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Predictions:

May's deal and no deal both voted down. Article 50 extension voted for because May will promise Brexiteers a chance to renegotiate for themselves, but to Remainers she'll dangled a potential second referendum on whatever new deal arises.

May steps down (though is essentially forced out via a strong letter from the 1922 Committee) as leader as her deal is comprehensively rejected. Tory leadership contest ensues.

Contenders include Gove, Boris, Hunt, the Saj, Nicky Morgan and a reluctant Ruth Davidson. This is the most unpredictable part of the whole affair as it'll be a crowded field and a few of the candidates will take each other out, backstab each other or commit horrendous gaffes. Eventually it'll be establishment survivor (Javid) vs. Boris put to the membership and Boris takes it by a landslide, forming a cabinet where Gove features prominently (Chancellor?).

Boris calls a GE in May with the slogan 'Let's have a proper Brexit. Let's make Britain proud.' He does annoyingly well.

Brexit negotiations begin again except even more chaotically and with the EU less willing to negotiate, as they're starting from the same position as May's deal. It does not go well and we end up running down the clock once more 21 months from now.

Other general predictions: Trump gets a second term, we have a national economic scare over car finance debt, Bitcoin and other cryto continues to fade into obscurity.

it will be postponed

brexit was a russian encouraged project but there is fundamental underlining problem in the EU, which is the Euro.

Its matter of time before the euro fails, am waiting for italian, spanish and Portuguese economies to wable once again.

this is when democracy fails, mindless hordes vote emotionally and not rationally

Typhoon wrote: Wed Mar 06, 2019 5:09 am it will be postponed

Yes, it will be post-poned. May will be forced to opt for article 50. The bill will not make its way through parliament.

Theresa will atleast have an additional four months to ratify the new deal once downing street can have an idea as to what will be acceptable to the commons. Things are going to get more interesting in the next couple of months. Watch this space.

Hennystreak wrote: Wed Mar 06, 2019 5:21 am

Typhoon wrote: Wed Mar 06, 2019 5:09 am it will be postponed

Yes, it will be post-poned. May will be forced to opt for article 50. The bill will not make its way through parliament.

Theresa will atleast have an additional four months to ratify the new deal once downing street can have an idea as to what will be acceptable to the commons. Things are going to get more interesting in the next couple of months. Watch this space.

I dont think you know germans and Jean-Claude Juncker

There is a reason why the british feared Jean-Claude Juncker election as President of the European Commission, he will not bend.

the american used to lough at the british notion of special relations and the naivete of the british- thinking they will get favourable trade deal with the americans america wants a divide EU but which remains as a one economic block.

americans are the one undermining the Euro by the way because the dollar as a reserve currency is under strain

all in all the british will regret in the short term but in the long term they made a brilliant and wise move


i made this years ago and it one o the reason uk want to leave the EU, due to toxic assets assets of french, spanish and italian banks

Postby Eaglehawk » Wed Jun 13, 2012 12:04 pm

greece will be out of the euro and they will reinstate the greek drachma
the whole reason they still around is to give german and french banks space to get rid of troubled assets or restructure their debt obligation
the german and french are goverments are underwriting their failing banks

some of these french and german banks have toxic assets in their books worth more then the GDP of greece

the whole greek saga is not about greece its about helping german and french banks while using greece as collateral

the dumb greeks will pay for german and french banks liabilities and greek childeren will be in servitude for generation and greece will be noting but border guard for EU

greece will be more orthodox christian and they will get closer to russia.

Typhoon wrote: Wed Mar 06, 2019 5:52 am

Hennystreak wrote: Wed Mar 06, 2019 5:21 am

Typhoon wrote: Wed Mar 06, 2019 5:09 am it will be postponed

Yes, it will be post-poned. May will be forced to opt for article 50. The bill will not make its way through parliament.

Theresa will atleast have an additional four months to ratify the new deal once downing street can have an idea as to what will be acceptable to the commons. Things are going to get more interesting in the next couple of months. Watch this space.

I dont think you know germans and Jean-Claude Juncker

There is a reason why the british feared Jean-Claude Juncker election as President of the European Commission, he will not bend.

the american used to lough at the british notion of special relations and the naivete of the british- thinking they will get favourable trade deal with the americans america wants a divide EU but which remains as a one economic block.

americans are the one undermining the Euro by the way because the dollar as a reserve currency is under strain

all in all the british will regret in the short term but in the long term they made a brilliant and wise move


i made this years ago and it one o the reason uk want to leave the EU, due to toxic assets assets of french, spanish and italian banks

Postby Eaglehawk » Wed Jun 13, 2012 12:04 pm

greece will be out of the euro and they will reinstate the greek drachma
the whole reason they still around is to give german and french banks space to get rid of troubled assets or restructure their debt obligation
the german and french are goverments are underwriting their failing banks

some of these french and german banks have toxic assets in their books worth more then the GDP of greece

the whole greek saga is not about greece its about helping german and french banks while using greece as collateral

the dumb greeks will pay for german and french banks liabilities and greek childeren will be in servitude for generation and greece will be noting but border guard for EU

greece will be more orthodox christian and they will get closer to russia.

Ileen, you were the legendary Eaglehawk?

Never looked at that way, interesting foresight.

Very interesting