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Qatar MPs

Galmudug 37
Beledweyne 25
Gedo 16
HAG led Baraawe 26
Banaadir 5

Total=109

UAE MPS

Puntland 37
Kimaayo 27
Jowhar 13

Total=77

Wild-Card for Highest Bidder

Somaliland 46
Baidoba 43

Total=89


Since Qoor qoor, Waare and Laftagareen and Macalimu will all stay in POWER its a no brainer that Turkey-Qatar will win a Landslide, it looks like Turkey, Qatar and Fahad Yaasiin and HSM are preparing the Crown For Guuled to be the President of 2021 as he is the only Candidate that has Good Relations with BOTH N&N Farmaajo/Fahad Yaasin and the Oppositions.

The Signs are on the Wall.

I literally do not see a "why" in "here is why?"

I think you presume to have answered the question in this paragraph:

it looks like Turkey, Qatar and Fahad Yaasiin and HSM are preparing the Crown For Guuled to be the President of 2021 as he is the only Candidate that has Good Relations with BOTH N&N Farmaajo/Fahad Yaasin and the Oppositions.

But when you state "It looks like" ----I can't see it.

And when you say "as he is the only"----I can't see that either.

And when you say "good relations with both N&N.. "----Nor can I see this time either.

Here is why is supposed to lead to an explanation. You haven't explained, you made a statement.

It is basically like this

"Apples and Oranges are preparing for Grapefruit to take the fruit stand as Grapefruit as Grapefruit is the only one to have good relations with both Apples and Oranges. "

1. Grapefruit might have good relations with Oranges (as they are both Citrus) but there is 0% evidence presented to say Grapefruit has good relations with Apples.

2. AND there is 0% evidence to suggest any relationship/agreement betwern Oranges and Apples even if Grapefruit had good relations with the both of them.

3. Which comes back full circle to say 0% evidence has been presented about the next Fruit Stand.

Whoever among these bozos ends up in Villa Somalia, one thing is for certain in the sordid HAG/Faqash relay race that is Somalia presidential selection: as lame duck Farmaajo's term nears its end with nothing to show for, the task of squandering yet another four years of the nation's 'masiir' will now, in likelihood, be handed over to a HAG candidate of the IC and/or other regional powers choosing.

barbarossa wrote: Sun Oct 04, 2020 5:47 am Whoever among these bozos ends up in Villa Somalia, one thing is for certain in the sordid HAG/Faqash relay race that is Somalia presidential selection: as lame duck Farmaajo's term nears its end with nothing to show for, the task of squandering yet another four years of the nation's 'masiir' will now, in likelihood, be handed over to a HAG candidate of the IC and/or other regional powers choosing.

Interesting analysis.

kees,

just a few corrections

1) the gedo numbers i think will increase from 16 perhaps even reach as much as 26
2) the somaliland vote, the chairman is a n&n man through and through even hassan sheikh complained about that so the 46 seats are pretty much under n&n

i have also heard recently waare asked the SFG to send more troops to guard jowhar from al shabaab. so i would put jowhar in the camp of n&n. but in politics you never know and it seems this election will be based on money. hassan sheikh got a favorable list of MPS in 2016 and lost to farmaajo so you never know in politics.

but what i can say is abgaal, MJ and ogadeen won't vote for farmaajo under any circumstance.

HG might vote if the running mate of farmaajo is rooble.

Nomand wrote: Sun Oct 04, 2020 10:15 am kees,

just a few corrections

1) the gedo numbers i think will increase from 16 perhaps even reach as much as 26
2) the somaliland vote, the chairman is a n&n man through and through even hassan sheikh complained about that so the 46 seats are pretty much under n&n

i have also heard recently waare asked the SFG to send more troops to guard jowhar from al shabaab. so i would put jowhar in the camp of n&n. but in politics you never know and it seems this election will be based on money. hassan sheikh got a favorable list of MPS in 2016 and lost to farmaajo so you never know in politics.

but what i can say is abgaal, MJ and ogadeen won't vote for farmaajo under any circumstance.

HG might vote if the running mate of farmaajo is rooble.

HG Galmudug and Xawadle Hirhabelle will 100% vote for the same block as N&N is, but i highly doubt Farmaajo will be elected, but one thing remains for sure that the next most likely Candidate for 2021 Presisdent is a new face that will be elected by the aforementioned group who will be pro-Centralism Somalia, pro Turkey and Qatar and is Anti Kenya/Ethiopia meddling and most definitely Anti seperatism and autonomy from the Federal states.

Nomand wrote: Sun Oct 04, 2020 10:15 am kees,

just a few corrections

1) the gedo numbers i think will increase from 16 perhaps even reach as much as 26
2) the somaliland vote, the chairman is a n&n man through and through even hassan sheikh complained about that so the 46 seats are pretty much under n&n

i have also heard recently waare asked the SFG to send more troops to guard jowhar from al shabaab. so i would put jowhar in the camp of n&n. but in politics you never know and it seems this election will be based on money. hassan sheikh got a favorable list of MPS in 2016 and lost to farmaajo so you never know in politics.

but what i can say is abgaal, MJ and ogadeen won't vote for farmaajo under any circumstance.

HG might vote if the running mate of farmaajo is rooble.

Macbuudkow for once I agree with the right wing darood spokesman which means there is hope still for Angela Merkel and Victor Orban to come to an agreement.

It will be interesting to see if hg can outmaneuver una ka leh as the head of villa Somalia

qabiil qabiil u cudeeynaayo ma jirto scb hiiraan has its own murashax and he is Abdi Nur Sheikh. we r determined to vote for him wins or not but we r gonna use our Hirshabelle influence this time and he is the first. all the meetings in Xamar are about the federal elections and how we can influence not only Hirshabelle. we r in era where the influence comes from the FMS. i have 25 seats man just in Baladweyne even Fahad Yasin is under my mercy.

Nomand wrote: Sun Oct 04, 2020 10:15 am
i have also heard recently waare asked the SFG to send more troops to guard jowhar from al shabaab. so i would put jowhar in the camp of n&n.

funny how you talking about Waare when you are threatened by Madoobe to remove Gedo polling station to Ceelwaaq. Get ready for the removal of Xamar SNA from gedo "before you can you use them in Hirshabelle"

"Dawlada JL waxay awood u leedahay inay Garbaharey ka badasho goobta Doorashada"