Ahmed Madoobe has agreed to go.

[Gubbet]

He could either be sweeped with the tide or he would go meekly and in favor.

Ever the meek and classic yes man, he has said yes.

This wasn't spontaneous nor a decision reached in Addis. By even coming on the trip, he had already given the only answer that would be accepted.

10 years of intrigue closes as anticlimactically as it began.

Onwards---we need a real Jubbaland State declared in August!

[BigBreak]

Caghdeer as "president" will still be the chief slave at the helm of the Kenyan colony called Jubaland. Unlucky ilkoyars

[BigBreak]

DP

[bashe19]

DP

Forget this jaarso clown sheegad isaaq, saduu ku qafiifey.

[original dervish]

SSC support a new and equitable Jubbaland.

[Nomand]

he hasn't agreed to go but the walls are closing on him. he has failed trying to stop the Buaale liberation.

Buaale liberation = new Jubbaland president.

[Gubbet]

Nomand, Ethiopia wadan iska 'balaqan' maaha like Kenya. You don't go there unless Addis Ababa wants you in let alone being an 'obstacle' to Ethiopian foreign policy.

Ethiopia practices Zem ena Werq Gold/Wax.

You see the wax, but unseen Gold is the salient point.

Ahmed Madoobe traveling to Addis is the wax, the Gold is he already "capitulated" to everything wanted from him.

Mustafe and Shide are tasked with being 'props' for publicity pics which are expected to make tongues wag among Somalis (you have no idea how much Cagjar resents it having to be him but its nothing personal, it is expected because he is part of the team Ethiopia) as a gift to Madoobe for capitulating which is the wax but Addis Ababa knows capitulated finally because of weakness and ao it treats him politely but coldly by not giving him federal publicity the "gold."

All of this is a layered, preplanned "show" which is what you see or the wax.

The gold you will not see is he signed the papers during negotiations while he was in Kismaayo.



Of course, Gedo group have their own political considerations nd are implicated in their own publicity competition within Gedo amd the politics of post-Madoobe replacement so they have a whole different soap opera as a spin off alongside the main story.

In that spin off, there is going to be back stabbing, betrayal, and future rivalries between Bardere camp. They all know it so that's their own show.

This is literally like a mini Game of Thrones. Multiple independent but related storylines in parallel.

[Nomand]

i don't think you understand ahmed Madoobe. he survived this long because he is a munaafiq.

Ahmed madoobe will sign any paper that is put in-front of him and will swear to any agreement for self perseverance. But when it comes to fulfilling his commitments he is gone.

you see this time there was a big spotlight on him his character has been exposed. not a single person believes anything madoobe says not beesha calaamka not kenya and not Ethiopia even culusow does not believe a single word that comes out of Madoobe.

you see he burned to many bridges, but he will stay in kismaayo until the last moment. however it is the end of Madoobe he won't survive to long. i always look at things at how the rats move.

rats are an excellent indication of how things will unfold. rats know a sinking ship and leave it. just look at aw hirsi. he already saw the writing on the wall and abandoned madoobe.

[Gubbet]

Truth is you are right about "him" the individual but Ahmed Madoobe has been made possible by "exigency." This is the first since I have observed this issue where I feel there is absolutely no "exigency." He is old news and the Gen Andanet and the Ethiopians are not Gen Buhuka and KDF. I see the path to the point in a story when the cat realizes it only ever had a single life--- 9 was all in other people's heads.

[Gubbet]

Nomand, Ethiopia wadan iska 'balaqan' maaha like Kenya. You don't go there unless Addis Ababa wants you in let alone being an 'obstacle' to Ethiopian foreign policy.

Ethiopia practices Zem ena Werq Gold/Wax.

You see the wax, but unseen Gold is the salient point.

Ahmed Madoobe traveling to Addis is the wax, the Gold is he already "capitulated" to everything wanted from him.

Mustafe and Shide are tasked with being 'props' for publicity pics which are expected to make tongues wag among Somalis (you have no idea how much Cagjar resents it having to be him but its nothing personal, it is expected because he is part of the team Ethiopia) as a gift to Madoobe for capitulating which is the wax but Addis Ababa knows capitulated finally because of weakness and ao it treats him politely but coldly by not giving him federal publicity the "gold."

All of this is a layered, preplanned "show" which is what you see or the wax.

The gold you will not see is he signed the papers during negotiations while he was in Kismaayo.



Of course, Gedo group have their own political considerations nd are implicated in their own publicity competition within Gedo amd the politics of post-Madoobe replacement so they have a whole different soap opera as a spin off alongside the main story.

In that spin off, there is going to be back stabbing, betrayal, and future rivalries between Bardere camp. They all know it so that's their own show.

This is literally like a mini Game of Thrones. Multiple independent but related storylines in parallel.

And now we know "why" he definitely capitulated

https://www.somalinet.com/forums/viewto ... 0&t=409599

[Murax]

I’ll believe Axmed Madoobe is gone when I see it tbh. I don’t bet against this politician hooker to find some foreign military to guard him in Kismaayo 4 more years. He always seems to pull it off although I’m really hoping I’m wrong.