Djbouti ,Uganda and Kenya to intervene as Ethiopiais drifting away from Somalia bc of the tigray crisis

[sahal80]

Somalia waxaa ka taliya dalalka saameynta ku leh sida ciidamada iyo dadlka deeqda bixiya soo dhawaan saameyntii itoobiya ayaa daaqada ka bixi doonta. waxaan kale been waaye wadankaan dawlad kama jirto.

like Tigray, there will be soon Mogadishu crisis wich will lead to the intervention of Djubouti and Uganda who have troops in Xamar and Hirshabelle in favour of the clan of the capital!

Ethiopia's Tigray conflict is getting out of control in Horn of Africa and becoming regional as rockets hit Eritreas capital. this is why Djibouti is working on the removal of abiy and isaias stooge in Mogadishu.

Ethiopia had illegal troops in Somalia and 5000 troops operating under the mandate of amisom. so the illegal ones from sector 3(Bay/bakool/gedo) are now heading back to Ethiopia leaving behind 5000 Amisom in Baay,Bakool,Gedo and Hiiraan wich r are not enough for 4 provinces speacially bay abd bakool and gedo so what will happpen is they will avoid being outstretched and retreat back into the main towns of these tgree provinces evacuating many towns and villages to avoid Al shabaab isolating them.
beesha caalamka ayaa walaac ka qabta ayadoo ciidamada itoobiyo ka baxayaan koonfurta Somalia in hadii qalalaaso Xamar ka dhoco ay gabi ahaanba al shabaab la wareegi doonto koonfurta si taas u dhicin ayaa dawladaha Djibouti iyo Uganda iska kaashanayaan in nabada dhulka ay gacanta ku hayaan wax soo gaarin waxaana taageeri doona deeq bixiyaasha naflacaari Farmaajo meel uu qarbudi karo maaha Xamar amuu baxaa ka hor intaan xiligiisa lagaarin?

Ethiopia is solely responsible for bay bakool and Gedo so they r likely to evacuate baadheere and near bay qansaxdheere of bakool so its likely JL forces backed by Kenya to take over Baardheere and dolow and balad xaawo. i can see they failure of Farmaajo in his own Gedo let alone in Xamar!

[sahal80]

"Doorasho" ma dhaceyso xamar waxaa la diyaarinooyaa Hawiye Free SNA oo ka bilaabmi doona kaaraan iyo madiina iyo Hodan iyo balcad iyo Hiiraan iyo policeka banaadir oo la safanaya shacabka

"Doorashada" Farmaajo sheegayo hada ayaa waxaa socda qoritaanka "xildhibaanada" aniga waxaan arkey yar canug oo oo lagu badalayo xildhibaamkeena weyn qoono. hadaba liis NISA qorayso miyaa xildhibaano ah? saan horwy u sheegay waxay gateen qoorqoor ooba sheegay "inuu lacag horey usii qaadanayo inta aan dawlad kale ka tuurin"

qoorqoor guudlaawe laftagareen ayaa loo dhiibayaa listgaas waxaa kaaga daran aqalka sare oo xildhibaanada baarlamaan goboleedka dooranayaan oo already la qoray waxaa loo dhiiba speakeryada sida kan hirshahelle waxaas maa doorasho ah? hada leedahey kaalaya marka ka fuliya "niman dooran doorta"

horaan u sheegay fahad kursigiisa waa diyaarsadey waa gabadha sadex cumarow(jareer) ee senatorka uu rabaa inuu ka qaato magaca beesha shanaad yarkaana wuxuu soo qoray inuu hirshabelle u wareejinayo

[original dervish]

As usual somalinets preeminent political commentator has produced a timely analysis of the current crisis gripping the HOA.

It will be interesting to see what happens in Gedo region...Will it swing towards AS, SG or J/L?

My money is on J/L because it looks like Farmaajo is on his way out and will no longer be able to lavish Govt largesse on his interlopers.
Jannan and Fartaag will come to the fore as the only legitimate authority in the region that can hold AS at bay.

So all round.....the Ethiopians leaving is a massive win for Madobe and J/L.
PS it wasn't long ago that pro Farmaajo were celebrating the imminent arrival of the filthy Xabaasha to install them in Kismayo presidential Palace.........oh look how things have changed.

[sahal80]

As usual somalinets preeminent political commentator has produced a timely analysis of the current crisis gripping the HOA.

It will be interesting to see what happens in Gedo region...Will it swing towards AS, SG or J/L?

My money is on J/L because it looks like Farmaajo is on his way out and will no longer be able to lavish Govt largesse on his interlopers.
Jannan and Fartaag will come to the fore as the only legitimate authority in the region that can hold AS at bay.

So all round.....the Ethiopians leaving is a massive win for Madobe and J/L.
PS it wasn't long ago that pro Farmaajo were celebrating the imminent arrival of the filthy Xabaasha to install them in Kismayo presidential Palace.........oh look how things have changed.

Thanks boss. agree on JL. Baardheere and Buurdhuubo that last ones who got liberated from Al shabaab will bet at danger but i expect JL troops in ceelwaaq to move to baardheere. Doolow and Baladxaawo will be easily under JL. look the date 2015. while Hassan Sh was fighting Shabaab farmaajo was destabilizing the FMS today middle jubba would have been free if there waa no Farmaajo.

[grandpakhalif]

Utter nonsense, JL forces who cant even liberate Buale and Jilib can somehow magically defend Gedo from AS? What is this xawaadle langab smoking? Ciidanka daciifka ee Banyooleey fadhiya cant even get past Maandhere forget about Beled xaawo! Ethiopians leaving Halgan base in Hiiraan has more tragic consequences for you though as the langaab Xawaadle is surrounded by a sea of pro AS clans like Jajeele, Gaajecel and gugundhaabe. I wouldnt be surprised if Hiiraan further falls into their hands, since the Ethios will no longer protect your ass!

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

As usual somalinets preeminent political commentator has produced a timely analysis of the current crisis gripping the HOA.

It will be interesting to see what happens in Gedo region...Will it swing towards AS, SG or J/L?

My money is on J/L because it looks like Farmaajo is on his way out and will no longer be able to lavish Govt largesse on his interlopers.
Jannan and Fartaag will come to the fore as the only legitimate authority in the region that can hold AS at bay.

So all round.....the Ethiopians leaving is a massive win for Madobe and J/L.
PS it wasn't long ago that pro Farmaajo were celebrating the imminent arrival of the filthy Xabaasha to install them in Kismayo presidential Palace.........oh look how things have changed.

Thanks boss. agree on JL. Baardheere and Buurdhuubo that last ones who got liberated from Al shabaab will bet at danger but i expect JL troops in ceelwaaq to move to baardheere. Doolow and Baladxaawo will be easily under JL. look the date 2015. while Hassan Sh was fighting Shabaab farmaajo was destabilizing the FMS today middle jubba would have been free if there waa no Farmaajo.

Buurdhubo is under control sxb. Worry about Al Shabaab that is engulfed in Hiiraan. You're giving conjugal visits remember?

[GuleedWarsame]

JL forces don't control Janay Abdallah that's not even 60 km north of Kismayo but somehow they will take on Gedo forces? Such delusional nonsense

[Turbulence]

Sahal must suffer from some sort of a mental illness. An individual can't be this delusional while in a normal state of mind.

[Murax]

Can Marexaans here not see he is mad at Marexaans here laughing at his so called ‘ gentlemen agreement’ which turned into laangaab know your place agreement

HirShabeele fashil, AS everywhere in Hiiraan, Fatahaads everyday in Beledweyne yet he worries about Gedo. Guudlaawe needs to slap the likes of Sahal for shaqo la’aan Lol

[sahal80]

more Gedo on the way keep crying though. do you see me bothering about your Hirshabelle obsession? murax waa ooynooyaa

this is for my allies no need your presence here


Pro Farmaajo kid cabaadin about Dir leader in Somalia visiting his homeland djibouti. All irir samaale have been heading to Djibouti Mooge wont get dir support the dir mps are controlled by maareeye and him Abdi Hashi are now allied. Djibouti is making sure Dir votes to go for their hawiye cousins. Djibouti Accord on the way in the upraising if no elections by december. enjoy your one month!