KDF last ditch effort proxy war finished; end begins; Why attacked now + Yamamoto & Wendy Sherman

[Voltage]

The things I have taught this forum all for free when the Africa market-rate for my services is potentially lucrative....

A. Remember what I said when Yamamoto was named Ambassador to Somalia couple years ago?

• 
  • https://www.somalinet.com/forums/viewto ... 6#p4893103

B. What happened this month?

• 1/16/2021 ---- Incoming Democrat Biden announces Wendy Sherman as his #2 Top official at State Department.
  • Notice how close to my prediction in Yamamoto appt; Biden ultimately picked Blinken his long time chief aid, but Wendy'a #2 position is like "CEO" of State Dept while the Secretary of State is President/Chairman
• 1/20/2021 ---- Biden Inauguration
  • Effectively the new Gov starts office and State Department now run by Wendy Sherman, this means whatever policy is sent out going forward it reflects the position of the Biden gov
• 1/23/2021 ---- US2Somalia embassy speaks and Amb Yamamoto shows no change in Policy/Tone/Position/Strategy whatsoever under new State Department
  • It shows Yamamoto was never acting "independently," his position is well supported position @ State and it shows no change is forthcoming

C. 1/25/2021 ---- Surprise all out attack on Beled-Xawa after 10 months of silence and unlike the first time this time they fought until capture/no running back


I am not going to conclude this topic, and express any further clarity or understanding as part of our own strategy is affected by this----but as you can see above, virtually everything one needs to reach a sufficient understanding of the context has been generously provided to you. May you dispell yourself of all confusion.

[grandpakhalif]

Whats the next step for Kenya? Has she played her trump card?

[LeJusticier]

voltage, sxb ii waran? I guess you and your crew would probably hibernate in few days. All your Somalinimo and bla bla depend on president mohamed Abdullahi in office. Waxaan xusuustaa markuu ahaa Prime Minster the site was full of Marehan, markiise la eryayay sadex sano somalinet was zero marehan......history repeats itself miyaa?

[BigBreak]

voltage, sxb ii waran? I guess you and your crew would probably hibernate in few days. All your Somalinimo and bla bla depend on president mohamed Abdullahi in office. Waxaan xusuustaa markuu ahaa Prime Minster the site was full of Marehan, markiise la eryayay sadex sano somalinet was zero marehan......history repeats itself miyaa?

Spot on LJ. Let's hope Snet becomes a boon free site again

[juelz]

These marexaan kids would do anything even sell their sisters just so farmaajo stays in power. In reality Farmaajo has not done much for his sub clan in his 4 yrs. The most was maybe deploy some troops to Gedo but that place is in bad condition with local cjj ok and at each other’s throats.

[Gubbet]

I am not going to conclude this topic, and express any further clarity or understanding as part of our own strategy is affected by this----but as you can see above, virtually everything one needs to reach a sufficient understanding of the context has been generously provided to you. May you dispell yourself of all confusion.

The 1st Phase of the "War" is finished.

It ended when Kenya officially withdrew from the ICJ case.

Soon the Phase 2 of the "War" will begin.

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

I am not going to conclude this topic, and express any further clarity or understanding as part of our own strategy is affected by this----but as you can see above, virtually everything one needs to reach a sufficient understanding of the context has been generously provided to you. May you dispell yourself of all confusion.

The 1st Phase of the "War" is finished.

It ended when Kenya officially withdrew from the ICJ case.

Soon the Phase 2 of the "War" will begin.

Talk is cheap Jaale had to drop this here:

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

Trolling aside. He isn’t lying. I vouch for it. Phase 2 will happen. The race for supremacy in the Jubba Valley is over.

[BigBreak]

Madobe is a lion, he's got the scars to prove it

[Gubbet]

Saddam, Phase 2 is a different war.

Marehan will become target of COOPTING. He wlll be spoiled, lavished, and crowned.

This is already even possibly at work, but will certainly start the day the Court officially rules in fsvor of Somalia and international law on Kenya-Somali maritimr delimitation is written in stone.

Britain and Kenya will reorient a 100 year mistake they weren't even aware existed but understand very clearly now.

The aim of Marehan for themselves and for Somalia should be good relations with everyone, but whether 1) Marehan is coopted and becomes a darling foreign puppet or 2.) Marehan establishes a mutually positive relationship for the interest of all parties remains to be seen.

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

Saddam, Phase 2 is a different war.

Marehan will become target of COOPTING. He wlll be spoiled, lavished, and crowned.

This is already even possibly at work, but will certainly start the day the Court officially rules in fsvor of Somalia and international law on Kenya-Somali maritimr delimitation is written in stone.

Britain and Kenya will reorient a 100 year mistake they weren't even aware existed but understand very clearly now.

The aim of Marehan for themselves and for Somalia should be good relations with everyone, but whether 1) Marehan is coopted and becomes a darling foreign puppet or 2.) Marehan establishes a mutually positive relationship for the interest of all parties remains to be seen.

We push the British out and bring in the Americans. No time for laangaabs in geopolitical terms Jaale

[Gubbet]

It is not that simple and US and British do not have mutually exclusive competition at that level in Somalia. They aren't China and US.

Also, their interests are defined by lateral issues thus far, they aren't perpendicular.

The US interest isn't yet "economic." It is still largely defined by security. Recently, the US interest has naturally evolved with the development of a very politically engaged Somali-American community. So the more this develops, the more US relationship to Somalia becomes more intimate sort of like the US relationship with Philippines where Filipino-Americans have carved a huge personal dynamic to it.

So far, the Scandinavian countries have exhibited the fastest development of this trajectory.

The Brits will no doubt be doing as well (in a declining scale they have exhibited some aspect of this with Somaliland since 2000), but the British interests RIGHT NOW are predicated around the large business investments they have in the region, most notably in Kenya. So unlike the US, they already have serious business investments that will situate the effect of their influence. This influence is no longer overtly predatory or singularly powerful, but whatever is good for Kenya in Somalia, the British will absolutely try to facilitate as much of it as possible.

Phase 2 will reflect this very strongly because Phase 1 was driven by Kenyan adventurism sometimes at the expense of British caution. This time a humbled Kenya will listen and even seek advice and since Phase 2 is not material and physical aggression but diplomacy and soft power, the Brits will be very involved.

Marehan will come under coopting. The why makes this inevitable, but the How remains to be and how Marehan responds to this.

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

It is not that simple and US and British do not have mutually exclusive competition at that level in Somalia. They aren't China and US.

Also, their interests are defined by lateral issues thus far, they aren't perpendicular.

The US interest isn't yet "economic." It is still largely defined by security. Recently, the US interest has naturally evolved with the development of a very politically engaged Somali-American community. So the more this develops, the more US relationship to Somalia becomes more intimate sort of like the US relationship with Philippines where Filipino-Americans have carved a huge personal dynamic to it.

So far, the Scandinavian countries have exhibited the fastest development of this trajectory.

The Brits will no doubt be doing as well (in a declining scale they have exhibited some aspect of this with Somaliland since 2000), but the British interests RIGHT NOW are predicated around the large business investments they have in the region, most notably in Kenya. So unlike the US, they already have serious business investments that will situate the effect of their influence. This influence is no longer overtly predatory or singularly powerful, but whatever is good for Kenya in Somalia, the British will absolutely try to facilitate as much of it as possible.

Phase 2 will reflect this very strongly because Phase 1 was driven by Kenyan adventurism sometimes at the expense of British caution. This time a humbled Kenya will listen and even seek advice and since Phase 2 is not material and physical aggression but diplomacy and soft power, the Brits will be very involved.

Marehan will come under coopting. The why makes this inevitable, but the How remains to be and how Marehan responds to this.

This is why you’re more feared than me. Nice breakdown. I just have a phobia of them. They always been predatory in regards to us. Don’t take my dislike out of simple qabayalad. But looking at the historical record between us and the British empire. Nothing more, nothing less.

[Gubbet]

Oddly I am the type of person "they" would most like us all to become; a culturally liberal, progressive; free enterprise/free market, anti-nationalism/anti-reactionary, state secularist who wants to empower freedom of religion but govern according to system of laws under the principles of Constitutionalism.

Obviously my value system is sort of an odd amalgamation in the Somali political context so the first anyone should deduce from them is----I am not surface, malleable, or impressionable.

That means I believe and judge according to integrity.

Obviously integrity is mutually exclusive to being bought, paid, or led.

The spoilers hate that. Maybe they should the problem is lack of integrity on their side.

[Phinks]

My problem with all this is Kismayo, how are we going to solve this issue? Aka Darood's flashpoint?