⚠️WARNING⚠️ I CAN NOW SAY A MAJOR DAROD VS ISAAQ CONFLICT IS ON THE PRECIPICE.

[Gubbet]

Since the start of fighting close to a month ago---I derided all attempts by Somaliland side to implicate "Darod" in the Las Anod conflict.

I correctly labeled the belligerents as Muuse vs Dhulbahante.

I also identified when and if a "Darod" implication will come to bear in very clear and concise identification of trajectory. I said that will officially start "Phase II" which will be astronomically more deadly and destructive than Phase I. I also identified that will go hand in hand with expansion of battlefield to see hostilities taking place on "Isaaq" clan territory & not just "Dhulbahante."

Muuse is about to pull the trigger.

Like every Somali warlord with 0 imagination or impulse control, Muuse wants to die at the alter of vengeance along with everything else that exists in the world.

This was predictable. We have seen it play out in 101 variations during the long civil war.

Preparations Are In Place.

Muuse imagines he will condemn Las Caanood to his fatalism.

Muuse will only trigger the hurricane that will shock him fatally.

Muuse has not pulled the trigger yet, but I imagine it is forgone conclusion at this point that he will barring some extraordinary and/or extenuating interjection|intervention.

We are on the precipice.

[GameChanger]

This guy got carried away.... SL only exited voluntarily LA and Tukarah so dialogue can begin and there was alot of pressure building on them in the international arena. Inclunding alot of pressure on HSM which was their really worry that the Somali armed forces is sent and the potential of them losing more if Somalia as whole declared war this was the miscalculation they tried to prevent. They still hold Sool and Sanaag and seems like your Garaads accepted the ceasefire on these points..

They voluntarily vacated areas in LA and Tukarah and weren't the Garaads saying we want them out of all Sool and Sanaag but now all of sudden the Garaads accept only a destroyed LA and Tukarah

[original dervish]

What are you talking about........its 95% Dhulbahante dragging these iidoor mfs.

At this point we are not in need of manpower, so much so that we have dismissed all the untrained geeljires.......its all about heavy equipment and supplies.

The iidoors have been defeated spectacularly, both militarily and politically.

Bringing Darood into this will only aid iidoor propaganda.
This is not a tribal war.......its a people resisting genocide and fighting for democracy and self determination.

[Gubbet]

He doesn't care to implicate Dhulbahante into Somaliland anymore.

He wants to make Dhulbahante bleed. He wants to level Laascaanood to the ground. He wants 80 year old Dhulbahante women raped. He wants 5 year old Dhulbahante boys slaughtered.

He is no longer Aideed who was overthrowing Siad Barre government.

He is Aideed that wanted 80 year old Majeerteen and Mareexaan grandmothers raped.

They want payback for Siad Barre gov, for Kenadid and Sayd Abdille Hassan regional authorities, for what Shirshoore, Diini, Saleebaan might or might not have done---they want "payback" for "Darood" even having come to exist as a socio-cultural identity group.

They being Caydiid then and the Muuse of now that is being picked up by chatter.

There is a reason the Cumar Maxmuud have already made it to Sool.

It is not for "show" and coming "after" the fact.

They are actually the inverse and the "advance" party.

The real threat to Dhulbahante starts now because his political triumph has birthed sadistic fatalism in Muuse.

He will intend to destroy---not bring back under his authority---but destroy Dhulbahante even if he has to perish with them.

Darod will be required henceforth. In a succession even depending on how it goes.

It will be Dhulbahante and the Dubays + Cumar Maxmuud.

If they cannot contain it, Cumar Maxmuud's presence will implicate all of Harti truly entering led by a MJ far bari (Siwaaqroon, Cali Saleebaan).

If they require aid, Layl Kase, MX Mudug and Makaahiil of Og will enter.

If more aid is required at that point---to implicate more of OG or MX Gedo---God help the north. We are talking southern 1991 grief in every house.

Again, Muuse controls which trajectory, but make no mistake the "trajectories" are known and we have seen them play out so recurringly in civil war Somalia---it is nothing but "predictable."

We will know Muuse choice when he opens fire.

[Gubbet]

Sus to GameChanger.

Go away, child.

[Nolol cusub]

He doesn't care to implicate Dhulbahante into Somaliland anymore.

He wants to make Dhulbahante bleed. He wants to level Laascaanood to the ground. He wants 80 year old Dhulbahante women raped. He wants 5 year old Dhulbahante boys slaughtered.

He is no longer Aideed who was overthrowing Siad Barre government.

He is Aideed that wanted 80 year old Majeerteen and Mareexaan grandmothers raped.

They want payback for Siad Barre gov, for Kenadid and Sayd Abdille Hassan regional authorities, for what Shirshoore, Diini, Saleebaan might or might not have done---they want "payback" for "Darood" even having come to exist as a socio-cultural identity group.

They being Caydiid then and the Muuse of now that is being picked up by chatter.

There is a reason the Cumar Maxmuud have already made it to Sool.

It is not for "show" and coming "after" the fact.

They are actually the inverse and the "advance" party.

The real threat to Dhulbahante starts now because his political triumph has birthed sadistic fatalism in Muuse.

He will intend to destroy---not bring back under his authority---but destroy Dhulbahante even if he has to perish with them.

Darod will be required henceforth. In a succession even depending on how it goes.

It will be Dhulbahante and the Dubays + Cumar Maxmuud.

If they cannot contain it, Cumar Maxmuud's presence will implicate all of Harti truly entering led by a MJ far bari (Siwaaqroon, Cali Saleebaan).

If they require aid, Layl Kase, MX Mudug and Makaahiil of Og will enter.

If more aid is required at that point---to implicate more of OG or MX Gedo---God help the north. We are talking southern 1991 grief in every house.

Again, Muuse controls which trajectory, but make no mistake the "trajectories" are known and we have seen them play out so recurringly in civil war Somalia---it is nothing but "predictable."

We will know Muuse choice when he opens fire.

Good luck.


Gubbet only one man can organize such Darod coalition:Farmaajo. Was he involved in SSC uprising in Lascanod?

[Gubbet]

Nolol Cusub, you have always "chosen" to be like irritating, dry-streaked sweat on a hot, humid day. It makes me want to promptly take a shower.

I wouldn't even put it past you to have become excited by the thought of 80 year old grandmothers being raped because they are "Darod."

[GameChanger]

Nolol Cusub, you have always "chosen" to be like irritating, dry-streaked sweat on a hot, humid day. It makes me want to promptly take a shower.

I wouldn't even put it past you to have become excited by the thought of 80 year old grandmothers being raped because they are "Darod."

astaghfirullah..

[Nolol cusub]

Nolol Cusub, you have always "chosen" to be like irritating, dry-streaked sweat on a hot, humid day. It makes me want to promptly take a shower.

I wouldn't even put it past you to have become excited by the thought of 80 year old grandmothers being raped because they are "Darod."

The pastoral intellectual is losing it.

[Gubbet]

I put you on ignore so I no longer can or care to see your amateur trolling so good bye.

As for the other individual, remember I am Marehan. I took Col Shabeel to the deck house. Aydiid only escaped Feero Qumumux because he didn't want Balanbale as much as I wanted him. If you became excitable by reference to having raped 80 year old grandmothers, well what caused that excitement in you is what leaves me dispassionately unimpressed. I am afraid that wound in you is terminal. We will have to try with someone whose self-esteem is salvageable to see about redeeming it.

[Nolol cusub]

Darod will be required henceforth. In a succession even depending on how it goes.

It will be Dhulbahante and the Dubays + Cumar Maxmuud.

If they require aid, Layl Kase, MX Mudug and Makaahiil of Og will enter.

If more aid is required at that point---to implicate more of OG or MX Gedo---God help the north. We are talking southern 1991 grief in every house.


We will know Muuse choice when he opens fire.

Of the 23 lines you wrote, I was just referring to these 3 lines.


Again good luck.

[Gubbet]

There is no such thing as luck. There is only preparation at the right time. Everything else is predictable including how it will all end.

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

I highly doubt it. Isaaqs can barely contain Dhulbahante let alone the rest

[balwarama]

What are you talking about........its 95% Dhulbahante dragging these iidoor mfs.

At this point we are not in need of manpower, so much so that we have dismissed all the untrained geeljires.......its all about heavy equipment and supplies.

The iidoors have been defeated spectacularly, both militarily and politically.

Bringing Darood into this will only aid iidoor propaganda.
This is not a tribal war.......its a people resisting genocide and fighting for democracy and self determination.

Shut up mother fucker.
This is Daarood vs Edoor.
The Dhulbahante, on their own could not even capture the Provincial headquarters, right in the middle of the town.
It is only when Majeerteens and Warsangeli moved in that the Edoors run away from all the vulnerable areas, including Tukaraq.
Give your brothers the credit and acknoledgment, they deserve.
Hooyadaa was

[Gubbet]

What are you talking about........its 95% Dhulbahante dragging these iidoor mfs.

At this point we are not in need of manpower, so much so that we have dismissed all the untrained geeljires.......its all about heavy equipment and supplies.

The iidoors have been defeated spectacularly, both militarily and politically.

Bringing Darood into this will only aid iidoor propaganda.
This is not a tribal war.......its a people resisting genocide and fighting for democracy and self determination.

Shut up mother fucker.
This is Daarood vs Edoor.
The Dhulbahante, on their own could not even capture the Provincial headquarters, right in the middle of the town.
It is only when Majeerteens and Warsangeli moved in that the Edoors run away from all the vulnerable areas, including Tukaraq.
Give your brothers the credit and acknoledgment, they deserve.
Hooyadaa was

Yusuf, wrong nick.