of the region and beyond. Keeping Islamists at bay has been a critical element in the American war on terrorism.

The US effort has been bolstered by the deployment of one of its most respected and knowledgeable diplomat to the region.

Donald Yamamoto is the new ambassador to Somalia, and he is a heavyweight. Yamamoto played a key role in the reconcilliation between Ethiopia and Eritrea.

He was joined in Mogadishu by the head of US Africa Command in Mogadishu, General Thomas Waldhauser.

USA Somalia

So, will Ethiopia and Eritrea ride to the rescue?

As indicated at the start of this article there is no hard evidence. But with AMISOM winding down its operation, there are suggestions that Ethiopia’s Abiy Ahmed that his forces establish a military base inside Somali during the talks at Bahir Dar. President Farmajo is said to have agreed to the idea, with the town of Merca as a possible site.

The idea of Ethiopian forces being in Somalia has been around for nearly two decades. It was in November 2000 that the then Somali President, Abdiqassim Salad Hassan visited his opposite number, Meles Zenawi. It was the first visit to Ethiopia by a Somali head of state since 1974.

Since then Ethiopian troops have been in and out of Somalia, attempting to resist Islamist insurgents and – more recently – to bolster the Somali government.

For its part, Eritrea has played a double role in Somalia. There is evidence that it provided training and arms for al-Shabaab until this was uncovered by UN Monitors in 2011.

As their report stated: “While the Eritrean Government acknowledges that it maintains relationships with Somali armed opposition groups, including Al-Shabaab, it denies that it provides any military, material or financial support and says its links are limited to a political, and even humanitarian, nature.” The UN exposure did the trick and the Eritrean backing for al-Shabaab ended.

Now, it appears, President Isaias is considering sending his forces into Somalia to support President Farmajo.

[Khalid Ali]

Afewerqi the terrorist sponsor of shabaab recently sanctions got lifted he now wants to send troops Failmaajo is oke with it just like how colonel yusuf used the tigre from meqelle this new fellow Failmaajo is willing to bring more tigres this time from sawa camp.

[theyuusuf143]

Bal arag sidu hadalkiisu isu burinayo qosolbaa ku qabanaya

[Murax]

Khalid you’re shameless for this. A political deal where Ethiopia is not going to support and arm every skinny in Somalia wirh a pulse is not the same as the shameless 2004/2008 Gov that brought Ethiopians to Xamar to kill 10s of thousands. Silly analogy

[bashe19]

Khalid is delusional losser, he say what ever come out his qat addict mouth, marqaaan man unpalanced.

[Togdeer]

[Khalid Ali]

Murax there is no difference really because it's the same actors but they are just on the same team this now.

[knet]

Murax there is no difference really because it's the same actors but they are just on the same team this now.

Farmaajo and the weak presidents before him have no game plan no political vision. They continue to read and follow A/Y playbook 10 years later. So dam sad cause the strategy A/Y laid out in his playbook was temporary, and it worked perfectly at that time to immediately restore Government back in Mogadishu and restore Law & Order. Farmaajo is trying to make it a long term plan I wouldn't be surprised if he uses Ethiopia to capture Hargeysa fear for iidoor land.

[joof]

Waa xiligii hawiye loo barooran jiray lol

[joof]

If you could get a chance to wipe whole southern somalia I have no doubt you would do it . Stop pretending you care about us filthy Khaldaaan .

[Murax]

Murax there is no difference really because it's the same actors but they are just on the same team this now.

Farmaajo and the weak presidents before him have no game plan no political vision. They continue to read and follow A/Y playbook 10 years later. So dam sad cause the strategy A/Y laid out in his playbook was temporary, and it worked perfectly at that time to immediately restore Government back in Mogadishu and restore Law & Order. Farmaajo is trying to make it a long term plan I wouldn't be surprised if he uses Ethiopia to capture Hargeysa fear for iidoor land.

Horta if you believe 10% of what you write xaaladaa mafiicno. For your mental sanity’s sake, I hope keyboard ku dirir inay kaa tahay

[Khalid Ali]

Joof the Bantu gudhu I don't need to wipe you out alshabaab is doing that perfectly and your Bantu overlords. Are cashing in Qof naftisadaryeeleyn me cidkala kudaryeeli yaa Bantu.

[joof]

Bantus are people with roots and known ancestors they Noble in my eyes and the eyes of everyone. Who are you? Originless khladan one day you are Banihashim with kinky hair and burnt ass skin next you are Dir samaale with diffrent DNA and stained teeth. You are the last guy who can talk about nobility and origins Axamaq

[X.Playa]

Never mind Ethiopia and Eretria if the planet of the Apes invaded Italian Somalia I could care less.

Khalid Ali stop wasting your time on Walaweyn politics, as far as we are concerned both southern clans are our eternal enemies.

And why bemoan their fate? It's perfectly consistent with SL interest, more troops means more divergent interest and Xaarmaajo will waste his remaining few months.

Once Xaarmaajo is replaced by some Hawiye the Daarood will begin their tantrum and clannishness and the Puntland and Jubaland as usual will try everything to abort the success of any Hawiye government.

Italian Somalia is a dead horse, federalism will never defeat SL, these guys have created a clan federalism where each clan pretends to be a government with president, capital, army and even foreign policy, all of them put together can't challenge SL . The only enemy of SL is the so called international community that recognize these herd of cattle as a government.

[Khalid Ali]

Saaxib you are a Bantu embrace your roots you are Congolese assalaagu wa dadkakaliya eh ankadiirin dilboob boob dhac iyo furaashyarolalo ordo I believe you Bantu call it joodaari