FORECAST: Everything indicates Marehan seizure of J/land authority concludes 1960-Now Somalia & births a new Era.

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Gubbet
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FORECAST: Everything indicates Marehan seizure of J/land authority concludes 1960-Now Somalia & births a new Era.

Post by Gubbet »

1. The experiment of a Republic that began July 1, 1960 will end. With it dies Mogadishu as the incomparable capital of the Somali spirit.
2. Marehan will replace Majerten as the vanguards of federalism but go further to birth real Confederacy.
3. In my read, Somalia President will become sort of like the Ugaas of the clan---respected, but powerless and symbolic.
4. The Federal State Presidents will become like the section chiefs who control the "dia/mag" units which means they have all the power and day to day authority.
5. Jubbaland State will be the lineage with the greatest number of mag units compared to the other Federal States so this will manifest itself in their horizontal relationship with each other as Federal States and their vertical relationship with the federal "govt."
6. The inevitable conclusion to Jubbaland "section chief" will stabilize all the appendix lineages and all the units will go from ambitious hostility to yearning for stability.
7. Kismaayo will become the homebase equally of all the lineages and will attract all allied camps including specialized skill groups attracted by opportunity; religious Xer will settle to provide religious service, artisan groups will flock to provide metal and other crafts. Dependent units will part with older protectors for a chance at better dependency terms ("magan").
8. Somalia will no longer be 1 beel and Mogadishu the eternal ood until now. Berbera was replaced by Hargeisa, Eyl by Garowe, Buurhakaba by Baydhabo, Wajeer by Garissa, Gode by Jigjigga.
9. I do not yet know if Kismaayo will replace Mogadishu, but all indicators point to Kismaayo dethroning Mogadishu's current singular dominance.
10. Marehan is the Trigger. They have always been the trigger & everyone else is already aware of it too.
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eliteSomali
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Re: FORECAST: Everything indicates Marehan seizure of J/land authority concludes 1960-Now Somalia & births a new Era.

Post by eliteSomali »

:lol: you'll do well to hold on to Gedo moving forward, and I genuinely mean that.
Gubbet
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Re: FORECAST: Everything indicates Marehan seizure of J/land authority concludes 1960-Now Somalia & births a new Era.

Post by Gubbet »

eliteSomali wrote: Mon Jan 09, 2023 10:32 am :lol: you'll do well to hold on to Gedo moving forward, and I genuinely mean that.
Inshallah, you will be as implicated in her "moving forward" as much as you subscribe it to me.
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noer
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Re: FORECAST: Everything indicates Marehan seizure of J/land authority concludes 1960-Now Somalia & births a new Era.

Post by noer »

ustad. don't give up on somalia. the ex italian colony. free jubaland. from kenyan occupation. then free hamar. no more transition class :ufdup: no matter what though, no stealth secssionism. reunite the ex italian colony :troll: then final status talks wit somaliland divorce from somalia
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ReturnOfMariixmaan
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Re: FORECAST: Everything indicates Marehan seizure of J/land authority concludes 1960-Now Somalia & births a new Era.

Post by ReturnOfMariixmaan »

Gubbet wrote: Mon Jan 09, 2023 10:17 am 1. The experiment of a Republic that began July 1, 1960 will end. With it dies Mogadishu as the incomparable capital of the Somali spirit.
2. Marehan will replace Majerten as the vanguards of federalism but go further to birth real Confederacy.
3. In my read, Somalia President will become sort of like the Ugaas of the clan---respected, but powerless and symbolic.
4. The Federal State Presidents will become like the section chiefs who control the "dia/mag" units which means they have all the power and day to day authority.
5. Jubbaland State will be the lineage with the greatest number of mag units compared to the other Federal States so this will manifest itself in their horizontal relationship with each other as Federal States and their vertical relationship with the federal "govt."
6. The inevitable conclusion to Jubbaland "section chief" will stabilize all the appendix lineages and all the units will go from ambitious hostility to yearning for stability.
7. Kismaayo will become the homebase equally of all the lineages and will attract all allied camps including specialized skill groups attracted by opportunity; religious Xer will settle to provide religious service, artisan groups will flock to provide metal and other crafts. Dependent units will part with older protectors for a chance at better dependency terms ("magan").
8. Somalia will no longer be 1 beel and Mogadishu the eternal ood until now. Berbera was replaced by Hargeisa, Eyl by Garowe, Buurhakaba by Baydhabo, Wajeer by Garissa, Gode by Jigjigga.
9. I do not yet know if Kismaayo will replace Mogadishu, but all indicators point to Kismaayo dethroning Mogadishu's current singular dominance.
10. Marehan is the Trigger. They have always been the trigger & everyone else is already aware of it too.

We arent there yet. It is because I’m superior to you too and I humiliated you. To the point you need me to help your mudblood dynasty. Pay up Democrat hoe. You know I started blonde on you from the start. Don’t send darkskin women to an halfblood more blue blood than you. Greatest ROI since the 1919 World Series. $100 tape, $100 investment. You not Red Sea
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Re: FORECAST: Everything indicates Marehan seizure of J/land authority concludes 1960-Now Somalia & births a new Era.

Post by theyuusuf143 »

Geopolitically I support marehan to dominate jubaland. But realistically I think the region will remain unstable , no particular clan is able to control all of it . Even if daaroods sort out their differences . The sleeping giant is the eelay and Bantus. In fact when the Bantus raise up they will get massive support from Bantu countries especially kenya and Tanzania.
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