- Disclosure re:Somaliland: This is not about Somaliland independence or whether it was right/wrong to invite them from Somaliland's point of view.
Why in the world would Uhuru's Kenya invite Somaliland at all or invite them NOW?
It makes no sense at all.
- From the surface:
- Kenya is heavily invested in "Somalia."
- They are in Jubbaland State militarily.
- They have an administration in Jubbaland under their control.
- The control is predicated on AMISOM mission membership legitimizing their presence.
- The membership depends on Kenya not being seen as outwardly hostile or ill-intentioned towards Somalia
- This investment depends on Somalia domestic disagreement on the relationship with Kenya
- So even though President Farmaajo gov/versious communities in Somalia see Kenya as bad partner, the opposition Madasha/various communities take an opposing view for whatever reason.
- The Somaliland secession issue is universally opposed by Somalia's political consensus
- This means Uhuru Somaliland Stunt ends all domestic
debate about Kenya and gives 100% legitimacy to those who view Kenya as a "bad partner."
- Kenya is heavily invested in "Somalia."
- Why invite them NOW mere weeks away from election in Somalia?
- As I said, there is disagreement on Kenya between Farmaajo and Madasha Opposition.
- If Farmaajo loses, Kenya can have a "reset" with a new government.
- The Somaliland stunt now is a Christmas gift to Farmajo campaign
- The Parliament has now even come in to take up the entire Kenya conversation and give a national verdict
- The entire Kenya investment's legitimacy now rests on the position the Somalia Parliament takes.
- Not to mention the Madasha Opposition is now utterly humiliated and even silent on Farmajo cutting relations with Kenya.
Either;
1. Uhuru in Kenya is secretly helping Farmaajo
OR;
2. Kenya under Uhuru has become a parody of the African banana republic buffooneery Kenya always feared.