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Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 9:51 am
by Gubbet
I am being passive aggressive and find myself angry with the recklessness displayed by a President I support.
The entire Parliament/Extension scene was unnecessary, counter productive, and completely irresponsible.
It is also insulting as it negligently took the Somali people's capacity for further instability for granted.
It betrays how insular and conforming the President's circle in Villa Somalia is to have allowed something like this to pass the President's office instead of quashing it.
Tldr;
1. I have asserted before Farmaajo is not serious about Extension.
2. It was a political strategy.
3. The Parliament facilitated the pivot.
4. The President would conquer the point at no return.
5. Sheer alarm would gjve the election talks new mandate to close over Deni/Madoobe spoil.
6. Galmudug/Hirshabelle now providing an equal compulsion as the Parliament to pivot back.
7. The President "will compromise" for the good of the Somali people and return back to the table.
8. Foreign Minister Abdirizak is now enroute to Washington D.C.
9. The President's compromise facilitated by the GM/SW will coincide with Abdirizaq at State Department
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 9:57 am
by STARKAST
Voltage, the damage has been done.
Better start worrying about JL instead of FGS.
Don’t be shortsighted like a amateur.
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:14 am
by Gubbet
Ok kiddo, but I will tell ya. I am already bored with this movie.
https://www.somalinet.com/forums/viewto ... 0&t=402819
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:23 am
by Gubbet
Now the interesting thought is if maybe even the Madasha clash was instigated to increase the sense of alarm and urgency that would increase the power behind the new mandate to conclude the September Agreement after the President's "compromise."
I don't care if this is a success 50X over, I will continue to frown at the recklessness of this decision a 100 years from now if I get to live that long.
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:38 am
by Murax
Gubbet,
The optics are not good for Farmaajo. This gives credence to the whole narrative that he was pressured due to ‘MM liberators’ Beesha 6aad, etc is given credence too. No matter how you slice it that will be the easy assumption.
Only positive is no more ‘Shuruud’ BS patience from Deni, Madoobe now. Seems Sept 17 will be signed right away, and this whole saga will be done.
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:41 am
by Nomand
STARKAST wrote: Tue Apr 27, 2021 9:57 am
Voltage, the damage has been done.
Better start worrying about JL instead of FGS.
Don’t be shortsighted like a amateur.
what do you think will happen in jubbaland?
Gedo is long gone janan switched sides and kenya is not going to capture it for madoobe. Kismaayo is where people will be looking at.
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:45 am
by Murax
Nomand wrote: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:41 am
STARKAST wrote: Tue Apr 27, 2021 9:57 am
Voltage, the damage has been done.
Better start worrying about JL instead of FGS.
Don’t be shortsighted like a amateur.
what do you think will happen in jubbaland?
Gedo is long gone janan switched sides and kenya is not going to capture it for madoobe. Kismaayo is where people will be looking at.
Kismaayo will remain in Kenya’s hands I think for the coming years. AMISOM which includes Kenya, will also use these events to have their free check mandates extended.
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:53 am
by Gubbet
Murax wrote: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:38 am
Gubbet,
The optics are not good for Farmaajo. This gives credence to the whole narrative that he was pressured due to ‘MM liberators’ Beesha 6aad, etc is given credence too. No matter how you slice it that will be the easy assumption.
Only positive is no more ‘Shuruud’ BS patience from Deni, Madoobe now. Seems Sept 17 will be signed right away, and this whole saga will be done.
I actually think he couldn't look better because he is still standing as the king over the hill Villa Somalia sits on after the most comparable event to our old DDay of 1991 and his "compromise" will be seen as extraordinarily sensitive to reconciliation.
It is odd that I think this, because NORMALLY I would agree with and even say your point would be the almost always in a stand down situation.
But if you created the whole thing as a strategy and utilized it for an end goal.. literally as a MEANS to an end, and you did in a scenerio where every Somali has finger to heart and has 0 mental or emotional strength to deal with a repetition of our past DDay---you will be like Sultan Sulayman making a deeply desired and wanted bow before fearful society imploring their King to think of then.
It is Machiavellian wallahi.
It almost scares me the deviousness that mind is capable of----------

Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:58 am
by Nomand
Murax wrote: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:45 am
Nomand wrote: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:41 am
STARKAST wrote: Tue Apr 27, 2021 9:57 am
Voltage, the damage has been done.
Better start worrying about JL instead of FGS.
Don’t be shortsighted like a amateur.
what do you think will happen in jubbaland?
Gedo is long gone janan switched sides and kenya is not going to capture it for madoobe. Kismaayo is where people will be looking at.
Kismaayo will remain in Kenya’s hands I think for the coming years. AMISOM which includes Kenya, will also use these events to have their free check mandates extended.
you are right, but kenya might loose interest if they loose the sea case or they might use it as a leverage to however is the next president farmaajo or someone else.
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 11:09 am
by Murax
Nomand,
If there is a new President, he will for sure most probably be Pro Kenya which means they could always negotiate afterwards what the boundary is or work out a deal.
Gubbet,
I see what you are saying but, I think that would have been possible if say Farmaajo waxed the Mucaarad militarily then said we’re having elections. That would be a victors peace, however people will run and say this was a ‘forced hand’. I’ll tell you are what although I have severe doubts, IF this somehow ends up in Farmaajo winning a re-election at some point I will die laughing.
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 11:32 am
by MrSinister
So Farmaajo’s devious plan was to loose control of 90% of the capital, fracture the SNA and security forces along clan lines, to be pariah and spoiler in the eyes of the international community and his extension rejected by majority of the federal states. Lol.
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 11:37 am
by STARKAST
MrSinister wrote: Tue Apr 27, 2021 11:32 am
So Farmaajo’s devious plan was to loose control of 90% of the capital, fracture the SNA and security forces along clan lines, to be pariah and spoiler in the eyes of the international community and his extension rejected by majority of the federal states. Lol.
Lol don’t take no notice of madness rambling on
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 11:39 am
by STARKAST
Nomand wrote: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:41 am
STARKAST wrote: Tue Apr 27, 2021 9:57 am
Voltage, the damage has been done.
Better start worrying about JL instead of FGS.
Don’t be shortsighted like a amateur.
what do you think will happen in jubbaland?
Gedo is long gone janan switched sides and kenya is not going to capture it for madoobe. Kismaayo is where people will be looking at.
Exactly the holy city of will be the future flare point for MX.
FGS train has come to a end.
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 12:13 pm
by Gubbet
90% of what capital?
It's streets are being sweeped by soldiers.
If these people are like this in 2021, imagine how completely easy it was to lie in 1989.
Re: Galmudug and Hirshabelle = Parliament in new scene; facilitating the pivot.
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 12:48 pm
by DaahirMursal
I'm saying this now, and I said this many times before, Farmaajo should just step down. Everyone has their time, and his is up.