Al Shabaab has retaken Ruunirgood, etc, in the "Middle" Shabelle---for the 12th time since 'capture.'

[Gubbet]

Whack-the-mole is what Hassan Sheekh's Macawiisleey business is called;




It is not a strategy. It is a distraction.

At this rate, it is fair to say Hassan Sheikh's distraction is a perfect example of the problem presented by moles vs. grubs.

• Whack-a-Mole = Reactively solving the problem
  (moles).
  
• Insecticide = Solve the underlying cause of the problem (grubs).

Anyone who believes that what Hassan is doing is a sustainable, productive, or even appropriate "choice" is wittingly or unwittingly, in my opinion, enabling state failure, further continuance of insecurity/terrorism, and waste of time, energy, and resources Somalia cannot afford.

There is no strategy here for defeating Shabaab. There is only a distraction.

[Gubbet]

Ruunirgood today



Ruunirgood two weeks ago



Whack-the-mole is not a strategy; it's a distraction.

[ReturnOfMariixmaan]

And that’s why I’m happy we lost. We can’t be blamed for it. Let him finish his term.

[AbkoowDhiblaawe]

It's a small setback can't lie. Ironically Ruun nirgood have no macawisley. Reer ruun nirgood are in bed with AS. They are protecting and sheltering them. AS vacated the town as well they don't have the power to hold it.

Still the offensive is sucessfull. Every district in MS under SFG control except Ruun nirgood.

Ruun nirgood is Dayniile in 2011. It took time to stabilize that district maantana waa lo dalxiis tagaa. So lets give it a time things will improve inshallah no doubt.

[Gubbet]

It's a small setback can't lie.

At what point is it NOT a "small" setback? The 50th recapture ..

[Gubbet]

Reer ruun nirgood are in bed with AS. They are protecting and sheltering them.

And what do you think Murursade in Ceel-Buur are? You finally understand what is wrong with Whack-the-mole! The question should be WHY are they with Al Shabaab and how to switch their loyaltie (underlying root of the problem)?

1. They are claiming to be heading into a "Liberation" of Ceel-Buur.

2. Ceel-Buur is Al.Shabaab'a most securely held district of all of Somalia.

3. It is Shabaab's weapon storage depot; safe hiding place, launching pad, etc all into the central regions.

4. Ceel-Buur has a Murursade plurality if not a majority and Murursade have been seriously burdened by encroachment from Hiraab on ALL sides, particularly Cayr/Habar Gidir in Dhusamareb, Dudbuble within Ceel-Buur and Abgaal towards Middle Shabelle.

5. Murursade are infamously in a "marriage of convenience" with Al Shabaab in Ceel-Buur as a defensive instrument against this pressure from Hiraab.

6. Now observe the process HSM's government is carrying out in the "lead up" to this "campaign" to "free Ceel-Buur."

7. Take note of the level of"pettiness," smallness, even catty "meanness" behind HSM and Mahad Salaad political effectuation towards Murursade. Take note of the attempted political"humiliation" towards Murursade. Take note of the narrative being established providing " justification" for what is intended to be future institution of Hiraab (Cayr) land dispute in Ceel-Buur post-Shabaab "liberation "

8. Just take note of how the enemy theorized for this Ceel-Buur initiative is really perceived to be Murursade NOT "Al Shabaab."

9. And then remember why Ceel-Buur has been Shabaab's most secure and beneficial citadel all these years.

10. HSM's actions point only to 1 single outcome ----> Al Shabaab's resurgence.

These guys are only doing what Shabaab operatives would be doing if they INFILTRATED and then CO-OPTED Somalia'a government for the purposes of serruptiously increasing the power of Shabaab.

The question is
why...

https://www.somalinet.com/forums/viewto ... 3#p5055094

[AbkoowDhiblaawe]

Gubbet the problem with Ruun nirgood is it's just SFG forces from xamar. To stabilize it you need to send xildhibaanada, respected oday dhaqameed and clerics who hails from the town, form local macawisley etc. Kaalintaas dhan baa meesha ka maqan. And that only applies for reer Ruun nirgood. The rest of deeganada in middle shabelle like Nuur dugle, Darul Nimca, Aadan Yabaal, Masaajid Ali Gudud, maxaa siciid, Al Kowthar, Ceelbaraf etc have local macawisley and support from locals.

Same in Galgadud. Waceysle sent their most heavyweight Oday Abdullahi Geedi Shadoor, MP yasin Fareey, the son of the cleric Macalin nuur etc. People came back to Ceeldheer and Masagawaay etc and started supporting Dowladda. Have you ever seen Ceeldheer getting attacked?

Ceelbuur will not be the same. Oday Xaad and all the murusade mps are there. This wont be anything like 2016 because beesha Murusade are heavily invested this time eager to liberate Ceelbuur. Which is unprecedented.