Alliances for the 2021 elections......

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Kees70
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Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Kees70 »

These are the Alliances for the incoming election and bare in mind all sides have $$$ but some lack the FM states support, so here we go;

1. Farmaajo+Rooble+QoorQoor+ Laftagareen

Backers are= Saudi, Qatar and Turkey

Accumulated States MPs; Galmudug 38, Gedo 16, Koonfur Galbeed 69mps, Hirshabelle 24mps (Minus 6 Abgaals and 8 Hawadlemps)
Interesting points; Minister Fiqi will be responsible of the Galmudugs election, all security, bribes and mps naming will go through him, this secures the full 38mps vote and same will be with Laftagreens

2. Shariif + Ahmed Madobe

Backers= Djibouti and Kenya

Accumulated States mp= Shariif has the Abgaal mps votes of 14 mps Hirshabelle 14mps (Abgaal 6 & 8 Hawadle) and Kismaayo 22mps total 36mps

Interesting points; Shariif has made an pact with the Ogadens led by Madobe to name them PM if elected so all their votes go to him, its for this reason Ahmed madobe named his Minsiters who will be responsible for the Kismaayo security election and also for building confidence with the other ogadens for their votes.

3. HSM, Odawaa, Mahad salaad Damuljadiids + Deni Puntland

Backers= UAE

Accumulated states mps= 38mp Puntland Votes


4. Kheyre + AAW

Backers= So far no states but UAE and Kenya might play secondary role in supporting them, but Kheire has enough Cash $$$ to fund both his and AAW campaign election.

Accumulated Sates mps= none....
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Kees70
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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Kees70 »

AAW and Kheyre BFF have arrived together in Alliance!

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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Nomand »

Farmaajo has Laftagareen, gedo, the 5 in banaadir and waqooyi

That much is guaranteed. I think he will get dhulo and warsangali plus everything that is not ogadeen from jubbaland.

We will see about galmudug. He has mx vote in galmudug but others is up for debate.
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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

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Nomand wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 12:45 pm Farmaajo has Laftagareen, gedo, the 5 in banaadir and waqooyi

That much is guaranteed. I think he will get dhulo and warsangali plus everything that is not ogadeen from jubbaland.

We will see about galmudug. He has mx vote in galmudug but others is up for debate.
Galmudug will back wherever Rooble and qoor qoor go, the Madasha is dead and gone, alliances are formed even Abdishakur was angry and lashed at certain madasha for being qabilists when they put out that statement against Rooble, anyway very soon certain Members will speak Publicly and state their departure from the dead Madasha

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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by paperino »

If the past months have taught us anything, some drama from mucaaradka & Deni/Madoobe is gonna come up to delay the elections. This group is acting as if Farmaajo signed a binding contract to transfer power to them, and reneged it.
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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Nomand »

Kees70 wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 1:00 pm
Nomand wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 12:45 pm Farmaajo has Laftagareen, gedo, the 5 in banaadir and waqooyi

That much is guaranteed. I think he will get dhulo and warsangali plus everything that is not ogadeen from jubbaland.

We will see about galmudug. He has mx vote in galmudug but others is up for debate.
Galmudug will back wherever Rooble and qoor qoor go, the Madasha is dead and gone, alliances are formed even Abdishakur was angry and lashed at certain madasha for being qabilists when they put out that statement against Rooble, anyway very soon certain Members will speak Publicly and state their departure from the dead Madasha

madasha was only build on their hatred for farmaajo. now that the election is going to take place in the next 12 months and the seat of presidency is only 1 and only one man can sit on it you will ofcourse see fractions. However you need to separate madasha to those who are actually running and those who just want money.

as for darod most darod with the exception of ogadeen will back farmaajo no matter what even MJ will back him.

HG has two choices to make

1) PM position for the next 4 years
2) abgaal president and MJ PM
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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Kees70 »

Nomand wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 1:25 pm
Kees70 wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 1:00 pm
Nomand wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 12:45 pm Farmaajo has Laftagareen, gedo, the 5 in banaadir and waqooyi

That much is guaranteed. I think he will get dhulo and warsangali plus everything that is not ogadeen from jubbaland.

We will see about galmudug. He has mx vote in galmudug but others is up for debate.
Galmudug will back wherever Rooble and qoor qoor go, the Madasha is dead and gone, alliances are formed even Abdishakur was angry and lashed at certain madasha for being qabilists when they put out that statement against Rooble, anyway very soon certain Members will speak Publicly and state their departure from the dead Madasha

madasha was only build on their hatred for farmaajo. now that the election is going to take place in the next 12 months and the seat of presidency is only 1 and only one man can sit on it you will ofcourse see fractions. However you need to separate madasha to those who are actually running and those who just want money.

as for darod most darod with the exception of ogadeen will back farmaajo no matter what even MJ will back him.

HG has two choices to make

1) PM position for the next 4 years
2) abgaal president and MJ PM
Not really its the opposites;

1) HG President backed by Farmaajo and Mx
2) Marexaans become Poltically Extinct and Ogadens led by Kablalx will take Jubaland forever

Farmaajo knows which answer to take because even if HG gains none of th Pres/PM we will stil be there strong and relevant, so farmaajo will hand the torch to HG to stay safe for his beesha.
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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Kees70 »

Nomad, PM Rooble and Sacad as President is a Huge Plus for Marexaans, from all HG its Sacad who accepted the Peace between HG and MX by first welcoming Marexans to Galinsoor Peace Conference, and also we face same enemies and have same interests, PM Rooble along with other Sacads led by Shirwac had an agreements with Marexaans such as Pm post for Mx and many other dealings, farmaajo was pleased with the dealing hence why Rooble went to Saudi to get their backing and they did and gave him MIllions and even Kenya and Djibouti was notified, and also according to my HG xog many Politicians are coming as Ministers and Mps in SFG and Galmudug as part of other dealings.

For Both Mx and Sacad its a do or die situation to unite as allies!
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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Nomand »

Kees,

MX has faced a lot more challenges then OG backed by Kenya. Kenya won't stay forever and kismaayo will go back in MX hands. But Qoor Qoor and galmudug will face big obstacles.

with an Abgaal president he will probably disband haramcad or stop paying them. which means puntland will rearm the sufis and dhusamareeb will fall and qoor qoor will be just based in cadaado.

MX really does not have much to loose. gedo is gone the only thing that is outside of our hands at the moment is kismaayo, the long game we will win it is the short game that is up for question.

plus hawiye don't want a kab iyo lax alliance if abgaal become the president at some point he will have to divide puntland and jubbaland and as long as the president of jubbaland is OG. Jubbaland will be a mini me to puntland and will fellow whatever puntland has to say.

hawiye wanted to go against farmaajo but have empowered puntland to such and extend that the 2021 election will be childs play compared to 2025. i don't want to say what but farmaajo has laid a huge trap for 2025 elections which will divide kab iyo lax and hawiye for a very long time.
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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Gubbet »

Nomand is slick, but not slick enough.

He is purposely antagonizing HG and to me it seems as if that is more a response to Qoorqoor/Rooble backing Farmaajo than the inverse.

The question is why would that be exhibiting passive-aggression out of him considering the implication is the partnership helping Farmaajo bothers him---when he is allegedly pro-Farmaajo?

It is slick, but unfortunately there is no amount of slickness that can mask a pattern as I have been observing recently.

It all just brought back why I consistently labeled the individual a mole until this year.
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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Kees70 »

Gubbet wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 2:10 pm Nomand is slick, but not slick enough.

He is purposely antagonizing HG and to me it seems as if that is more a response to Qoorqoor/Rooble backing Farmaajo than the inverse.

The question is why would that be exhibiting passive-aggression out of him considering the implication is the partnership helping Farmaajo bothers him---when he is allegedly pro-Farmaajo?

It is slick, but unfortunately there is no amount of slickness that can mask a pattern as I have been observing recently.

It all just brought back why I consistently labeled the individual a mole until this year.
Nomada waa 100% a true Landheere MX who is an Daroodist Supremacist, our first talk when i came here i had with him in Private Message he told me upfront and since than we got along very good, being Pro and Srupremacist to your people is nothing wrong with that me too im Pro and Supremacist HG, we respect folks like Nomad waa True Libaax who states his intent, its those snakes yar-yarta who do isku dir among clans to stay relevant that pisses me off.

I respect a man who says his intent loud and clear and hate the fuley who hides behind isku dir dirka.

Nomad Respect :up:
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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Nomand »

voltage,

you can label me whatever you like sxb, no one really cares. but i have noticed something about you but kept mouth shut. you really don't live in reality you believe that my conversation with kees on an internet forum will somehow effect an alliance between farmaajo and HG?

you also said something today that baffled and i did not even respond. it was the thread you opened and when you said that fahad yasin will get CIA and mossad involved because a MX businessman went missing in Nairobi.

that is not based on reality.
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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Gubbet »

Kees70 wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 2:14 pm
Gubbet wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 2:10 pm Nomand is slick, but not slick enough.

He is purposely antagonizing HG and to me it seems as if that is more a response to Qoorqoor/Rooble backing Farmaajo than the inverse.

The question is why would that be exhibiting passive-aggression out of him considering the implication is the partnership helping Farmaajo bothers him---when he is allegedly pro-Farmaajo?

It is slick, but unfortunately there is no amount of slickness that can mask a pattern as I have been observing recently.

It all just brought back why I consistently labeled the individual a mole until this year.
Nomada waa 100% a true Landheere MX who is an Daroodist Supremacist, our first talk when i came here i had with him in Private Message he told me upfront and since than we got along very good, being Pro and Srupremacist to your people is nothing wrong with that me too im Pro and Supremacist HG, we respect folks like Nomad waa True Libaax who states his intent, its those snakes yar-yarta who do isku dir among clans to stay relevant that pisses me off.

I respect a man who says his intent loud and clear and hate the fuley who hides behind isku dir dirka.

Nomad Respect :up:
Excuse me, you could Old Dervish as I suspect Nomand is most likely at this point.

He does set you up nicely I did notice. Walk away cuz this isn't an issue where your opinion is required.
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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Gubbet »

Nomand wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 2:22 pm voltage,

you can label me whatever you like sxb, no one really cares. but i have noticed something about you but kept mouth shut. you really don't live in reality you believe that my conversation with kees on an internet forum will somehow effect an alliance between farmaajo and HG?

you also said something today that baffled and i did not even respond. it was the thread you opened and when you said that fahad yasin will get CIA and mossad involved because a MX businessman went missing in Nairobi.

that is not based on reality.
Nobody cares about your little pivot, cat claws.

Stench doesn't pass my nose when it comes to Sade and I smell an intense, humid, thick, disgusting, putrid stench.
Last edited by Gubbet on Thu May 20, 2021 2:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Alliances for the 2021 elections......

Post by Nomand »

Kees70 wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 2:14 pm
Gubbet wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 2:10 pm Nomand is slick, but not slick enough.

He is purposely antagonizing HG and to me it seems as if that is more a response to Qoorqoor/Rooble backing Farmaajo than the inverse.

The question is why would that be exhibiting passive-aggression out of him considering the implication is the partnership helping Farmaajo bothers him---when he is allegedly pro-Farmaajo?

It is slick, but unfortunately there is no amount of slickness that can mask a pattern as I have been observing recently.

It all just brought back why I consistently labeled the individual a mole until this year.
Nomada waa 100% a true Landheere MX who is an Daroodist Supremacist, our first talk when i came here i had with him in Private Message he told me upfront and since than we got along very good, being Pro and Srupremacist to your people is nothing wrong with that me too im Pro and Supremacist HG, we respect folks like Nomad waa True Libaax who states his intent, its those snakes yar-yarta who do isku dir among clans to stay relevant that pisses me off.

I respect a man who says his intent loud and clear and hate the fuley who hides behind isku dir dirka.

Nomad Respect :up:
:up: :up:

what do you think the consequences would be for galmudug if any if farmaajo looses?
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