Farmaajo and Fahad have signalled the start of the next move which I said ends in Garowe.

[Gubbet]

I got bored with the whole "Shir" shenanigans because I know it is maalayacni.

The truth is all this shir "who farted in it, who scratched their butt, who walked slower there" is POINTLESS.

The truth is, it is perfunctory because there is only one ending.

THIS. IS. NOT. SOMALIA. OF. EMBAGATHI.

This is a dysfunctional, badly organized, under equipped and staffed but EXISTING, FUNCTIONING, CONTIGUOUS GOVERNMENT----unlike Embagaghi with a dead government or in Kampala in a coma.

I said recently;

https://www.somalinet.com/forums/viewto ... 0&t=402671


I am telling you Farmaajo is prepared to give the order.

And it is not just Kismaayo.

Do not be surprised if Garowe sees Deni under house arrest with Somali Federal Troop loyalists in conjunction with Gorgor and Haramcad seize Garowe security quietly and bloodlessly (0 blood).

These men are exactly what Ahlu Sunnah assumed about itself in negotiations.

Until, Sh Shakir was under arrest in his one morning, his entire paramilitary disarmed, and quickly whisked out to free the city of Dhusamareb from his political control.

Kismaayo will see some blood it is predicted, but it will fall first.

Garowe cannot proceed Kismaayo, but it will be bloodless.

This is not what I think; this is what even Deni and Madoobe know is possible but just like Ahlu Sunnah knew was possible---and didn't imagine he would dare, they are under that same self-assurance.

September Agreement is more in thr interest of Deni and Madoobe than it is Farmaajo.

Farmaajo wants to BE FREED right now and the only shackles on him is the September Agreement.

Just like the little February 8th deadline; they thought it was about Farmaajo---no, it was about you.

You freed him to wage definitive battle to show who really controls the field.

September Agreement will most likely fail at this point barring extenuating circumstances.

When it fails, don't not feign surprise at what happens.

It looks like it started with the 21 Laws of Power move with Saadaq John.

Saadaq John is loyal to NN---more than anyone else in the security section.

He is more loyal than the Commander Odowaa.

It means Farmaajo and Fahad are prepared to move.

I told Abkoow before, "never assume you know how Farmaajo is playing the game."

[Murax]

Voltage,

I wouldn’t be daacad if I blast Sahal for his silly arguments that don’t make sense, and leave you alone because we’re Tol. Don’t get me wrong as a proud N&N Guulwade I love the whole ‘This chess not checkers’ narrative, however I don’t know that this is one of those. You say Saadiq John is ‘100% N&N’ how is that even possible if he called for going back to Xalane, and was fired right after? Maybe he got promised something on the other side, UAE paid him, who knows but to say he is 100% N&N now, and this is all a stunt is a little crazy.

Don’t get me wrong, I think the Gov will assert their dominance ultimately, but on this particular situation you speak of that this was orchestrated by N&N I don’t see that.

[Nomand]

Voltage,

I wouldn’t be daacad if I blast Sahal for his silly arguments that don’t make sense, and leave you alone because we’re Tol. Don’t get me wrong as a proud N&N Guulwade I love the whole ‘This chess not checkers’ narrative, however I don’t know that this is one of those. You say Saadiq John is ‘100% N&N’ how is that even possible if he called for going back to Xalane, and was fired right after? Maybe he got promised something on the other side, UAE paid him, who knows but to say he is 100% N&N now, and this is all a stunt is a little crazy.

Don’t get me wrong, I think the Gov will assert their dominance ultimately, but on this particular situation you speak of that this was orchestrated by N&N I don’t see that.

he was bribed 100 percent by Kenya/ UAE. he knew he could not do anything and would be fired he knew that he has no power to even get 1 officer to mutiny with him. he was told to create the semblance of chaos.

N&N did probably play on the extension rumor in order the weed out the informers. But what saaqdiq john done was not to the benefit of government.

the real question will be, will N&N go after saadiq john and arrest him to make an example out of him or not. i think what they do next will either cement their power or gradually lose power if there are nor consequences.

[SultanOrder]

A Sahal moment for our boy Voltage. Take ac break and go shower.

[Gubbet]

Voltage,

I wouldn’t be daacad if I blast Sahal for his silly arguments that don’t make sense, and leave you alone because we’re Tol. Don’t get me wrong as a proud N&N Guulwade I love the whole ‘This chess not checkers’ narrative, however I don’t know that this is one of those. You say Saadiq John is ‘100% N&N’ how is that even possible if he called for going back to Xalane, and was fired right after? Maybe he got promised something on the other side, UAE paid him, who knows but to say he is 100% N&N now, and this is all a stunt is a little crazy.

Don’t get me wrong, I think the Gov will assert their dominance ultimately, but on this particular situation you speak of that this was orchestrated by N&N I don’t see that.

So this is why I think you are wrong about your categorization.

1. So, you and PO "respond" to the news. That is actually the appropriate thing and actually even the rational thing---for anyone not part of the story or covering the story. I am in no part of storg or covering but I am not a "responder."
2. Others "take" the story and influence its dessimenation which is quite rational for someone projecting or projecting a narrative---they are invested emotionally in the "message." I am thinking Saddam and Kees. Abkoow is part of thks and part of group C.
3. Some others, like a person mentioned hy one of the posts, "react" to the news or as they claim are "pundits/analysts." Now the difference between responding and reacting to the news is whether you are interested in the outcome vs the process of news telling. The person who "reacts" to the news is too busy with the never ending process of "newstelling' to be interestrd in the outcome or what the news is saying. That's "last week" to them. That's why these types are never" wrong" and they really are not evem lying when they say that aren't because they " believe" it even though the reality is the opposite. Unlike the influencers, these people aren't invested in the message, they are interested in the reaction the news creates chiefly in themselves. "What message? Wasn't that MY message from [from just yesterday]".

I am not any of those.

I am a critic.

If you notice, I hardly "tell" the news or even respond frequently to it.

It is not the day to day thing for me to be concerned about what is "new today."

Rather I take that day and I set it aside watching for observable, successive, sometimes tricky and sometimes tricky patterns which I then take altogether to question AGAINST my own rationality for having noticed it.

Then I take an entire batch of these paterns and I tell a story.

This story is sometimes in the past, I am starting going back from the epilogue.

Sometimes it is going on right now and I am reading the book ffrom the middle and looking back even as I go forward.

Other times, the story hasn't come into existence and I am reading the trajectory it will take from the prologue.

Those stories in the 3rd category I will sometimes bring forth if there is an addition to the trajectory---sometimes like this story, IT IS STILL before it has comr into existence and mayhaps even be denied a reading as is possible in this case---for if what my story is saying is predictive, then Saadaq John in this case doing it as part of their plan will not be confirmed for sometime even for a long time.

That tells you I am invested in meaning even when may never be confirmed and does nothing to effect how how I react or respond to it.

[Gubbet]

And the gov has gotten a 2 year extension. What's the uproar? Not this, but Saadaq John.