SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

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sahal80
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SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by sahal80 »

There are many reasons why SL is getting more attention these days the first has to do wih 1- the collapse of the habashi regime that was seen as a threat by the arabs because of their mother egypt therefore, stronger Somalia to counterweight Ethiopia is not now important for egypt.
2- after abit isolation, SL has played the dir card to attract the ruling oromo who see the dir as the gate for integration with somalis via those who have double somali and oromo identity. Dir have now the federal minister, the chairman of the ruling part of the somali region and the speaker that's huge influence however this does not include Djibouti who benefited the most under the habasha hegemony of the horn and the absence of Eritrea . In short the oromo theorists of the new regime like jawaar call for special relationship with SL bc of the oromo presence in there and not being targeted.
3.as Islamists backed by qatar and Turkey dominate Mogadishu, Somaliland will be linking berbera to mossawa and Suez to protect the arab interests and security and trade
4-the appearance of a very weak new somali Govt and the advance of stroger al shabaab on the capital peripheries wich kills the hope of a stable south hence they have to deal with the north where daesh or al Qaeda are not operating and here there is a possibility of israel joining the arabs in this red sea strategy against the Turkish, iran, daesh and al qaida.
5-this Govt destabilizing the federal states and finishing their foreign contacts have opened more doors for SL as some non federal independent entity. The UAE is moving the talks file from Turkey to Addis aba in order to give SL more legal bases for foreign dealings. Abiy is responsible to put pressure under the the somali govt to sing such dangerous articles(quasi-independent status wich lead to the south Sudan scenario from within sudan) This is why djibouti president was advising in mogadishu against moving the talks to addis Ababa to keep his Dir portion in the 4.5 system but his visit has back fired Mogadishu as UAE sent eritrea to SL!
Forget about ethiopia and Eritrea helping army with this Govt!
5. This govt clashing with the UKs commonwealth interests and expelling a pro uk UN envoy this why the secretary state for defence visited somaliland and kenya instead of Mogadishu. This means the uk who was sponsoring the talks since the new deal in order to establish a pro commonwealth Somalia is now interested only in Somaliland and supports the UAE presence in berbera and aden

Garguurte was pro Turkey he wasnt pro qatar he was balancing his gulf policies andwas letting the UAE operate in PL and Mogadishu. He only just refused to kick out Turkey. On the other hand this Govt is under the control of Qatar thanks to fahad yasin!

Kenya is threatening to recognize SL. Sl envoy to Addis was present in the meeting uhuru had with abiy ahmed. If kenya ever recognizes SL in order to weaken the south and invade its coast then anti Turkey arab regimes like Egypt,UAE and Syria, KSA will recognize SL. Then will be followed by Eritrea, Ethiopia and the west.







Warning:no trolls and clan bashing from those with insecurities only share your political opinions without destroying my thread. I havnt invested f-king time in here for your cabaad.
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by Sagax »

I hope Somaliland gets the recognition soon, only then will the daroods wake up and realize that their stupid politics has backfired tremendously, because after Somaliland gets recognition, the daroods will be partitioned in 2 Somali countries Of Isaaq Somaliland and Hawiye Somalia.

And once the daroods have been subjugated in the Somaliland and Hawiye a Somalia, then we will focus on the Somali region in Ethiopia and start together Isaaq and Hawiye destroying xoolo dhaanto freaks Ogadens.
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by theyuusuf143 »

The countries you mentioned don't recognize us , but they deal with us as an independent State. But yes somaliland is lot more respected in world stages than yesterday. Each time Somalia try to subotage us it yeilds bad fruits for them.

Dir revolution is born with the Ethiopian revolution,. And it's a good political opportunity for all stake holders. We are done with Ethiopia, next move we are coming for somalia, one thing is for sure farmaajo is not coming back. The unified Dir vote will be used to boost the confidence of the ambitious southern Dir politicians.

We are targeting one of the top three positions. Especially the office of the prime minister , if we get a reliable partner. We may even try to pool our votes with the D&M community, if Hawiye don't take advantage vof our generous offer .
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by theyuusuf143 »

The 4.5 system is blessing in disguise for us, it's created to prevent us to move forward , but now we gonna use the same tool to control Somalia politics and it will never be changed. One man vote weligeed somalia ka dhici mayso. 4.5 la bedelayana ma jirto. Ha biqlayso.
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by X.Playa »

The Europeans and their American overlords are beginning to give up on Italian Somalia . Also the Arabs are now are seen the reality in the ground , no one has the old illusion of one single Somali republic , the world has at last learned the basic conflict of somaliland vs somalia , that of two states that attempted a failed union and not a separate struggle as the Hawiye and Daarood loved to depict the conflict. The true narrative of the somali republic collapse is gaining traction.

Somaliland faced two enemies , the Hawiye and the Daarood axis , the later Isaaq's historical enemy and the former a tool to achieve a Daarood hegemony in the somali region., since the 1960 the Darood managed to use the Hawiye to maneuver and outmaneuver and isolate Isaaq and that led to the civil war where finally the Isaaq came as the only victorious party. One should never make the mistake Sahal always make , the somali conflict is nothing but tribal , it has nothing to do with sophisticated Geo politics or economics or ideology, is a dog eat dog of clan interest.

In the 1960 Somaliland a majority Isaaq new state sought to unite and liberate the 5 Somali regions by first sacrificing their own nationhood, the Daarood from the beginning used Daaroodism as their end game , they convinced the Hawiye of a tribal power sharing formula opposed to that of Isaaq between two united states , doing this the Daarood with the assistance of Hawiye deprived Isaaq of all influence and striped them of any clout . Thus the Daarood agreed with the Hawiye to take the lion share and deprive Isaaq of everything , from 1960- to now all position of power were shared and divided between Daarood and Hawiye .

That formula above worked for 30 years till the end of the civil war where Isaaq declared Somaliland Republic, The Isaaq narrative was simple and true , the project of great-somalia has failed and Isaaq lost tens of thousands in the war to reclaim their nation back from the Hawiye Daarood duopoly . The Daarood not to be outmaneuvered created Puntland for Daaroodism and cloaked themselves in the blue flag and created a narrative now that they are fighting against Isaaq separatism and the break of "somalia" while ironically openly crying Harti-nimo. Again the Hawiye drank the Kool aid and danced on Daarood music. Again the 1960s is re-enacted Hawiye / Daarood sharing of power while reducing Isaaq to a sub-clan of Dir, let alone changing anything the Daarood intensified their clannish plan to monopolize all power and use the Hawiye as a stepping stone . Puntland , Jubalanad and a regional presidency in the Ethiopian Somali region and a presidency of the federal government , a total encirclement of Hawiye in Somalia. Now astoundingly the former Italian somalia has 3 president all Daarood and the 4th in Ethiopia as the president of the somali region , dispossessing the majority in both somalia and ethiopia , all that was achieved with the Hawiye collaboration . why? nobody knows .

If we ask Sahal somalinet political "expert" he will go into a maze of Dam-jadiid , Dam-khafiif , secert cabal and imaginary hawiye sub clan alliance with Daarood sub clan alliance, all fantasy , never admitting that the Daarood have and are using them .

The resilient Isaaq have blotted along slowly but surely strengthening their economy , their military , building up their institution and planned for a long tit for tat war . The Daarood in the menawhile tried to drew Isaaq into a clan vs clan war to creat a narrative of normal somali civil war of " tolayaay yaa reer hebelaay" the Isaaq never fell for the trap and despite the somaliland military been 90% isaaq that fact was downplayed and the fee Harti in somaliland army were paraded around to create the impression that it was a unified somaliland fighting a sub clan enclave of Puntland. Needless to say the Daarood failed despite collecting funds from all Daarood and using Xarmaajo in the federal government with the IC resources.

Somaliland have managed to at last outmaneuver their enemies the Daarood and their Hawiye stooges , to day as we speak almost 10 European Union Mps are in Hargaysa , as the world is flocking to Somaliland the world is abandoning the Hawiye/Daarood shi hole that has become somalia. One can even say somaliland had won long ago but the international community artificially supported this somalia government , but i guess the IC at last are learning you cant revive a dead crops.

What important is the future , i predict the Daarood will be kicked out of Mogadishu , not through war but by the simple ascent of a Hawiye with a single brain cell that asks himself a simple question , how did it happened that Daarood are ruling 60% of what use to be called Italian somalia and running the central government from Banadir ?. In that event the Daarood will throw a tantrum and will vow to separate like somaliland , and the final act of somaliland will be to say " Midnimada Italian somalia waa muqadas " to keep Daarood in the coffin for ever
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by sahal80 »

X.Playa wrote: Tue Apr 02, 2019 1:06 pm The Europeans and their American overlords are beginning to give up on Italian Somalia . Also the Arabs are now are seen the reality in the ground , no one has the old illusion of one single Somali republic , the world has at last learned the basic conflict of somaliland vs somalia , that of two states that attempted a failed union and not a separate struggle as the Hawiye and Daarood loved to depict the conflict. The true narrative of the somali republic collapse is gaining traction.

Somaliland faced two enemies , the Hawiye and the Daarood axis , the later Isaaq's historical enemy and the former a tool to achieve a Daarood hegemony in the somali region., since the 1960 the Darood managed to use the Hawiye to maneuver and outmaneuver and isolate Isaaq and that led to the civil war where finally the Isaaq came as the only victorious party. One should never make the mistake Sahal always make , the somali conflict is nothing but tribal , it has nothing to do with sophisticated Geo politics or economics or ideology, is a dog eat dog of clan interest.

In the 1960 Somaliland a majority Isaaq new state sought to unite and liberate the 5 Somali regions by first sacrificing their own nationhood, the Daarood from the beginning used Daaroodism as their end game , they convinced the Hawiye of a tribal power sharing formula opposed to that of Isaaq between two united states , doing this the Daarood with the assistance of Hawiye deprived Isaaq of all influence and striped them of any clout . Thus the Daarood agreed with the Hawiye to take the lion share and deprive Isaaq of everything , from 1960- to now all position of power were shared and divided between Daarood and Hawiye .

That formula above worked for 30 years till the end of the civil war where Isaaq declared Somaliland Republic, The Isaaq narrative was simple and true , the project of great-somalia has failed and Isaaq lost tens of thousands in the war to reclaim their nation back from the Hawiye Daarood duopoly . The Daarood not to be outmaneuvered created Puntland for Daaroodism and cloaked themselves in the blue flag and created a narrative now that they are fighting against Isaaq separatism and the break of "somalia" while ironically openly crying Harti-nimo. Again the Hawiye drank the Kool aid and danced on Daarood music. Again the 1960s is re-enacted Hawiye / Daarood sharing of power while reducing Isaaq to a sub-clan of Dir, let alone changing anything the Daarood intensified their clannish plan to monopolize all power and use the Hawiye as a stepping stone . Puntland , Jubalanad and a regional presidency in the Ethiopian Somali region and a presidency of the federal government , a total encirclement of Hawiye in Somalia. Now astoundingly the former Italian somalia has 3 president all Daarood and the 4th in Ethiopia as the president of the somali region , dispossessing the majority in both somalia and ethiopia , all that was achieved with the Hawiye collaboration . why? nobody knows .

If we ask Sahal somalinet political "expert" he will go into a maze of Dam-jadiid , Dam-khafiif , secert cabal and imaginary hawiye sub clan alliance with Daarood sub clan alliance, all fantasy , never admitting that the Daarood have and are using them .

The resilient Isaaq have blotted along slowly but surely strengthening their economy , their military , building up their institution and planned for a long tit for tat war . The Daarood in the menawhile tried to drew Isaaq into a clan vs clan war to creat a narrative of normal somali civil war of " tolayaay yaa reer hebelaay" the Isaaq never fell for the trap and despite the somaliland military been 90% isaaq that fact was downplayed and the fee Harti in somaliland army were paraded around to create the impression that it was a unified somaliland fighting a sub clan enclave of Puntland. Needless to say the Daarood failed despite collecting funds from all Daarood and using Xarmaajo in the federal government with the IC resources.

Somaliland have managed to at last outmaneuver their enemies the Daarood and their Hawiye stooges , to day as we speak almost 10 European Union Mps are in Hargaysa , as the world is flocking to Somaliland the world is abandoning the Hawiye/Daarood shi hole that has become somalia. One can even say somaliland had won long ago but the international community artificially supported this somalia government , but i guess the IC at last are learning you cant revive a dead crops.

What important is the future , i predict the Daarood will be kicked out of Mogadishu , not through war but by the simple ascent of a Hawiye with a single brain cell that asks himself a simple question , how did it happened that Daarood are ruling 60% of what use to be called Italian somalia and running the central government from Banadir ?. In that event the Daarood will throw a tantrum and will vow to separate like somaliland , and the final act of somaliland will be to say " Midnimada Italian somalia waa muqadas " to keep Daarood in the coffin for ever
X.playa i welcome your in put but that's your opinion. I'm expert on Arab and islamist politics and they say as the west is democratic and are controlled by their Congress and parliaments their deep states and governments use other diplomatically channels like the gulf arabs for example there are congress sanctions on somalia therefore the use administration may ask some arab country to invest in somalia they also see the UAE as a regional police to fight the Chinese infiltration of the red sea and the horn of africa therefore isolating the UAE in favour of qatar and Turkey led her and egypt to concentrate on SL. U even have info you dont have what the talks will be in order to legalize their presence in berbera. Christian hypocrite west respects heretic UAE too much even their babavatican visited it that why they r following like a sunfolower. On the other hand the uk had some policy wich is like their colonial position of uniting the somali territories that's why the Soma oil& gas and the pro uk envoys. I said this govt had fucked up all these arrangements in favour of SL you should be thankful to the naive farmaajo not this happened because of huge diplomatic efforts from SL.

Having said that I have say muuse biixi is more assertive and his hard position from Turkey could accelerate these events while siilanyo was more into autonomy and half measures like the special arrangement.
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by X.Playa »

sahal80 wrote: Tue Apr 02, 2019 5:24 pm
X.Playa wrote: Tue Apr 02, 2019 1:06 pm The Europeans and their American overlords are beginning to give up on Italian Somalia . Also the Arabs are now are seen the reality in the ground , no one has the old illusion of one single Somali republic , the world has at last learned the basic conflict of somaliland vs somalia , that of two states that attempted a failed union and not a separate struggle as the Hawiye and Daarood loved to depict the conflict. The true narrative of the somali republic collapse is gaining traction.

Somaliland faced two enemies , the Hawiye and the Daarood axis , the later Isaaq's historical enemy and the former a tool to achieve a Daarood hegemony in the somali region., since the 1960 the Darood managed to use the Hawiye to maneuver and outmaneuver and isolate Isaaq and that led to the civil war where finally the Isaaq came as the only victorious party. One should never make the mistake Sahal always make , the somali conflict is nothing but tribal , it has nothing to do with sophisticated Geo politics or economics or ideology, is a dog eat dog of clan interest.

In the 1960 Somaliland a majority Isaaq new state sought to unite and liberate the 5 Somali regions by first sacrificing their own nationhood, the Daarood from the beginning used Daaroodism as their end game , they convinced the Hawiye of a tribal power sharing formula opposed to that of Isaaq between two united states , doing this the Daarood with the assistance of Hawiye deprived Isaaq of all influence and striped them of any clout . Thus the Daarood agreed with the Hawiye to take the lion share and deprive Isaaq of everything , from 1960- to now all position of power were shared and divided between Daarood and Hawiye .

That formula above worked for 30 years till the end of the civil war where Isaaq declared Somaliland Republic, The Isaaq narrative was simple and true , the project of great-somalia has failed and Isaaq lost tens of thousands in the war to reclaim their nation back from the Hawiye Daarood duopoly . The Daarood not to be outmaneuvered created Puntland for Daaroodism and cloaked themselves in the blue flag and created a narrative now that they are fighting against Isaaq separatism and the break of "somalia" while ironically openly crying Harti-nimo. Again the Hawiye drank the Kool aid and danced on Daarood music. Again the 1960s is re-enacted Hawiye / Daarood sharing of power while reducing Isaaq to a sub-clan of Dir, let alone changing anything the Daarood intensified their clannish plan to monopolize all power and use the Hawiye as a stepping stone . Puntland , Jubalanad and a regional presidency in the Ethiopian Somali region and a presidency of the federal government , a total encirclement of Hawiye in Somalia. Now astoundingly the former Italian somalia has 3 president all Daarood and the 4th in Ethiopia as the president of the somali region , dispossessing the majority in both somalia and ethiopia , all that was achieved with the Hawiye collaboration . why? nobody knows .

If we ask Sahal somalinet political "expert" he will go into a maze of Dam-jadiid , Dam-khafiif , secert cabal and imaginary hawiye sub clan alliance with Daarood sub clan alliance, all fantasy , never admitting that the Daarood have and are using them .

The resilient Isaaq have blotted along slowly but surely strengthening their economy , their military , building up their institution and planned for a long tit for tat war . The Daarood in the menawhile tried to drew Isaaq into a clan vs clan war to creat a narrative of normal somali civil war of " tolayaay yaa reer hebelaay" the Isaaq never fell for the trap and despite the somaliland military been 90% isaaq that fact was downplayed and the fee Harti in somaliland army were paraded around to create the impression that it was a unified somaliland fighting a sub clan enclave of Puntland. Needless to say the Daarood failed despite collecting funds from all Daarood and using Xarmaajo in the federal government with the IC resources.

Somaliland have managed to at last outmaneuver their enemies the Daarood and their Hawiye stooges , to day as we speak almost 10 European Union Mps are in Hargaysa , as the world is flocking to Somaliland the world is abandoning the Hawiye/Daarood shi hole that has become somalia. One can even say somaliland had won long ago but the international community artificially supported this somalia government , but i guess the IC at last are learning you cant revive a dead crops.

What important is the future , i predict the Daarood will be kicked out of Mogadishu , not through war but by the simple ascent of a Hawiye with a single brain cell that asks himself a simple question , how did it happened that Daarood are ruling 60% of what use to be called Italian somalia and running the central government from Banadir ?. In that event the Daarood will throw a tantrum and will vow to separate like somaliland , and the final act of somaliland will be to say " Midnimada Italian somalia waa muqadas " to keep Daarood in the coffin for ever
X.playa i welcome your in put but that's your opinion. I'm expert on Arab and islamist politics and they say as the west is democratic and are controlled by their Congress and parliaments their deep states and governments use other diplomatically channels like the gulf arabs for example there are congress sanctions on somalia therefore the use administration may ask some arab country to invest in somalia they also see the UAE as a regional police to fight the Chinese infiltration of the red sea and the horn of africa therefore isolating the UAE in favour of qatar and Turkey led her and egypt to concentrate on SL. U even have info you dont have what the talks will be in order to legalize their presence in berbera. Christian hypocrite west respects heretic UAE too much even their babavatican visited it that why they r following like a sunfolower. On the other hand the uk had some policy wich is like their colonial position of uniting the somali territories that's why the Soma oil& gas and the pro uk envoys. I said this govt had fucked up all these arrangements in favour of SL you should be thankful to the naive farmaajo not this happened because of huge diplomatic efforts from SL.

Having said that I have say muuse biixi is more assertive and his hard position from Turkey could accelerate these events while siilanyo was more into autonomy and half measures like the special arrangement.
So why would Xarmaajo would sacrifice everything to stop Somaliland? exactly , you missed the entire point and as usual you went into your usual Arab western argument to explain somali conflict , a conflict that has nothing to do with Arabs or Western a pure clan strive for power and resources.
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by X.Playa »

sahal80 wrote: Tue Apr 02, 2019 5:24 pm
X.Playa wrote: Tue Apr 02, 2019 1:06 pm The Europeans and their American overlords are beginning to give up on Italian Somalia . Also the Arabs are now are seen the reality in the ground , no one has the old illusion of one single Somali republic , the world has at last learned the basic conflict of somaliland vs somalia , that of two states that attempted a failed union and not a separate struggle as the Hawiye and Daarood loved to depict the conflict. The true narrative of the somali republic collapse is gaining traction.

Somaliland faced two enemies , the Hawiye and the Daarood axis , the later Isaaq's historical enemy and the former a tool to achieve a Daarood hegemony in the somali region., since the 1960 the Darood managed to use the Hawiye to maneuver and outmaneuver and isolate Isaaq and that led to the civil war where finally the Isaaq came as the only victorious party. One should never make the mistake Sahal always make , the somali conflict is nothing but tribal , it has nothing to do with sophisticated Geo politics or economics or ideology, is a dog eat dog of clan interest.

In the 1960 Somaliland a majority Isaaq new state sought to unite and liberate the 5 Somali regions by first sacrificing their own nationhood, the Daarood from the beginning used Daaroodism as their end game , they convinced the Hawiye of a tribal power sharing formula opposed to that of Isaaq between two united states , doing this the Daarood with the assistance of Hawiye deprived Isaaq of all influence and striped them of any clout . Thus the Daarood agreed with the Hawiye to take the lion share and deprive Isaaq of everything , from 1960- to now all position of power were shared and divided between Daarood and Hawiye .

That formula above worked for 30 years till the end of the civil war where Isaaq declared Somaliland Republic, The Isaaq narrative was simple and true , the project of great-somalia has failed and Isaaq lost tens of thousands in the war to reclaim their nation back from the Hawiye Daarood duopoly . The Daarood not to be outmaneuvered created Puntland for Daaroodism and cloaked themselves in the blue flag and created a narrative now that they are fighting against Isaaq separatism and the break of "somalia" while ironically openly crying Harti-nimo. Again the Hawiye drank the Kool aid and danced on Daarood music. Again the 1960s is re-enacted Hawiye / Daarood sharing of power while reducing Isaaq to a sub-clan of Dir, let alone changing anything the Daarood intensified their clannish plan to monopolize all power and use the Hawiye as a stepping stone . Puntland , Jubalanad and a regional presidency in the Ethiopian Somali region and a presidency of the federal government , a total encirclement of Hawiye in Somalia. Now astoundingly the former Italian somalia has 3 president all Daarood and the 4th in Ethiopia as the president of the somali region , dispossessing the majority in both somalia and ethiopia , all that was achieved with the Hawiye collaboration . why? nobody knows .

If we ask Sahal somalinet political "expert" he will go into a maze of Dam-jadiid , Dam-khafiif , secert cabal and imaginary hawiye sub clan alliance with Daarood sub clan alliance, all fantasy , never admitting that the Daarood have and are using them .

The resilient Isaaq have blotted along slowly but surely strengthening their economy , their military , building up their institution and planned for a long tit for tat war . The Daarood in the menawhile tried to drew Isaaq into a clan vs clan war to creat a narrative of normal somali civil war of " tolayaay yaa reer hebelaay" the Isaaq never fell for the trap and despite the somaliland military been 90% isaaq that fact was downplayed and the fee Harti in somaliland army were paraded around to create the impression that it was a unified somaliland fighting a sub clan enclave of Puntland. Needless to say the Daarood failed despite collecting funds from all Daarood and using Xarmaajo in the federal government with the IC resources.

Somaliland have managed to at last outmaneuver their enemies the Daarood and their Hawiye stooges , to day as we speak almost 10 European Union Mps are in Hargaysa , as the world is flocking to Somaliland the world is abandoning the Hawiye/Daarood shi hole that has become somalia. One can even say somaliland had won long ago but the international community artificially supported this somalia government , but i guess the IC at last are learning you cant revive a dead crops.

What important is the future , i predict the Daarood will be kicked out of Mogadishu , not through war but by the simple ascent of a Hawiye with a single brain cell that asks himself a simple question , how did it happened that Daarood are ruling 60% of what use to be called Italian somalia and running the central government from Banadir ?. In that event the Daarood will throw a tantrum and will vow to separate like somaliland , and the final act of somaliland will be to say " Midnimada Italian somalia waa muqadas " to keep Daarood in the coffin for ever
X.playa i welcome your in put but that's your opinion. I'm expert on Arab and islamist politics and they say as the west is democratic and are controlled by their Congress and parliaments their deep states and governments use other diplomatically channels like the gulf arabs for example there are congress sanctions on somalia therefore the use administration may ask some arab country to invest in somalia they also see the UAE as a regional police to fight the Chinese infiltration of the red sea and the horn of africa therefore isolating the UAE in favour of qatar and Turkey led her and egypt to concentrate on SL. U even have info you dont have what the talks will be in order to legalize their presence in berbera. Christian hypocrite west respects heretic UAE too much even their babavatican visited it that why they r following like a sunfolower. On the other hand the uk had some policy wich is like their colonial position of uniting the somali territories that's why the Soma oil& gas and the pro uk envoys. I said this govt had fucked up all these arrangements in favour of SL you should be thankful to the naive farmaajo not this happened because of huge diplomatic efforts from SL.

Having said that I have say muuse biixi is more assertive and his hard position from Turkey could accelerate these events while siilanyo was more into autonomy and half measures like the special arrangement.
So why would Xarmaajo would sacrifice everything to stop Somaliland? exactly , you missed the entire point and as usual you went into your usual Arab western argument to explain somali conflict , a conflict that has nothing to do with Arabs or Western a pure clan strive for power and resources.
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by sahal80 »

X.Playa wrote: Tue Apr 02, 2019 5:49 pm
sahal80 wrote: Tue Apr 02, 2019 5:24 pm
X.Playa wrote: Tue Apr 02, 2019 1:06 pm The Europeans and their American overlords are beginning to give up on Italian Somalia . Also the Arabs are now are seen the reality in the ground , no one has the old illusion of one single Somali republic , the world has at last learned the basic conflict of somaliland vs somalia , that of two states that attempted a failed union and not a separate struggle as the Hawiye and Daarood loved to depict the conflict. The true narrative of the somali republic collapse is gaining traction.

Somaliland faced two enemies , the Hawiye and the Daarood axis , the later Isaaq's historical enemy and the former a tool to achieve a Daarood hegemony in the somali region., since the 1960 the Darood managed to use the Hawiye to maneuver and outmaneuver and isolate Isaaq and that led to the civil war where finally the Isaaq came as the only victorious party. One should never make the mistake Sahal always make , the somali conflict is nothing but tribal , it has nothing to do with sophisticated Geo politics or economics or ideology, is a dog eat dog of clan interest.

In the 1960 Somaliland a majority Isaaq new state sought to unite and liberate the 5 Somali regions by first sacrificing their own nationhood, the Daarood from the beginning used Daaroodism as their end game , they convinced the Hawiye of a tribal power sharing formula opposed to that of Isaaq between two united states , doing this the Daarood with the assistance of Hawiye deprived Isaaq of all influence and striped them of any clout . Thus the Daarood agreed with the Hawiye to take the lion share and deprive Isaaq of everything , from 1960- to now all position of power were shared and divided between Daarood and Hawiye .

That formula above worked for 30 years till the end of the civil war where Isaaq declared Somaliland Republic, The Isaaq narrative was simple and true , the project of great-somalia has failed and Isaaq lost tens of thousands in the war to reclaim their nation back from the Hawiye Daarood duopoly . The Daarood not to be outmaneuvered created Puntland for Daaroodism and cloaked themselves in the blue flag and created a narrative now that they are fighting against Isaaq separatism and the break of "somalia" while ironically openly crying Harti-nimo. Again the Hawiye drank the Kool aid and danced on Daarood music. Again the 1960s is re-enacted Hawiye / Daarood sharing of power while reducing Isaaq to a sub-clan of Dir, let alone changing anything the Daarood intensified their clannish plan to monopolize all power and use the Hawiye as a stepping stone . Puntland , Jubalanad and a regional presidency in the Ethiopian Somali region and a presidency of the federal government , a total encirclement of Hawiye in Somalia. Now astoundingly the former Italian somalia has 3 president all Daarood and the 4th in Ethiopia as the president of the somali region , dispossessing the majority in both somalia and ethiopia , all that was achieved with the Hawiye collaboration . why? nobody knows .

If we ask Sahal somalinet political "expert" he will go into a maze of Dam-jadiid , Dam-khafiif , secert cabal and imaginary hawiye sub clan alliance with Daarood sub clan alliance, all fantasy , never admitting that the Daarood have and are using them .

The resilient Isaaq have blotted along slowly but surely strengthening their economy , their military , building up their institution and planned for a long tit for tat war . The Daarood in the menawhile tried to drew Isaaq into a clan vs clan war to creat a narrative of normal somali civil war of " tolayaay yaa reer hebelaay" the Isaaq never fell for the trap and despite the somaliland military been 90% isaaq that fact was downplayed and the fee Harti in somaliland army were paraded around to create the impression that it was a unified somaliland fighting a sub clan enclave of Puntland. Needless to say the Daarood failed despite collecting funds from all Daarood and using Xarmaajo in the federal government with the IC resources.

Somaliland have managed to at last outmaneuver their enemies the Daarood and their Hawiye stooges , to day as we speak almost 10 European Union Mps are in Hargaysa , as the world is flocking to Somaliland the world is abandoning the Hawiye/Daarood shi hole that has become somalia. One can even say somaliland had won long ago but the international community artificially supported this somalia government , but i guess the IC at last are learning you cant revive a dead crops.

What important is the future , i predict the Daarood will be kicked out of Mogadishu , not through war but by the simple ascent of a Hawiye with a single brain cell that asks himself a simple question , how did it happened that Daarood are ruling 60% of what use to be called Italian somalia and running the central government from Banadir ?. In that event the Daarood will throw a tantrum and will vow to separate like somaliland , and the final act of somaliland will be to say " Midnimada Italian somalia waa muqadas " to keep Daarood in the coffin for ever
X.playa i welcome your in put but that's your opinion. I'm expert on Arab and islamist politics and they say as the west is democratic and are controlled by their Congress and parliaments their deep states and governments use other diplomatically channels like the gulf arabs for example there are congress sanctions on somalia therefore the use administration may ask some arab country to invest in somalia they also see the UAE as a regional police to fight the Chinese infiltration of the red sea and the horn of africa therefore isolating the UAE in favour of qatar and Turkey led her and egypt to concentrate on SL. U even have info you dont have what the talks will be in order to legalize their presence in berbera. Christian hypocrite west respects heretic UAE too much even their babavatican visited it that why they r following like a sunfolower. On the other hand the uk had some policy wich is like their colonial position of uniting the somali territories that's why the Soma oil& gas and the pro uk envoys. I said this govt had fucked up all these arrangements in favour of SL you should be thankful to the naive farmaajo not this happened because of huge diplomatic efforts from SL.

Having said that I have say muuse biixi is more assertive and his hard position from Turkey could accelerate these events while siilanyo was more into autonomy and half measures like the special arrangement.
So why would Xarmaajo would sacrifice everything to stop Somaliland? exactly , you missed the entire point and as usual you went into your usual Arab western argument to explain somali conflict , a conflict that has nothing to do with Arabs or Western a pure clan strive for power and resources.
Farmaajo swiming against the current helped SL that's my point not because he hasnt done his best to sabotage SL do you get it?
In bahar daar both ethiopia and Eritrea affirmed their new policy towards Somalia wich is dealing only with the federal govt but after they used farmaajo to lift the sanctions from eritrea they started showing their true colours. Another reason is the rapprochement between oromo and dir of ethiopia there is even a talk I dont like to say it of uniting the whole dir from saylac with Ethiopia in exchange of hawd and dir controlling the somali region instead of OG bc of the cost if not there will be a more integration with SL as a whole than with south Somalia and saylac will be base for the ethiopian naivy and possibly egypt, UAE and UK bases in berbera. Aby ahmed is with egypt against sudan.

The war between cagjar and shiddo is about the future of the somali region that why the later reaches out to SL for dir hegemony.

This is why egypt is inviting SL because of helping oromo expanstion wich is more important for them than somalia since they control Ethiopia itself.
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by JSL3000 »

xplaya you hit nail on the head sahal is missing the big picture majority hawiye are brainless like dameer dahir calusow they got million useless conspiracy theories.

reer shiikh isaxaaq have become most powerfulest somali speaking people in horn of africa.
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by Xildiiid »

Sahal is trying to portray his Mooryan politicians as Machiavelli.

This individual is beyond delusional!

We will never give up Zeila. We, the Isaaq, liberated Zeila from Arab control and we ruled from Tadjoura all the way to Laas Macaan (40min from Laas Qoray near Bosaaso).

We will return to our rightful place as the rulers of Somali Peninsula.
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by LeJusticier »

Yusuf destroy every thread with his imaginary dir. Waryaa ilaahay yaqaan
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by theyuusuf143 »

Sahal you have to understand Dr x.playa is not into Dir politics , he is local . KKK , by the way Dir are using every one, but no one is using us. Not Egypt or Ethiopia.

All Dir agreed

1. To form one single political block in Ethiopia
2. To regain our strength in Mogadishu and empower our southern folks
3. To defend somaliland and Djibouti interests every where on Earth. Gar iyo gardaraba.

The only difference is this time somalilanders are leading the revolution. IOG has less to do with this new Dir policy.
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by theyuusuf143 »

LeJusticier wrote: Tue Apr 02, 2019 7:38 pm Yusuf destroy every thread with his imaginary dir. Waryaa ilaahay yaqaan
It's imaginary only for the short sighted peaple. Dir somalilanders have big influence every where in the horn. Local isaaqs and gadabuursi are like a goats who can't see beyond their fence. We all have the same goals with different strategy. Adigu balka laguu dhigo baad daaqda anana waanu doolaalo tagna. :lol:
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Re: SL chances for recognition increased under this Govt

Post by Typhoon »

somalia borders is reconized by all UN states

somalia has border with Djibouti ethiopia and kenya, good luck trying to alter international law without uncle sams full military and diplomatic backing

the reason british somaliland joined italian somalia was because somaliland was never a viable state(said the british)
and the ethiopians had expansionistic ambitions towards berbera, hence why darood clans in british somaliland did fear ethiopia but the isaaq run to somalia out of fear that their territories might be included in recent acquired ogaden by the ethiopians


we rather have land swap with ethiopia then give isaaq unjustifiable land of other somali clans

abiye knows that and ethiopians know that, its a matter of time before ethiopian negotate to permenent settlement on the somali ethiopian land dispute (land for sea access)
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