Eaglehawk inteligence update

[Typhoon]

ONLF heavy weapons has never reached ethiopia, it was transferred to kismayo from eritrea


there are big security talks going around, madoowe over played his hands

CIA and pentagon wants him out, few months back a plane caring weapons landed in garrissa and the kenyans broke the somali arms embargo by transporting those weapons to madoobe.

ethiopians are furious hence their intelligence service visit to kismaayo due to ex liyu police members there

there is now a hunt for jubaland top officials ( all former al itihad, hizbul islam and al shabab, hence janan arrest)


John bolton is sick and tired of european appeasement of somali islamist and gave full support to somali government.

ahmed madoobe played his hand, now we wait for the government to reveal there hands because they were planning for this scenario for months.


check to track unmarked flights from djoubuti and you will see heavy traffic towards mogadishu in the next few weeks.

the man of the hour is Stephen J. Townsend and Gen. Miguel Castellanos whats their plan am not sure but yamamoto wants madoobe out because he is undermining the grand chessboard of yamamoto for horn of africa that took him 20 years to build.

as for beesha sade, be quite and lay low and watch the storm dont give the ogadeen excuse, that we undermined them they fell own their own sword when they trusted the ethiopians and kenyans.


let ogadeen rule jubaland because there will never be a marexaan in villa somalia and villa kismaayo at the same time.

madoowe is a train rack on full speed, he crossed the the moment of no return.


there was alwayes a reason why the offensive against al shabab was delayed

[Typhoon]

Stephen J. Townsend might view madoobe as his new kurds and might protect him if he thinks he is usefull
but he has not formulated his strategy but there is a blueprint in lets what the bureaucracy at the office of special plans say

people of jubaland better get their act together and have something on the table before something is imposed on them, that is cooked up by ethiopian intelligence(meaning civil war in jubaland)

Farmaajo is very pragmatic, his goal is ressurection of the somali state he is very cuning and he has covert major forces backing him, notice how scarred kenya is of his maneuvers

Houston next...ding dong

[Typhoon]

this is ogadeen civil war that they want to turn into og vs marexaan...bulshit

everybody new there was never going to be a marexaan jubaland president while farmaajo is in power

og have there hands in many pots that dont mix, kenya vs ethiopia, onlf vs liye police, al shabab vs federal goverment, uae vs qatar etc etc

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

Eaglehawk,

Thank you Ina adeer. I've been telling these naive idiots on here this for past few weeks. The presence of Cabdi Iley loyalists and ex Hizbul Islam/ONLF in Kismaayo and the drop off of hub by the Kenyans is the reason why there's isbaro cirka on Kismaayo. I would advise u not to reveal national security.

Also another tidbit is the fact Fahad Yassin saved his Al Itihaad brethren Janan the last time he came to CID NISA and that he broke the agreement with him. The Luuq connection came in handy. Not anymore, the Ethiopians are really pissed and thus the end of 60s defense pact which is in our strategic interest.

[dalalos101]

willkommen back Herr Eaglehawk

I hear the same strategy will be used against Madoobe as was used against Roobow, this is just a rumour but apparently Roobow was set up to fail as to test the strategy and see how the IC and somali people would react, Kenya is continuously making bad judgement by backing Madoobe they have proven how incompetent they are militarily, politically etc they are all over the place, one diplomatic row after another for the whole world to witness.

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

Here Eaglehawk,

Is true the Americans stop the Kenyans and Ethiopians from fighting in Kismaayo for control of vital spots like the airport and port?? I want to confirm that. I'm confident it is true. But the big question I want to you to answer is this: did the Americans in Kismaayo airport stop the Israeli trained Ethiopian commandos from landing in the city? That's what my sources is saying.

[Murax]

Welcome back Eaglehawk. I really don’t think there will be any new developments until after the maritime ruling. If the court rules against Kenya then Kenya really will have zero left to gain in Somalia. No official oil company will deal with Kenya with regard to those waters so what purpose will their presence serve? Besides they don’t even have a Navy that could secure those waters.


Bottom line is what Kenya was really hoping for this whole time is to use Madoobe, Kismaayo as collateral to Mogadishu for an out of court settlement. They would dump Madoobe salvage a little piece of the ocean and call it a day. Alhamdulilah Farmaajo and Kheyre are not Shariif and Cabdirashid!

[original dervish]

I don't believe any of this socalled intelligence.
However, I'll forward it to Kismayo just to be safe.

[dalalos101]

I don't believe any of this socalled intelligence.
However, I'll forward it to Kismayo just to be safe.

when the time comes and Kablalax is forced to bend the knee and negotiate defeat be prepared to offer up your kablalax wives and daughters as concubines in Herr Eaglehawks personal harem, they will spawn a new and robust generations of warriors, furthermore there will not be any genocide rest assured, but we will demand every young boy to join a Marehan household to be raised as Marehan and form a Janissary army for future conquest, every male of fighting age will be imprisoned and put in labour camps to work 12 hours a day for the betterment of Jubaland infrastructure and the realm of Sadeland.

[Typhoon]

ahmed madoobe has been president over 7 years and he wants more time with illegitimate election and he lost all his political capital.

the truth is the government and mucaraadka have madoobe were they wanted him, to paint him as spoiler and hinderence to peace
the final stroke will be the galmudug shir, if its succes then same methid will be applied to jubaland, then ahmed madoowe days are numbered he knows it, hence why jubaland politicians are watching closoley whats happening in galmudug

my prediction is ahmed madoobe will resign and appoint seraar (his raskambooni boy)
if he doesnt resign, dahir aways and roobow are the precedent, which must be applied otherwise it will look bad and seem tribal favoritism

majority of the opposition is from auliyahan and ogaden yar yar, believe me.
ahmed madoowe took care of marexaan gedo and neglected jubaland auliyahan

ahmed madoobe is running a cartel like islamist administration.

the longer ahmed madoobe stays the more anti ogadeen sentiment he sows among the somali
ahmed madoowe is now on the same level as abdirahman abdishakur, believe me, somalis are now processing his past and they are seeing beyond the sheik islam.

the whole idea of rehablitating former islamist was british idea but now bolton is saying no
the americans know madoobe has used his political capital hence why he wil not be kurdish YBG when the war against al shabab starts.

my pridiction is madoobe wants be senator next election or may be federal president if odawaa becoms president of galmudug


anywayz, madoobe failed he is now maxamed zubeer clan leader

[ImamAhmed]

How weak are you. You have the presidency of somalia and you cant lift a finger. The kabalalax and hiraab sqaud shoild have known not to let people who have nothing to lose be president. John bolton doesnt care about you. You think the USA doesnt have extensive docs on each clan and there awood. You think he domt know your strategically unfortunate aswell as laangaab with enemies. The power players have spoke to the big nations behind the scenes. Wax baa la xeeriniya right now you got 1 year left. Madoobe will stick around for a long time and will exact revenge on you. Im sorry mariixman madoobe will rape you and your clan soon.

[original dervish]

Real talk.....this guy is keeping it real.

These dudes have been spamming snet with how America is gonna do this for them and Ethiopia is gonna do that for them....I really feel embarassed for them.

Its become clear they're a million years away from getting their dirty mitts on Kismayo.

Why do they keep mentioning Farmaajo......the guy is more or less special ed president.

[ImamAhmed]

If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.They're literally so dumb if farmajo was an intelligent man he wouldnt have gone against any fed states. Art of war quote. He should have never challenged the fed states.

The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting. Art of war quote. He should have ignored somaliland not try stop aid he had no power to stop or port deals he had no power to stop. Just smiled and said wada hadalada walalaheen waqooyi stuff. If somaliland will recieve recognition its because of him.

Treat your men as you would your own beloved sons. And they will follow you into the deepest valley. Art of war quote. If he wanted madoobe to work with him he should not have attacked his kursi and tried to put someone else there but treated him as his own.

Farmajo is one man and somalia is a failed fragmented state he cannot create a dictatorship. He doesnt have the awood. He should have simply spent his time on state building. Building maxkamada sare as an independent institution. Liberating ceelbuur and bringing 1 man 1 vote to galmudug whilst asking the same in puntland if they refuse dont take any action against them as the admin there will be seen as a spoiler and overthrown by there own people instead of it getting support from its people to defend against an invasion. Those 3 things would have been realistic in his 4 years and might have even got another term whilst making it easy for the next marexaan that wants a top political post. Also genuinely trying to fix the security in mogadishu which he probably couldnt do in 1 term but he could help towards. If multiple fed states are democratic it will mean jubaland will eventually have to be aswell and adopt the same standards of voter authentication as other states which means youll get your xaq in jubaland no more and no less.

[Murax]

ImamAhmed,

At least you’re seeing the big picture. Farmaajo is not on a Marexaan clan agenda per se but is a centralist at heart. That much I can agree.

[TheGrumpyGeeljire]

If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.They're literally so dumb if farmajo was an intelligent man he wouldnt have gone against any fed states. Art of war quote. He should have never challenged the fed states.

The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting. Art of war quote. He should have ignored somaliland not try stop aid he had no power to stop or port deals he had no power to stop. Just smiled and said wada hadalada walalaheen waqooyi stuff. If somaliland will recieve recognition its because of him.

Treat your men as you would your own beloved sons. And they will follow you into the deepest valley. Art of war quote. If he wanted madoobe to work with him he should not have attacked his kursi and tried to put someone else there but treated him as his own.

Farmajo is one man and somalia is a failed fragmented state he cannot create a dictatorship. He doesnt have the awood. He should have simply spent his time on state building. Building maxkamada sare as an independent institution. Liberating ceelbuur and bringing 1 man 1 vote to galmudug whilst asking the same in puntland if they refuse dont take any action against them as the admin there will be seen as a spoiler and overthrown by there own people instead of it getting support from its people to defend against an invasion. Those 3 things would have been realistic in his 4 years and might have even got another term whilst making it easy for the next marexaan that wants a top political post. Also genuinely trying to fix the security in mogadishu which he probably couldnt do in 1 term but he could help towards. If multiple fed states are democratic it will mean jubaland will eventually have to be aswell and adopt the same standards of voter authentication as other states which means youll get your xaq in jubaland no more and no less.

Good solid points you made there. Farmaajo overplayed his hand. If he was any wiser, he would not challenge well-established administrations such as Puntland. Madoobe is a skilled politician and Farmaajo was wrong to try and oust him.

With regards to Somaliland, we unfortunately never took enough advantage of his many blunders. At least Muse Bixi managed to import heavy weaponry from Djibouti, but he doesn't know how to deal with clans, case in point, Caare. His administration could've took the tried and trusted method of paying off clan-elders.