lower shabelle and hiraan mogadishu corridor will be al shababs last stand, al shabab has struck a deal with HG/habar aji and various other clans
expect the usual madoobe theatre show of fighting al shabab, how long before he wears military fatigue and start going 5km outside kismaayo for photo-op
there should be naval patrols in lower shabelle, and jubaland
trucks coming from Mogadishu should be monitored
mogadishu port should be monitored along side togwajaale.
Ethiopia should close their border with kenya or heavily monitor it.
al shabab has created vast IED stock
AFRICOM needs to keep a eye on Diinsoor, jilib and sablale
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