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Abgaal 10, HG 7 ayaga lee isla haraya

Deni ama haloo codeeyo ama yaan loo codeyn laakin waa nin nidaamsan oon la barbar ordeyn.

This is not about Farmaajo vs Deni laakiin top 4ka waxay meesha ka saari doontaa murashixiin waaweyn oo ay ka mid yihiin kuwa la barbar yaacayo! Hassan Sheekh, Shariif, Kheyre ma wada gali karaan to top 4

maalin walbe waxaa soo baxaya saasaan cusub!

This is what I said a week ago. Deni’s main advantage is hawiye splitting their votes and anti farmajo sentiment. The only challenge for Deni is if farmajo decides to support sharif to spoil it for Deni.

MrSinister wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 7:53 am This is what I said a week ago. Deni’s main advantage is hawiye splitting their votes and anti farmajo sentiment. The only challenge for Deni is if farmajo decides to support sharif to spoil it for Deni.

you r right on Deni not facing challengers in the first round. i think there will be top 4, two are Farmaajo and his planB and the other two are Deni and some ally could be damjadeeds at the end two from the two camps will compete in the final round.

sahal80 wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 8:06 am

MrSinister wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 7:53 am This is what I said a week ago. Deni’s main advantage is hawiye splitting their votes and anti farmajo sentiment. The only challenge for Deni is if farmajo decides to support sharif to spoil it for Deni.

you r right on Deni not facing challengers in the first round. i think there will be top 4, two are Farmaajo and his planB and the other two are Deni and some ally could be damjadeeds at the end two from the two camps will compete in the final round.

This is what it looks like. Hawiye having so many candidates is good, maybe they understand democracy better than darood.

MrSinister wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 8:51 am

sahal80 wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 8:06 am

MrSinister wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 7:53 am This is what I said a week ago. Deni’s main advantage is hawiye splitting their votes and anti farmajo sentiment. The only challenge for Deni is if farmajo decides to support sharif to spoil it for Deni.

you r right on Deni not facing challengers in the first round. i think there will be top 4, two are Farmaajo and his planB and the other two are Deni and some ally could be damjadeeds at the end two from the two camps will compete in the final round.

Hawiye having so many candidates is good, maybe they understand democracy better than darood.

i call them afarjeeblayaal dadkooda dan kala heen. hala yaaabin in Farmaajo dhinaca mushaaraadka uga fiicnaa.

Sahalow Hawiye wax ka xukun jecel weligay ma arkin. I got madax xanuun seeing all the names. Mid kasto inti shaati soo xirtay buu yiri anaa Musharax

Sahal the lesson from 2017 is still not learned.

AbkoowDhiblaawe wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 11:29 am Sahal the lesson from 2017 is still not learned.

Abkowdhiblaawe,


Jokes aside One thing doesn’t always equal the other. I always told you, and Sahal 2 things could be true at the same time. Yes the mucaarad could all hate Farmaajo, but they could also hate each other too. Fine even if they don’t hate each other it was easy to see from the beginning of MM dhexdooda wax iskuma ogola. Maybe it works out, Mucaarad still win but it’s obvious to see there is no united purpose.

AbkoowDhiblaawe wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 11:29 am Sahal the lesson from 2017 is still not learned.

Meeqaan ku dhahayay mushkilada Xamar waa afarjeeblayaasha. CCC waa ka joogsadey asagoo leh Jiiradii hore Deni waa ii tanasuluwaayey wax walbe waa weynay hada anaa u tahaasuli sidoo kale all yaruurucii PL waa taasuleen.

Murax wrote: Sahalow Hawiye wax ka xukun jecel weligay ma arkin. I got madax xanuun seeing all the names. Mid kasto inti shaati soo xirtay buu yiri anaa Musharax

wax mx ka xukun jecel miyaa jira kuwaan waa beeso jecel iyo bililiqo jecel hadeey xukun jecelyihiin maba wareejiyeen sidiina.

To be fair, the HAG candidate who makes it to the later round probably has the best chance to win. This is probably why there is so many HAG candidates. If I’m Deni, I don’t want to face Sh Sharif in the final round. Best case is sh sharif is out in the first round. The only HAG that Deni can beat is khayre.

Same for farmajo, he looses to any HAG candidate

MrSinister wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 11:50 am To be fair, the HAG candidate who makes it to the later round probably has the best chance to win. This is probably why there is so many HAG candidates. If I’m Deni, I don’t want to face Sh Sharif in the final round. Best case is sh sharif is out in the first round. The only HAG that Deni can beat is khayre.

Same for farmajo, he looses to any HAG candidate

I also believe this is the case, Deni's best chance is if he's competing with Farmaajo in the last round, otherwise if Farmaajo is out he will support Deni's competitor.

So only top 4 make it to round 2?

Farmaajo should split his vote into two, deni should do the same and HAG is out in round 1.

Nomand wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 12:27 pm So only top 4 make it to round 2?

Farmaajo should split his vote into two, deni should do the same and HAG is out in round 1.

Looks like farmajo is doing that lol

According to this guy, most of the hag candidates are “ghost” candidates financed by farmajo. I wouldn’t doubt it.

MrSinister wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 11:50 am To be fair, the HAG candidate who makes it to the later round probably has the best chance to win. This is probably why there is so many HAG candidates. If I’m Deni, I don’t want to face Sh Sharif in the final round. Best case is sh sharif is out in the first round. The only HAG that Deni can beat is khayre.

Same for farmajo, he looses to any HAG candidate

i don't think Shariif has a chance if Abgaal it will likely be Hassan sheekh oo isku tashtey. Sharif was relaying on F&F and now has been told lafta gareen is against him as their planb bc of his relations with Adan Madoobe. waa sheeko asaga looga taqalusayo. Laftagareen supports Kheyre as their planB. Both Deni and Farmaajo want Kheyre to be in the third place to avoid Hassan Sheikh and Shariif also they think the Hiraabs will vote for Deni and Farmaajo instead of Kheyre . even SAHAList Geylan is making huge dacaayad for Kheyre he thinks Deni will be the president

I believe Darood have only two candidates. Farmajo and Deni