I'm calling it: HSM will be overthrown---by Hawiye; for egregious corruption!

[Gubbet]

This must be what the famous bards have called "prophetic justice."

What can I actually say without being redundant?

There is no use rehashing the why or what this man HSM is---I don't even care to rehash it.

But, there is something different with Mogadishu and the HAWIYE business/political elite in Benadir that did not exist during HSM's 1st term:-

What is different is the 5 years under Farmaajo.

What is different is the political chicanery aside, for 5 years a professional, non-embezzling, fiduciary responsible, practically operating, "governmental authority" presided over by Mr. Farmaajo, with his personal abhorrence of petty graft, was their reality.

It was easy to take that for granted when it was your reality even while screaming "Badbaado Qaran" but less than a year after HSM has entered office, the reality has become so nightmarish it is stunning how discontent Hawiye elites have become in Mogadishu.

They want what they had under Farmaajo.

They want professionalism, practicality, responsible administration, positive intention even if process regaining governance is rocky, and most of all they want back the "business environment" without the stifling, limiting, and corrupt, burdensome bureaucracy implicated in petty graft and other obstacles to growth.

Chatter is very, very pronounced about the level of "discontent." One of the most powerful business leaders of Benadir from HSM's own Abgaal privately labels HSM "Dibiga" (The Oxen).

He calls him "dibiga" because like oxen, HSM constantly wants to chew or "eat" corruptly gained money and assets and so does everyone else in his orbit; in fact entire cabal ("system").

Corruption, nepotism, petty graft all of which DISPROPORTIONATELY impacts the Hawiye business elite of Benadir since Darod, Isaaq, and many others have divested, downgraded, or implicated Hawiye businessmen in their investments in Benadir.

HSM played a good con with "Badbado Qaran" but this isn't 2013---this is 2023 and "Badbado Qaran" is beginning to swing back with vengeance for having been taken advantage of and played for fools.

I am calling this now before anyone has said anything about it anywhere.

[noer]

no doubt about it. badbado qaran dumis ayu u horseday. you reap wut you sow. all that stealing from hamar don't bode well for his regime. but truth be told i don't care. i'm voting for the highest bidder. long as the ex italian colony pays me to pretend to be dir n say i'm somaliand rep, i'm happy. only way i can be happier is if hsm fires his pm witout a replacement. deputy pm ready to step up if hamsa develps any type of independence streak

[Sbashi]

I don't think he will be overthrown. Simply because qabiil is more important than whatever discontent they feel. They will endure it because they believe HSM is there to help their qabiil.

Also this will be temporary, as HSM will address them and give them a cut so they stay quiet.

[Nomand]

I like seeing the laangaabs murusade and xawaadle all complaining about culusow pro hiraab government.

[theyuusuf143]

Hawiye qabyaalad jumped from uulo to university , now they are preparing the PHD , when your qabyaalad reaches this level , you automatically get blind to see the wrong doings of your tol. Same like you never acknowledge the wrong doings of farmaajo. So I think they won't see the hands of culusaw stealing any thing from them. They only see what others are taking , for example they believe beyle was a tuug. If culusaw keep killing alshabaab , hawiye are happy , and he will use that to be re,elected again , and again . Marku haakah dhahana habar gidirbaa fuulaysa. Hawiye turub baray

[theyuusuf143]

Hawiye xitaa waxay bilaabi doonaan , inay hada kadib daarod Ka yaryar xilka rayssul wasaaraha siiyaan , waa farsamo ay farmaajo iyo afwayne Ka barteen , tusaale ahaan waxaydun arki doontaan ra,iisul wasaarayal , siwaaqroon ah , ama facayo ah , ama hayaaga. Adigu reeraha yaryaree aan qaylada badnayn bay keensanayan. Ogaaden Ka bay Ku bilaaben , waayo ogaaden waa laangaab Somalia dhexdeeda. Sade iyo harti bay Ku daba tukan jireen. Ogaaden kana qashinkay Ku darayaan. Next ra,iisul wasaare wuxu noqon karaa tiitiinle

[theyuusuf143]

Inaalilahi waa innaa ilayhi raajicuun , anaguna tiitiinle baanu kuxigeen u noqonayna , xitaa anagana qorigayaga way qabteen , ilaahay maasiibo haku rido hawiye

[grandpakhalif]

Iscunna oo islaaya awal nin mareexaan ridistiisa baa idin mideeye

[Gubbet]

Keep track that since this topic we have had;

-Sheikh Sharif & No Extnsn declaration of oppo
-Muuse Suudi & No Mahad declaration of oppo

It is not even a year of HSM!

Wali yaa is gaaray!

[Gubbet]

Note the rising discontent with corruption and impunity from HSM's cabal in security matters & perception Mogadishu is "sleep walking" into a "combustible" situation with extrajudicial killings, strongarming, and crimes with impunity now daily occurrence against the public by HSM gov agents in uniforms

[grandpakhalif]

I agree thousands of comments Ive been reading from Hawiye youth are in deep sorrow post Farmaajo. They witness the daily wanton killings of Bajaajle and have little hope in their future.

Culusow is directly encouraging tahriib..

[GameChanger]

I agree thousands of comments Ive been reading from Hawiye youth are in deep sorrow post Farmaajo. They witness the daily wanton killings of Bajaajle and have little hope in their future.

Culusow is directly encouraging tahriib..

When nostalgia goes wrong Farmaajo was lucky to get out alive they hated his guts don't kid yourself.. He nearly caused a conflict

[Gubbet]

Yesterday, HSM was behind this stunt trying to use clan awrkacsi against Farmaajo;



Now Things Fall Apart beginning the climb to the middle chapters;